124
FXUS65 KVEF 031954
AFDVEF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1254 PM PDT FRI APR 3 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* GUSTY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION TODAY, LINGERING
IN THE LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY ON SATURDAY.
* WARMER AND CALMER CONDITIONS DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS
BEFORE A MID-WEEK SYSTEM BRINGS ANOTHER SHOT OF GUSTY WINDS AND
COOLER TEMPERATURES.
DISCUSSION
THROUGH THURSDAY.
NORTHERLY WINDS HAVE BEEN STOUT ACROSS THE AREA TODAY WITH
WIDESPREAD GUSTS OF 30-45 MPH. THESE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF
THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT IN MOST LOCATIONS, RESULTING IN BREEZY
BUT NOT IMPACTFUL WINDS ON SATURDAY. THE EXCEPTION IS THE LOWER
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY, WHERE WINDS REMAIN ELEVATED ENOUGH TONIGHT
AND TOMORROW TO CAUSE BOATING IMPACTS ON THE LOCAL LAKES. AS A
RESULT, OPTED TO ISSUE A LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM 8PM THIS EVENING
(WHEN THE NORMAL WIND ADVISORY EXPIRES) THROUGH 5PM SATURDAY. AGAIN,
MAIN CONCERNS DURING THIS TIME PERIOD ARE HAZARDOUS BOATING
CONDITIONS. BY SUNDAY, THE RISK OF ANY WIND IMPACTS ACROSS THE
REGION IS MINIMAL (<10%).
ONCE THIS SYSTEM ADVANCES EAST THIS WEEKEND, HIGH PRESSURE IS SLATED
TO BUILD OVER THE WESTERN US THROUGH TUESDAY. THIS YIELDS LIGHTER
WINDS AND A STEADY INCREASE IN TEMPERATURES, WITH HIGHS FORECAST TO
BE ~10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE ONE WRINKLE IN THE
FORECAST DURING THIS TIME IS A WEAK DISTURBANCE THAT MODELS SHOW
SNEAKING UNDER THE RIDGE ON MONDAY. WHILE WEAK, GUIDANCE SUGGESTS IT
WILL HAVE ANOMALOUS MOISTURE TO WORK WITH, ENOUGH SUCH THAT THE NBM
HAS 10-20% POPS OVER NW ARIZONA. BEST CHANCES REMAIN OVER
CENTRAL/EASTERN ARIZONA, BUT CANNOT RULE OUT A FEW SHOWERS IN
EASTERN MOHAVE COUNTY MONDAY AFTERNOON. LATER IN THE WEEK, GUIDANCE
SHOWS A MORE ROBUST AND COMPLICATED SYSTEM(S) MOVING INTO THE
WESTERN US. DETAILS REMAIN FUZZY AT THIS TIME, BUT ANOTHER SHOT OF
GUSTY WINDS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES APPEARS LIKELY AT THIS TIME,
WITH PRECIPITATION CHANCES MORE QUESTIONABLE.
AVIATION...FOR HARRY REID
FOR THE 18Z FORECAST
PACKAGE...GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
DIRECTION SHOULD REMAIN AROUND 020-030 DEGREES TRUE. GUST TO 25KT
ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON, WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR GUSTS
OVER 25KT BEING THROUGH 21Z WHEN THERE IS A LOW (30%) CHANCE FOR
GUSTS OVER 30KT. NORTH WINDS WILL STOP GUSTING AROUND 00Z BUT SPEEDS
OVER 10KT ARE LIKELY THROUGH AT LEAST 03Z. BY 06Z, THE CHANCE FOR
SPEEDS OVER 10KT DROPS TO 10% OR LESS, EXPECT NORTHWEST WINDS AT 8KT
OR LESS THROUGH THE REST OF TONIGHT. SATURDAY MORNING, ELEVATED
NORTHEAST WINDS RETURN BUT ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHTER THAN TODAY AS
GUSTS TO AROUND 20KT DEVELOP AFTER SUNRISE. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL
BE IN THE MORNING, BY 21Z GUSTS WILL END AND SPEEDS WILL DROP TO 8KT
OR LESS. WINDS ON SATURDAY WILL BE A BIT MORE EAST, FAVORING 030-040
DEGREES TRUE. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY.
FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA, NORTHWEST ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...FOR THE 18Z FORECAST PACKAGE...GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST
WINDS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION.
WIDESPREAD GUSTS 15-25KT ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE SOUTHERN GREAT
BASIN AND INYO COUNTY, WITH HIGHER GUSTS OVER 30KT IN FAR SOUTHERN
NEVADA AND THE COLORADO RIVER VALLY. GUSTS OVER 40KT ARE LIKELY AT
TIMES IN THE WINDY SPOTS OF THE COLORADO VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON.
WINDS WILL DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET AS GUSTS END OVERNIGHT EXCEPT IN
THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY WHERE NORTHERLY GUSTS 20-30KT WILL PERSIST
THROUGH THE NIGHT. NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN ON
SATURDAY, WITH GUSTS OVER 20KT IN THE MORNING IN CLARK COUNTY AND
GUST UP TO 30KT IN THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY. VFR MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OR IMPACTS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING
PROCEDURES.
DISCUSSION...WOODS
AVIATION...NICKERSON
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