426
FXUS65 KVEF 061049
AFDVEF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
249 AM PST TUE JAN 6 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN PERSISTS WITH PERIODS OF BREEZY WINDS
AND LIGHT SHOWER CHANCES.
* COOLER TEMPERATURES ARRIVE LATE THIS WEEK, GRADUALLY WARMING
INTO NEXT WEEK AS QUIETER CONDITIONS RETURN.
DISCUSSION
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
TONIGHT'S SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS DEPICTS A WEAK CLOSED LOW NEAR THE
BAY AREA THAT WILL SLOWLY BE DIGGING SOUTH TODAY, WITH A BROAD
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF IT. THIS FLOW PATTERN WILL KEEP MID
AND HIGH CLOUDS ABUNDANT WITH DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN OUR
REGION ALONG WITH LIGHT WINDS. THIS LOW WILL TRACK SOUTH THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING BEFORE PUSHING ASHORE SOUTH OF THE US-MX
BORDERLANDS DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY. THIS TRACK WILL LARGELY
BYPASS OUR REGION, THOUGH SOME LIGHT SHOWER ACTIVITY MAY DEVELOP
ON ITS NORTHERN EDGE, AFFECTING THE SOUTHERN REACHES OF THE
MOJAVE DESERT AND PARTS OF NORTHWEST ARIZONA DURING THE DAY
WEDNESDAY. ANY PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT. MEANWHILE,
ANOTHER WAVE UPSTREAM WILL DROP INTO THE GREAT BASIN WEDNESDAY
EVENING AND QUICKLY PROGRESS INTO THE FOUR CORNERS BY THURSDAY. AS
THIS SECONDARY FEATURE MOVES THROUGH, IT WILL DRAG A SHARP COLD
FRONT WITH IT, WITH ACCOMPANIED LIGHT SHOWER CHANCES AND GUSTY
NORTH WINDS. SHOWER CHANCES ARE MOST FAVORED OVER SOUTHERN NEVADA
AND NORTHWEST ARIZONA, CLOSER TO THE PRIMARY SHORTWAVE MOVING
THROUGH. WHILE PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT, SNOW LEVELS
WILL BE QUITE A BIT LOWER THAN WITH THE PAST FEW STORM SYSTEMS,
AND A QUICK 1-3 INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE IN THE SPRING MOUNTAINS
THURSDAY MORNING AS IT MOVES THROUGH, MAINLY ABOVE 5000 FEET.
COOLER AIR WILL FILTER IN ON FRIDAY BEFORE A RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD
ALONG THE WEST COAST, SIGNALING A NOTABLE SHIFT IN THE WEATHER
PATTERN AND MARKING THE BEGINNING OF A CALMER PERIOD. LIGHT WINDS
AND CLEAR SKIES WILL MAKE FOR SOME CRISP MORNINGS FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY, WITH TEMPERATURES GRADUALLY MODERATING BY EARLY NEXT
WEEK.
AVIATION...FOR HARRY REID...FOR THE 12Z FORECAST PACKAGE
LIGHT
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY, FAVORING EASTERLY DIRECTIONS IN THE
AFTERNOON THEN RETURNING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER SUNSET. VFR
CONDITIONS WITH CLOUDS AT OR ABOVE 7KFT AGL WILL PERSIST INTO
TONIGHT, WITH FEW TO SCT CLOUDS WITH BASES AOA 8KFT AGL EXPECTED
INTO TUESDAY EVENING.
FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA, NORTHWESTERN ARIZONA AND
SOUTHEASTERN CALIFORNIA...FOR THE 12Z FORECAST PACKAGE..LIGHT
WINDS ARE EXPECTED AREAWIDE TODAY, FOLLOWING TYPICAL DIURNAL
PATTERNS ON TUESDAY. VFR CONDITIONS WITH CLOUDS AT OR ABOVE 7KFT
AGL WILL PERSIST INTO TONIGHT, WITH FEW TO SCT CLOUDS WITH BASES
AOA 8KFT AGL EXPECTED INTO TUESDAY AFTERNOON, IMPROVING TO 10KFT
AGL OR HIGHER TUESDAY EVENING.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OR IMPACTS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING
PROCEDURES.
DISCUSSION/AVIATION...OUTLER
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