664
FXUS65 KVEF 302004
AFDVEF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
104 PM PDT WED JUL 30 2025
KEY MESSAGES
* DRY CONDITIONS, SEASONAL TEMPERATURES, AND AFTERNOON BREEZES
WILL CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK FOR MOST OF THE REGION.
DISCUSSION
THROUGH TUESDAY.
IT SHOULD REMAIN DRY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK AS MOISTURE REMAINS
LOCKED IN TO THE SOUTH. A SHORTWAVE MOVING INTO CENTRAL NEVADA
THROUGH THIS EVENING COULD TRIGGER ISOLATED SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS IN FAR NORTHERN INYO AND ESMERALDA COUNTIES, HOWEVER
IMPACTS COULD BE LIMITED WITH NO MOISTURE OR SIGNIFICANT INSTABILITY
TO WORK WITH. BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON, THIS WAVE WILL LIFT NORTHEAST
INTO NORTHERN NEVADA AND PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL REMAIN NORTH OF
THE AREA. THE REST OF THE FORECAST FEATURES ONLY WEAK FEATURES AND
EVEN DRIER AIR AS THE FLOW REMAINS WESTERLY.
BREEZY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS THE REGION IN
RESPONSE TO THE INCOMING SHORTWAVE, WITH WIDESPREAD GUSTS 20-30MPH
REPORTED. ON THURSDAY AS THE SHORTWAVE MOVES EAST, CONTINUED BREEZY
WINDS ARE EXPECTED. IMPACTS ARE NOT EXPECTED ON THURSDAY AS WINDS
WILL BE SIMILAR OR SLIGHTLY STRONGER THAN TODAY BUT THE PROBABILITY
FOR GUSTS OVER 40 MPH REMAINS 10% OR LESS. AFTERNOON WINDS COMBINED
WITH DRY CONDITIONS WILL RESULT IN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS IN
MOHAVE COUNTY THURSDAY AFTERNOON, BUT WILLS SHOULD GENERALLY REMAIN
UNDER RED FLAG CONDITIONS. A FEW HIGHER ELEVATIONS AREAS SUCH AS THE
HUALAPAI OR MT TRUMBULL COULD HIT RED FLAG WHERE WINDS WILL BE
SLIGHTLY STRONGER, BUT WIDESPREAD HIGH FIRE DANGER IS NOT EXPECTED.
BREEZY AFTERNOON WINDS ARE EXPECTED AT TIMES THROUGH NEXT WEEK, BUT
THURSDAY SHOULD FEATURE THE STRONGEST WINDS AND NO IMPACTS ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.
WITH A FAIRLY STAGNANT WEATHER PATTERN, TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
NEAR NORMAL AND WILL ONLY CHANGE A DEGREE OR TWO UP OR DOWN EACH DAY.
AVIATION...FOR HARRY REID
FOR THE 18Z FORECAST
PACKAGE...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. SOUTH
TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED MUCH OF THE TAF PERIOD. SUSTAINED
SPEEDS OF 10-15KT ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON, WITH GUSTS TO
20-25KT DURING PEAK HEATING. GUSTS WILL END AFTER SUNSET BUT WIND
SPEEDS WILL REMAIN AROUND 8-10KT THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF THE
NIGHT. AFTER A PERIOD OF LIGHTER WINDS LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING, GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS RETURN THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. WIND SPEEDS AND GUSTS SHOULD BE SLIGHTLY STRONG THAN
TODAY BUT WILL REMAIN UNDER 30KT. VFR CONDITIONS WITH CLEAR SKIES
WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. TEMPERATURES EXCEEDING 100F ARE
EXPECTED BETWEEN 20Z-03Z, THEN CLIMBING OVER 100F AGAIN THURSDAY
AROUND 20Z.
FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA, NORTHWEST ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...FOR THE 18Z FORECAST PACKAGE...ACROSS MOST OF THE
REGION, SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD, GUSTING 20-25KT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING. EXCEPTIONS EXIST ACROSS THE WESTERN MOJAVE, INCLUDING KDAG,
WHERE WINDS WILL REMAIN WESTERLY, AND ACROSS THE OWENS VALLEY,
INCLUDING KBIH, WHERE WINDS WILL LARGELY REMAIN NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY,
WITH GUSTS TO 25-30KT POSSIBLE DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THROUGH LATE EVENING AND
FOLLOW TYPICAL WIND PATTERNS OVERNIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. VFR
CONDITIONS PREVAIL.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OR IMPACTS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING
PROCEDURES.
DISCUSSION/AVIATION...NICKERSON
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