290
FXUS65 KVEF 281907
AFDVEF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1205 PM PDT SAT MAR 28 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* ANOMALOUS, EARLY-SEASON HEAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
* A PATTERN SHIFT SHOULD BRING NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES, BREEZY
WINDS, AND PRECIPITATION CHANCES BY THE MIDDLE-TO-END OF NEXT
WEEK.
DISCUSSION
THROUGH FRIDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE REMAIN THE DOMINANT FEATURE THROUGH SUNDAY, BUT WE ARE
NEARING THE END OF OUR RECORD TEMPERATURE STREAK AS THE PATTERN
FINALLY BEGINS TO CHANGE NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES TODAY AND SUNDAY
WILL ONCE AGAIN APPROACH OR BREAK RECORDS AND IF WE BREAK OR TIE THE
RECORD IN LAS VEGAS TODAY, IT WILL BE THE 11TH DAY IN A ROW. SEE THE
CLIMATE SECTION BELOW FOR DETAILS. EVEN THROUGH THE RIDGE REMAINS
FIRMLY IN PLACE, WE WILL SEE A COUPLE OF WEAK DISTURBANCES PUSHING
THROUGH THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR AN INCREASE IN
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON AND TOMORROW. GUSTS SHOULD BE
BETWEEN 15 AND 30 MPH FOR MOST OF THE REGION.
THE PATTERN WILL SHIFT NEXT WEEK AS A SERIES OF TROUGHS MOVE INTO
THE REGION AND WEAKENING THE RIDGE. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP AROUND 10
TO 15 DEGREES BETWEEN SUNDAY AND WEDNESDAY, PLACING HIGHS WITHIN A
FEW DEGREES OF NORMAL FOR EARLY APRIL ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
ANOTHER IMPACT FROM THESE TROUGHS WILL BE THE INCREASING
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL
OCCUR ACROSS THE WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT THROUGH THE SOUTHERN GREAT
BASIN AND INTO NORTHERN ARIZONA. HIGHEST PROBABILITIES OF WINDS
GUSTS EXCEEDING 35 MPH WILL OCCUR OVER WESTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY
WITH A FEW GUSTS LIKELY EXCEEDING 40 MPH. AT THIS POINT, WINDS OVER
40 MPH DO NOT LOOK WIDESPREAD AND WILL OCCUR MAINLY IN THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS. THE WINDIEST DAY LOOKS TO BE THURSDAY WHERE WIDESPREAD
SOUTHWEST GUSTS OVER 40 MPH EXCEED 50%.
PRECIPITATION STILL LOOKS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, BUT DUE
TO THE TRAJECTORY OF THESE TROUGHS, THEY ARE NOT EXPECTED TO TAP
INTO ANY SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE. THE SIERRA WILL INTERCEPT MOST OF THE
MOISTURE, BUT A FEW HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF SOUTHERN NEVADA AND
NORTHWEST ARIZONA COULD SEE A FEW SHOWERS. OVERALL, AMOUNTS WILL
GENERALLY REMAIN LIGHT WITH SNOW LEVELS GENERALLY ABOVE 8500 FEET.
THE MODELS HAVE BEEN INDICATING A SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE PLUME MOVING
INTO CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ARIZONA BETWEEN TUESDAY AND FRIDAY, BUT IT
WILL REMAIN TOO FAR TO THE SOUTH FOR THE SHORTWAVES TO TAP INTO.
AVIATION...FOR HARRY REID...FOR THE 18Z FORECAST PACKAGE
SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY BREEZES ANTICIPATED THROUGHOUT THE TAF
PERIOD, STRONGEST FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH SUNSET WHEN GUSTS 18-25
KNOTS ARE LIKELY (80%). WINDS SUBSIDE IN THE EVENING AND RESUME LATE
IN THE MORNING SUNDAY. PERIODS OF HIGH CLOUDS EXPECTED AT OR ABOVE
20KFT.
FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA, NORTHWEST ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...FOR THE 18Z FORECAST PACKAGE...LIGHT WINDS THIS MORNING
GIVE WAY TO BREEZY SOUTHERLY/WESTERLY WINDS IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
15-25 KNOTS ARE LIKELY (70%) ACROSS THE MOJAVE DESERT AND
SOUTHEASTERN GREAT BASIN. LIGHTER WINDS ANTICIPATED IN THE
SOUTHWESTERN GREAT BASIN. WINDS SUBSIDE AFTER SUNSET, BECOMING LIGHT
OVERNIGHT. SIMILAR CONDITIONS EXPECTED SUNDAY. PERIODS OF SCT-BKN
HIGH CLOUDS AT OR ABOVE 20KFT.
CLIMATE
NUMEROUS CLIMATE LOCATIONS HAVE A FORECAST HIGH
TEMPERATURE AND/OR FORECAST WARM LOW TEMPERATURE WITHIN 3 DEGREES OF
THE DAILY RECORD.
THE TABLE BELOW SHOWS THE DAILY RECORD MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE AND THE
YEAR THE RECORD WAS LAST SET. AN ASTERISK (*) DENOTES WHICH RECORDS
ARE IN JEOPARDY (WITHIN 3 DEGREES OF THE FORECAST).
MAX SAT, MAR 28 SUN, MAR 29 MON, MAR 30 TUE, MAR 31
RECORD(YR) RECORD(YR) RECORD (YR) RECORD (YR)
LAS VEGAS 91(2015)* 89(2015)* 90(2015)* 91(1966)
BISHOP 85(2015)* 84(2015)* 85(2015) 87(1966)
NEEDLES 97(2015)* 95(2015)* 98(2015) 97(2018)
DAGGETT 92(2015)* 91(2015)* 92(2015) 91(2011)
KINGMAN 85(2015)* 86(1934)* 87(2004) 88(1934)
DESERT ROCK 85(2015)* 85(2015)* 86(2015) 84(2015)
DEATH VALLEY 99(2015)* 102(2015)* 101(2015) 103(2015)
THE TABLE BELOW SHOWS THE DAILY RECORD WARM MINIMUM TEMPERATURE AND
THE YEAR THE RECORD WAS LAST SET. AN ASTERISK (*) DENOTES WHICH
RECORDS ARE IN JEOPARDY (WITHIN 3 DEGREES OF THE FORECAST).
WARM MIN SAT, MAR 28 SUN, MAR 29 MON, MAR 30 TUE, MAR 31
RECORD(YR) RECORD(YR) RECORD (YR) RECORD (YR)
LAS VEGAS 62(2015)* 62(2015)* 63(2015)* 65(2015)*
BISHOP 47(2001) 50(2001) 49(2011) 50(2013)
NEEDLES 66(2025)* 66(1986)* 66(2013)* 69(1893)*
DAGGETT 58(2015)* 60(2001)* 62(2013)* 63(1969)*
KINGMAN 55(1929)* 51(1964)* 53(1974) 53(2025)*
DESERT ROCK 56(2024)* 58(1986)* 59(2010) 54(1986)*
DEATH VALLEY 71(2025)* 71(1943)* 77(1978) 72(2011)*
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OR IMPACTS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING
PROCEDURES.
DISCUSSION...GORELOW
AVIATION...WOODS/CO
FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:
HTTPS://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page