836
FXUS65 KVEF 272204
AFDVEF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
304 PM PDT FRI MAR 27 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* ANOMALOUS, EARLY-SEASON HEAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK.
* A PATTERN SHIFT SHOULD BRING NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES, BREEZY
WINDS, AND PRECIPITATION CHANCES BY THE MIDDLE-TO-END OF NEXT
WEEK.
DISCUSSION
THROUGH THURSDAY
HEAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE MAIN IMPACT OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
ANOMALOUS HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST WILL CONTINUE TO
BE THE DRIVING FORCE BEHIND THE RECORD TEMPERATURES AND ALTHOUGH IT
WILL WEAKEN SLIGHTLY THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS A WEAK DISTURBANCE
PUSHES INTO THE REGION, TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN 15 TO 20 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL AND CONTINUE TO THREATEN DAILY RECORDS. DUE TO THIS
WEAK SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH THE REGION, WE WILL SEE DAILY
AFTERNOON SOUTHWEST BREEZES BETWEEN 15 AND 25 MPH THROUGH THE
WEEKEND OVER MOST OF THE REGION.
FOR THOSE HOPING FOR COOLER TEMPERATURES, YOU WILL FINALLY GET YOUR
WISH AS A PATTERN SHIFT OCCURS NEXT WEEK. THE DOMINANT RIDGE WILL
FINALLY BREAK DOWN AND SHIFT EAST AS A SERIES OF TROUGHS IMPACT THE
WESTERN US THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK WITH BREEZY TO WINDY
CONDITIONS, COOLER TEMPERATURES, AND PRECIPITATION CHANCES.
STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR OVER THE WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT MONDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY WHERE THERE IS ABOUT A 30-60% CHANCE OF WIND GUSTS
EXCEEDING 40 MPH EACH DAY. ELSEWHERE, WINDS ARE LIKELY TO FALL INTO
THE 20 TO 30 MPH RANGE WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER GUSTS, ALTHOUGH A FEW
AREAS WILL SEE GUSTS APPROACHING 40 MPH. TEMPERATURES WILL FINALLY
RETURN TO NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS AS HIGHS FALL AROUND 15 DEGREES
BETWEEN MONDAY AND THURSDAY WITH HIGHS POTENTIALLY IN THE 70S FOR
LAS VEGAS BY WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY. THERE REMAINS A LOT OF
UNCERTAINTY IN THE MODELS WITH REGARDS TO PRECIPITATION CHANCES NEXT
WEEK. DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AREAWIDE THROUGH TUESDAY, BUT
CHANCES WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY WITH THE
PASSING OF A COUPLE OF SHORTWAVES. UNFORTUNATELY, THESE SHORTWAVES
ARE NOT TAPPING INTO ANY SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE AND THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF CENTRAL NEVADA AND THE SIERRA ARE LIKELY TO SEE THE
HIGHER PROBABILITIES OF PRECIPITATION. THE MODELS HAD BEEN SHOWING A
DECENT IVT PLUME SPREADING OVER THE FAR SOUTHERN AREAS OF THE CWA,
BUT THE LATEST RUNS HAVE IT FURTHER SOUTH AND EVEN WEAKER WITH THE
LATEST RUNS WITH MOST OF THE MOISTURE HEADING INTO ARIZONA.
AVIATION...FOR HARRY REID
FOR THE 00Z FORECAST
PACKAGE...LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY EVENING
AT WHICH POINT TYPICAL LIGHT WINDS WILL SET UP FOR OVERNIGHT. ON
SATURDAY, BREEZY SOUTH WINDS WILL DEVELOP LATE MORNING THEN
TRANSITION SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS 20-25KT ARE EXPECTED ON
SATURDAY, WITH THE STRONGEST GUSTS WITH THE SOUTHWEST WINDS WHEN
THERE IS A 30% CHANCES FOR GUSTS OVER 25KT. WINDS WILL DIMINISH
AFTER SUNSET SATURDAY EVENING. VFR HIGH CLOUDS AROUND 20KFT-25KFT
ARE EXPECTED AT TIMES THROUGH THE PERIOD.
FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA, NORTHWEST ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...FOR THE 00Z FORECAST PACKAGE...LIGHT WINDS FOLLOWING
TYPICAL DIRECTIONAL PATTERNS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT. SATURDAY
MORNING, SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING 20-25KT WILL DEVELOP
ACROSS SOUTHERN NEVADA, WESTERN ARIZONA, AND IN THE COLORADO RIVER
VALLEY. LIGHTER WINDS ARE EXPECTED FURTHER WEST. VFR CLOUDS AT 15KFT-
25KFT WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM INTO THE REGION THROUGH THE PERIOD.
CLIMATE
NUMEROUS CLIMATE LOCATIONS HAVE A FORECAST HIGH
TEMPERATURE AND/OR FORECAST WARM LOW TEMPERATURE WITHIN 3 DEGREES OF
THE DAILY RECORD.
THE TABLE BELOW SHOWS THE DAILY RECORD MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE AND THE
YEAR THE RECORD WAS LAST SET. AN ASTERISK (*) DENOTES WHICH RECORDS
ARE IN JEOPARDY (WITHIN 3 DEGREES OF THE FORECAST).
MAX FRI, MAR 27 SAT, MAR 28 SUN, MAR 29 MON, MAR 30
RECORD(YR) RECORD(YR) RECORD (YR) RECORD (YR)
LAS VEGAS 88(2022)* 91(2015)* 89(2015)* 90(2015)*
BISHOP 85(2015)* 85(2015)* 84(2015)* 85(2015)
NEEDLES 94(2015)* 97(2015)* 95(2015)* 98(2015)
DAGGETT 90(2015)* 92(2015)* 91(2015)* 92(2015)
KINGMAN 83(2022)* 85(2015)* 86(1934)* 87(2004)
DESERT ROCK 84(1986)* 85(2015)* 85(2015)* 86(2015)
DEATH VALLEY 100(1988)* 99(2015)* 102(2015)* 101(2015)
THE TABLE BELOW SHOWS THE DAILY RECORD WARM MINIMUM TEMPERATURE AND
THE YEAR THE RECORD WAS LAST SET. AN ASTERISK (*) DENOTES WHICH
RECORDS ARE IN JEOPARDY (WITHIN 3 DEGREES OF THE FORECAST).
WARM MIN FRI, MAR 27 SAT, MAR 28 SUN, MAR 29 MON, MAR 30
RECORD(YR) RECORD(YR) RECORD (YR) RECORD (YR)
LAS VEGAS 66(2025)* 62(2015)* 62(2015)* 63(2015)*
BISHOP 47(2001) 47(2001) 50(2001) 49(2011)
NEEDLES 65(2025)* 66(2025)* 66(1986)* 66(2013)*
DAGGETT 63(2013)* 58(2015)* 60(2001)* 62(2013)*
KINGMAN 57(2025)* 55(1929)* 51(1964)* 53(1974)
DESERT ROCK 58(2022)* 56(2024)* 58(1986)* 59(2010)*
DEATH VALLEY 78(2022) 71(2025)* 71(1943)* 77(1978)
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OR IMPACTS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING
PROCEDURES.
DISCUSSION...GORELOW
AVIATION...NICKERSON
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