264
FXUS65 KVEF 242120
AFDVEF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
120 PM PST SAT JAN 24 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS CONTINUE TODAY IN THE WAKE OF A COLD
FRONT, WITH SHOWERS LINGERING ALONG/SOUTH OF I-10 THIS
AFTERNOON, AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED SUNDAY.
* RIDGING RETURNS TO THE REGION NEXT WEEK, YIELDING A RETURN TO
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS.
DISCUSSION
PER LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS AFTERNOON, CLOUD COVER IS
GRADUALLY ERODING FROM NORTH TO SOUTH AS THE SYSTEM RESPONSIBLE
FOR THE SHOWERY CONDITIONS ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA
CONTINUES ITS EASTWARD TREK INTO NORTHERN MEXICO. THIS SHORTWAVE
IS PROGGED TO PHASE WITH A SECOND TROUGH TO THE EAST OF THE
REGION, THEN CONTINUE EASTWARD, CONTRIBUTING TO THE SIGNIFICANT
WINTER STORM EAST OF THE ROCKIES. LOCALLY, SHOWERS LINGER ACROSS
PORTIONS OF EASTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY AND MOHAVE COUNTY THIS
AFTERNOON ALONG A SOUTHWARD MOVING COLD FRONT, AND PER RADAR
TRENDS AND HIGH-RESOLUTION GUIDANCE, THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE DRIFTING SOUTH AND EAST, CLEARING THE REGION BY EARLY
EVENING. IN ITS WAKE, GUSTY NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS
EVENING, WITH LOCALIZED INTERMITTENT GUSTS TO 30-40 MPH EXPECTED.
WHILE MOST LOCATIONS WILL SEE GUSTS DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET, TERRAIN
ENHANCEMENT WILL MAINTAIN GUSTY NORTH WINDS OVERNIGHT ALONG THE
LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY, PARTICULARLY FROM LAUGHLIN TO LAKE
HAVASU CITY, WHERE CHOPPY WAVES OF 1-3 FEET ARE EXPECTED ON AREA
LAKES THROUGH TONIGHT. OTHERWISE, GIVEN THE PASSING DISTURBANCE
AND COLD FRONT, TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL TOP OUT NEAR NORMAL, WITH
LINGERING COLD ADVECTION IN ITS WAKE YIELDING HIGHS 1-3 DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL ON SUNDAY, WHICH WILL BE THE COOLEST DAY OF THE
FORECAST.
HEADING INTO NEXT WEEK, AS THE AFOREMENTIONED DISTURBANCE MOVES
EAST, ENSEMBLES AND CLUSTER ANALYSES ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT
RIDGING WILL RE-ESTABLISH ITSELF OVER THE WESTERN CONUS.
INCREASING HEIGHTS WILL YIELD A WARMING TREND AND A RETURN TO
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES BY MIDWEEK, WITH DRY CONDITIONS AND
LIGHT BREEZES THE RULE FOR MOST. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY, WHERE PASSING
SHORTWAVES IN THE FLOW ALOFT WILL RESULT IN INTERMITTENT GUSTY
CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE WEEK. OVERALL, IT LOOKS TO BE A FAIRLY
QUIET END TO THE MONTH OF JANUARY.
AVIATION...FOR HARRY REID...FOR THE 18Z FORECAST PACKAGE
WINDS
WILL BACK TO THE NORTH EARLY IN THE PERIOD, INCREASING TO 10-15KT
WITH INTERMITTENT GUSTS TO 20-25KT THROUGH EARLY EVENING. WIND
DIRECTION WILL BE SOMEWHAT VARIABLE BETWEEN 350-020 TRUE FOR A
MAJORITY OF THE PERIOD, WITH A LULL IN WINDS EXPECTED THIS EVENING
INTO TONIGHT AHEAD OF A SECOND PUSH OF GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS PRIOR
TO DAYBREAK. BY MID-MORNING, GUSTS WILL DIMINISH, WITH WINDS
BECOMING LIGHT AND VEERING TO THE NORTHEAST LATE MORNING INTO
EARLY AFTERNOON. SCT-BKN CEILINGS BETWEEN 8-12KFT WILL IMPROVE
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON, WITH CLEAR SKIES RETURNING THIS EVENING.
FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA, NORTHWEST ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...FOR THE 18Z FORECAST PACKAGE...SCATTERED SHOWERS
ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN NEVADA, SOUTHEASTERN CALIFORNIA, AND
NORTHWESTERN ARIZONA WILL CONTINUE PUSHING SOUTHWARD THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON, WITH HEAVIER SHOWERS ACCOMPANIED BY BRIEF PERIODS WITH
CEILINGS AROUND 4-5KFT. DRY CONDITIONS RETURN AREAWIDE THIS
EVENING, WITH NORTHERLY WINDS GUSTING TO 20-25KT EXPECTED ACROSS
THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNSET. EXCEPTIONS INCLUDE KEED
AND KIFP ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY, WHERE TERRAIN
ENHANCEMENT WILL MAINTAIN GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD, WITH STRONGER GUSTS TO AROUND 30KT EXPECTED AT
KIFP. ADDITIONALLY, AT KVGT, A SECONDARY PUSH OF GUSTY
NORTHWESTERLY WIND IS EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING. IN THE WAKE OF SHOWERS, SCT-BKN CEILINGS AROUND 8-10KFT
WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE, WITH CLEAR SKIES RETURNING AREAWIDE BY
LATE EVENING.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OR IMPACTS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING
PROCEDURES.
DISCUSSION/AVIATION...PHILLIPSON
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