467
FXUS65 KVEF 310800
AFDVEF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
100 AM PDT THU JUL 31 2025
KEY MESSAGES
* BREEZY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL PICK UP ACROSS NORTHWESTERN
ARIZONA AND SOUTHEASTERN NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON, RESULTING IN
BORDERLINE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
* DRY CONDITIONS AND SEASONAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE INTO NEXT
WEEK.
DISCUSSION
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
BREEZY SOUTHERLY-TO-SOUTWHESTERLY WINDS WILL PICK UP ACROSS
NORTHWESTERN ARIZONA AND SOUTHEASTERN NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON IN
RESPONSE TO A SHORTWAVE ROLLING THROUGH NORTH-CENTRAL NEVADA. THESE
WINDS, COMBINED WITH LOW HUMIDITY, AND DRY FUELS WILL RESULT IN NEAR
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR PORTIONS OF MOHAVE COUNTY THIS
AFTERNOON. WHILE THE HUALAPAI MOUNTAINS AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF
THE ARIZONA STRIP MAY SEE CONDITIONS BRIEFLY TOUCH RED FLAG
CRITERIA, THE REST OF MOHAVE COUNTY WILL SEE MORE BORDERLINE
CONDITIONS. DUE TO THE SPATIALLY LIMITED NATURE OF THIS THREAT, WE
HAVE OPTED TO NOT ISSUE ANY HEADLINES AT THIS TIME.
DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK AS WE CONTINUE TO FIND OURSELVES UNDER DRY SOUTHWESTELRY-TO-
WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. SEASONAL TEMPERATURES WILL ACCOMPANY THESE DRY
CONDITIONS WITH TEMPERATURES FLUCTUATING FROM DAY TO DAY, BUT
REMAINING RIGHT AROUND NORMAL FOR LATE JULY/EARLY AUGUST. HOTTER
THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL ATTEMPT TO RETURN TO THE REGION DURING
THE SECOND HALF OF NEXT WEEK, AS HIGH PRESSURE TRIES TO PUSH INTO
THE REGION FROM THE EAST. HOWEVER, THERE REMAINS UNCERTAINTY AS TO
JUST HOW HOT WE WILL GET DUE TO INTERENSEMBLE VARIABILITY REGARDING
THE POSITION AND AMPLITUDE OF THE RIDGE.
AVIATION...FOR HARRY REID...FOR THE 06Z FORECAST PACKAGE
WINDS
CONTINUE TO DECREASE THROUGH THE NIGHT, MAINTAINING A SOUTHERLY TO
SOUTHWESTERLY DIRECTION. GUSTY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS PICK UP IN LATE
MORNING AND STRENGTHEN DURING THE AFTERNOON. PEAK GUSTS SHOULD BE
BETWEEN 20 AND 25 KNOTS. WINDS SHOULD DECREASE TOMORROW EVENING
AFTER SUNSET. SKIES REMAIN CLEAR THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
TEMPERATURES EXCEED 100F BETWEEN 20Z AND 03Z.
FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA, NORTHWEST ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...FOR THE 06Z FORECAST PACKAGE...WINDS DECREASE AREAWIDE
OVERNIGHT. EXPECT ANOTHER INCREASE IN GUSTY SOUTHERLY TO
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS TOMORROW AFTERNOON IN THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY
AND LAS VEGAS VALLEY, WITH PEAK GUSTS BETWEEN 20 AND 25 KNOTS. IN
THE WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT INCLUDING KDAG, THESE WINDS WILL ARRIVE
LATER IN THE AFTERNOON, HAVE A MORE WESTERLY DIRECTION, AND PEAK AT
OVER 25 KNOTS. SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR ASIDE FROM FEW CLOUDS
OVER THE SIERRA NEAR KBIH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OR IMPACTS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING
PROCEDURES.
DISCUSSION...STESSMAN
AVIATION...MELTZER
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