628
FXUS65 KVEF 232349
AFDVEF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
349 PM PST FRI JAN 23 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* A WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING LOW CHANCES FOR LIGHT RAIN TO THE
REGION THIS EVENING AND SATURDAY. OTHERWISE, IT WILL REMAIN DRY
THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
* BREEZY NORTH WINDS WILL DEVELOP ON SATURDAY, WITH ISOLATED MINOR
IMPACTS POSSIBLE.
* A BRIEF COOL DOWN IS EXPECTED SATURDAY AND SUNDAY BEFORE WARMER
THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES RETURN NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH THE MORNING SHOWED A CLOSE LOW SPINNING OFF
THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST SO OUR SOUTH, AND THEN A WEAK
SHORTWAVE DIGGING INTO CENTRAL NEVADA TO OUR NORTH. BEING SANDWICHED
IN BETWEEN THESE TWO SYSTEMS, ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER OVER SOUTHERN
NEVADA AND WESTERN ARIZONA THIS MORNING SCATTERED OUT TOWARDS THE
AFTERNOON. DESPITE RADAR SHOWING WEAK RETURNS IN LINCOLN COUNTY,
LOCAL OBSERVATIONS VERIFIED THE LOW LEVELS WERE TOO DRY AND NO RAIN
WAS REACHING THE GROUND. THIS TREND OF SHOWERS THAT WILL STRUGGLE TO
PRODUCE MEASURABLE RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING AS THEY
SHIFT SOUTHWARD. ON SATURDAY, STRONG FORCING AS THE TWO WEATHER
SYSTEMS INTERACT ALONG WITH MODEST MOISTURE RETURNS IN MOHAVE COUNTY
AND FAR SOUTHERN NEVADA COULD RESULT IN LIGHT RAIN AT TIMES, BUT
MEANINGFUL PRECIPITATION IS NOT LIKELY. ONCE THE TWO SYSTEMS PHASE
AND SHIFT EAST OF THE AREA, IT WILL BE DRY SUNDAY THROUGH LATE NEXT
WEEK.
AS THE SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY IN CENTRAL NEVADA DIGS SOUTH THROUGH THE
AREA, NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE IN RESPONSE. WIDESPREAD NORTH WINDS
GUSTING 20-30 MPH IS EXPECTED SATURDAY. ISOLATED MINOR WIND IMPACTS
CAN'T BE RULED OUT AS NBM PROBABILITIES FOR GUSTS OVER 40 MPH SHOW
POCKETS OF HIGHER CHANCES (80%) IN PORTIONS OF DEATH VALLEY AS WELL
AS THE LOWER COLORADO VALLEY. GIVEN T HE ISOLATED NATURE AND THE
MARGINAL GUSTS (NOT OVERLY EXCEEDING 40 MPH), WONT BE ISSUING ANY
WIND PRODUCTS AT THIS TIME. BOATERS ON LAKE MOHAVE SHOULD BE AWARE
OF THE GUSTY NORTH WINDS AND BUILDING WAVES ON SATURDAY. BY SUNDAY,
THE SHORTWAVE WILL BE PAST THE REGION AND WINDS WILL THUS BE LOWER.
NON-IMPACTFUL WINDS ARE EXPECTED THE REST OF THE FORECAST AFTER
SATURDAY.
WITH THE INCOMING SYSTEM ON SATURDAY THEN NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ON
SUNDAY, TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON A DOWNWARD TREND. SUNDAY WILL SEE
HIGH TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. WITH A RIDGE QUICKLY
BUILDING IN BEHIND THE SYSTEMS, THIS COOL DOWN WILL BE SHORT LIVED.
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY BY TUESDAY AND WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE REST OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION...FOR HARRY REID...FOR THE 00Z FORECAST PACKAGE
LIGHT
NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST TONIGHT, BECOMING
VARIABLE IN THE EARLY MORNING. WINDS INCREASE OUT OF THE NORTH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON, WITH PEAK GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 20
KNOTS, DECREASING IN THE EVENING. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE (LESS THAN
20%) OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, AND CONDITIONS WILL MOST LIKELY
STAY DRY WITHIN THE VICINITY OF THE TERMINAL. CEILINGS WILL FALL TO
AROUND 10KFT FOR A PERIOD IN THE MORNING. CLOUD COVER WILL GRADUALLY
CLEAR OUT IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA, NORTHWEST ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...FOR THE 00Z FORECAST PACKAGE...WINDS ARE GENERALLY 10
KNOTS OR LESS THROUGH THROUGH TONIGHT. GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS START
TO PICK UP AREAWIDE TOMORROW MORNING, INCREASING IN THE AFTERNOON.
PEAK GUSTS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 20 TO 25 KNOT RANGE, BUT A FEW
GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY.
ISOLATED SHOWERS CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH SOUTHERN NEVADA AND
NORTHWESTERN ARIZONA THROUGH THIS EVENING. A MORE ORGANIZED BAND OF
SHOWERS MOVES THROUGH THE AREA TOMORROW MORNING AND AFTERNOON, BUT
ANY PRECIPITATION THAT REACHES THE GROUND SHOULD BE LIGHT. CEILINGS
FALL TO AS LOW AS 8KFT IN THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AS THIS BAND
MOVES THROUGH.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OR IMPACTS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING
PROCEDURES.
DISCUSSION...NICKERSON
AVIATION...MELTZER
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