210
FXUS65 KVEF 301716
AFDVEF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1016 AM PDT SAT AUG 30 2025
KEY MESSAGES
* DRY CONDITIONS AND NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.
* MONSOONAL MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO MAKE A RETURN DURING THE MIDDLE
TO END OF NEXT WEEK LEADING TO ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.
DISCUSSION
THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION THIS WEEKEND LEADING TO
WARMING TEMPERATURES AND OVERALL DRY CONDITIONS. THE MODELS ARE
STILL INDICATING SOME LOWER TO MID LEVEL MOISTURE AND SOME LOW END
CAPE VALUES OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA TODAY AND SUNDAY.
WITH DAYTIME HEATING WE WILL SEE A FEW CLOUDS DEVELOP MAINLY OVER
THE HIGHER TERRAIN, BUT WITH SIGNIFICANT DRYING AND WARMING ABOVE
500MB IT IS LIKELY THAT ANY CU DEVELOPMENT WILL BE WEAK AND STUNTED.
THEREFORE, NO PRECIPITATION IS IN THE FORECAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
WITH THE HIGH BUILDING OVER THE REGION, TEMPERATURES WILL START TO
CLIMB WITH LAS VEGAS SEEING ABOUT A 75% CHANCE OF REACHING 100F
TODAY AND A NEAR 100% CHANCE ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. TEMPERATURES
SHOULD PEAK MONDAY AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OFF THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA COAST SHOVES THE HIGH EASTWARD. NOT ONLY WILL THIS BRING
SOME LOWERING HEIGHTS, BUT IT WILL ALSO START TO OPEN THE DOOR FOR
MONSOONAL MOISTURE TO RETURN BY TUESDAY. A MORE FAVORABLE PATTERN
WILL DEVELOP WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK WITH THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES INCREASING OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE CWA. PWATS WILL BE
RUNNING ABOUT 130 TO 170 PERCENT OF NORMAL FOR EARLY SEPTEMBER. WITH
THE MOISTURE RETURN, TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO FALL BACK CLOSER TO
NORMAL AND POTENTIALLY SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL.
AVIATION...FOR HARRY REID...FOR THE 18Z FORECAST PACKAGE
WINDS
REMAIN LIGHT AND FOLLOW TYPICAL, DAILY PATTERNS THROUGHOUT THE TAF
PERIOD. THERE IS A ~20% CHANCE THAT WINDS BRIEFLY GET UP AROUND 10
KNOTS, BUT SPEEDS WILL LARGELY BE 4-8 KNOTS THROUGHOUT THE DAY.
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WITH JUST A FEW MID-LEVEL CLOUDS OVER THE HIGH
TERRAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES TOP OUT AROUND 100F BETWEEN
22Z AND 02Z.
FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA, NORTHWEST ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...FOR THE 18Z FORECAST PACKAGE...LIGHT BREEZES THAT
FOLLOW TYPICAL, DAILY PATTERNS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION
TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE ONLY EXCEPTION TO THIS IS THE LOWER COLORADO
RIVER VALLEY WHERE NORTHERLY WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 8-15
KNOT RANGE. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WITH JUST A FEW MID-LEVEL CLOUDS OVER
THE HIGH TERRAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. WILDFIRE SMOKE SHOULD STAY WEST
OF THE SIERRA CREST, SO NOT ANTICIPATING ANY VISIBILITY REDUCTIONS
IN THE OWENS VALLEY.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OR IMPACTS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING
PROCEDURES.
DISCUSSION...GORELOW
AVIATION...WOODS
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