267
FXUS65 KVEF 290420
AFDVEF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
920 PM PDT SAT MAR 28 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* ANOMALOUS, EARLY-SEASON HEAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
* A PATTERN SHIFT SHOULD BRING NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES, BREEZY
WINDS, AND PRECIPITATION CHANCES BY THE MIDDLE-TO-END OF NEXT
WEEK.
DISCUSSION
THROUGH FRIDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE REMAIN THE DOMINANT FEATURE THROUGH SUNDAY, BUT WE ARE
NEARING THE END OF OUR RECORD TEMPERATURE STREAK AS THE PATTERN
FINALLY BEGINS TO CHANGE NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES TODAY AND SUNDAY
WILL ONCE AGAIN APPROACH OR BREAK RECORDS AND IF WE BREAK OR TIE THE
RECORD IN LAS VEGAS TODAY, IT WILL BE THE 11TH DAY IN A ROW. SEE THE
CLIMATE SECTION BELOW FOR DETAILS. EVEN THROUGH THE RIDGE REMAINS
FIRMLY IN PLACE, WE WILL SEE A COUPLE OF WEAK DISTURBANCES PUSHING
THROUGH THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR AN INCREASE IN
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON AND TOMORROW. GUSTS SHOULD BE
BETWEEN 15 AND 30 MPH FOR MOST OF THE REGION.
THE PATTERN WILL SHIFT NEXT WEEK AS A SERIES OF TROUGHS MOVE INTO
THE REGION AND WEAKENING THE RIDGE. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP AROUND 10
TO 15 DEGREES BETWEEN SUNDAY AND WEDNESDAY, PLACING HIGHS WITHIN A
FEW DEGREES OF NORMAL FOR EARLY APRIL ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
ANOTHER IMPACT FROM THESE TROUGHS WILL BE THE INCREASING
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL
OCCUR ACROSS THE WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT THROUGH THE SOUTHERN GREAT
BASIN AND INTO NORTHERN ARIZONA. HIGHEST PROBABILITIES OF WINDS
GUSTS EXCEEDING 35 MPH WILL OCCUR OVER WESTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY
WITH A FEW GUSTS LIKELY EXCEEDING 40 MPH. AT THIS POINT, WINDS OVER
40 MPH DO NOT LOOK WIDESPREAD AND WILL OCCUR MAINLY IN THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS. THE WINDIEST DAY LOOKS TO BE THURSDAY WHERE WIDESPREAD
SOUTHWEST GUSTS OVER 40 MPH EXCEED 50%.
PRECIPITATION STILL LOOKS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, BUT DUE
TO THE TRAJECTORY OF THESE TROUGHS, THEY ARE NOT EXPECTED TO TAP
INTO ANY SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE. THE SIERRA WILL INTERCEPT MOST OF THE
MOISTURE, BUT A FEW HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF SOUTHERN NEVADA AND
NORTHWEST ARIZONA COULD SEE A FEW SHOWERS. OVERALL, AMOUNTS WILL
GENERALLY REMAIN LIGHT WITH SNOW LEVELS GENERALLY ABOVE 8500 FEET.
THE MODELS HAVE BEEN INDICATING A SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE PLUME MOVING
INTO CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ARIZONA BETWEEN TUESDAY AND FRIDAY, BUT IT
WILL REMAIN TOO FAR TO THE SOUTH FOR THE SHORTWAVES TO TAP INTO.
AVIATION...FOR HARRY REID
FOR THE 06Z FORECAST
PACKAGE...SOUTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT AT OR JUST
BELOW 8KT. AFTER A BRIEF LULL IN WINDS SUNDAY MORNING, GUSTY SOUTH
TO SOUTHWEST WINDS RETURN AROUND MIDDAY. WINDS WILL BE SIMILAR TO
YESTERDAY WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25KT EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
MOST LIKELY, WINDS WILL DIMINISH AROUND 03Z SUNDAY EVENING AND BE
LIGHT THROUGH THE NIGHT. WATCHING THE POTENTIAL FOR ELEVATED WEST TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS THAT WOULD PUSH THROUGH THE VALLEY SUNDAY EVENING
AND CONTINUE AT TIMES OVERNIGHT, WHICH WOULD RESULT IN SPEEDS AROUND
10KT AND OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 15-20KT. PERIODS OF HIGH CLOUDS
EXPECTED AT OR ABOVE 20KFT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.
FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA, NORTHWEST ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...FOR THE 06Z FORECAST PACKAGE...LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. ANOTHER ROUND OF GUSTY WINDS WILL
DEVELOP SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH SIMILAR CONDITIONS TO TODAY.
WIDESPREAD GUSTS 15-25KT ARE EXPECTED. MODERATE CONFIDENCE FOR A
WEST PUSH AT KBIH SUNDAY BETWEEN 23Z-03Z BEFORE LIGHT NORTH TO
NORTHWEST WINDS RETURN. VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE WITH PERIODS OF
SCT-BKN HIGH CLOUDS AT OR ABOVE 20KFT.
CLIMATE
NUMEROUS CLIMATE LOCATIONS HAVE A FORECAST HIGH
TEMPERATURE AND/OR FORECAST WARM LOW TEMPERATURE WITHIN 3 DEGREES OF
THE DAILY RECORD.
THE TABLE BELOW SHOWS THE DAILY RECORD MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE AND THE
YEAR THE RECORD WAS LAST SET. AN ASTERISK (*) DENOTES WHICH RECORDS
ARE IN JEOPARDY (WITHIN 3 DEGREES OF THE FORECAST).
MAX SAT, MAR 28 SUN, MAR 29 MON, MAR 30 TUE, MAR 31
RECORD(YR) RECORD(YR) RECORD (YR) RECORD (YR)
LAS VEGAS 91(2015)* 89(2015)* 90(2015)* 91(1966)
BISHOP 85(2015)* 84(2015)* 85(2015) 87(1966)
NEEDLES 97(2015)* 95(2015)* 98(2015) 97(2018)
DAGGETT 92(2015)* 91(2015)* 92(2015) 91(2011)
KINGMAN 85(2015)* 86(1934)* 87(2004) 88(1934)
DESERT ROCK 85(2015)* 85(2015)* 86(2015) 84(2015)
DEATH VALLEY 99(2015)* 102(2015)* 101(2015) 103(2015)
THE TABLE BELOW SHOWS THE DAILY RECORD WARM MINIMUM TEMPERATURE AND
THE YEAR THE RECORD WAS LAST SET. AN ASTERISK (*) DENOTES WHICH
RECORDS ARE IN JEOPARDY (WITHIN 3 DEGREES OF THE FORECAST).
WARM MIN SAT, MAR 28 SUN, MAR 29 MON, MAR 30 TUE, MAR 31
RECORD(YR) RECORD(YR) RECORD (YR) RECORD (YR)
LAS VEGAS 62(2015)* 62(2015)* 63(2015)* 65(2015)*
BISHOP 47(2001) 50(2001) 49(2011) 50(2013)
NEEDLES 66(2025)* 66(1986)* 66(2013)* 69(1893)*
DAGGETT 58(2015)* 60(2001)* 62(2013)* 63(1969)*
KINGMAN 55(1929)* 51(1964)* 53(1974) 53(2025)*
DESERT ROCK 56(2024)* 58(1986)* 59(2010) 54(1986)*
DEATH VALLEY 71(2025)* 71(1943)* 77(1978) 72(2011)*
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OR IMPACTS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING
PROCEDURES.
DISCUSSION...GORELOW
AVIATION...NICKERSON
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