245
FXUS65 KVEF 032201
AFDVEF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
301 PM PDT FRI APR 3 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* GUSTY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION TODAY, LINGERING
IN THE LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY ON SATURDAY.
* WARMER AND CALMER CONDITIONS DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS
BEFORE A MID-WEEK SYSTEM BRINGS ANOTHER SHOT OF GUSTY WINDS AND
COOLER TEMPERATURES.
DISCUSSION
THROUGH THURSDAY.
NORTHERLY WINDS HAVE BEEN STOUT ACROSS THE AREA TODAY WITH
WIDESPREAD GUSTS OF 30-45 MPH. THESE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF
THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT IN MOST LOCATIONS, RESULTING IN BREEZY
BUT NOT IMPACTFUL WINDS ON SATURDAY. THE EXCEPTION IS THE LOWER
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY, WHERE WINDS REMAIN ELEVATED ENOUGH TONIGHT
AND TOMORROW TO CAUSE BOATING IMPACTS ON THE LOCAL LAKES. AS A
RESULT, OPTED TO ISSUE A LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM 8PM THIS EVENING
(WHEN THE NORMAL WIND ADVISORY EXPIRES) THROUGH 5PM SATURDAY. AGAIN,
MAIN CONCERNS DURING THIS TIME PERIOD ARE HAZARDOUS BOATING
CONDITIONS. BY SUNDAY, THE RISK OF ANY WIND IMPACTS ACROSS THE
REGION IS MINIMAL (<10%).
ONCE THIS SYSTEM ADVANCES EAST THIS WEEKEND, HIGH PRESSURE IS SLATED
TO BUILD OVER THE WESTERN US THROUGH TUESDAY. THIS YIELDS LIGHTER
WINDS AND A STEADY INCREASE IN TEMPERATURES, WITH HIGHS FORECAST TO
BE ~10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE ONE WRINKLE IN THE
FORECAST DURING THIS TIME IS A WEAK DISTURBANCE THAT MODELS SHOW
SNEAKING UNDER THE RIDGE ON MONDAY. WHILE WEAK, GUIDANCE SUGGESTS IT
WILL HAVE ANOMALOUS MOISTURE TO WORK WITH, ENOUGH SUCH THAT THE NBM
HAS 10-20% POPS OVER NW ARIZONA. BEST CHANCES REMAIN OVER
CENTRAL/EASTERN ARIZONA, BUT CANNOT RULE OUT A FEW SHOWERS IN
EASTERN MOHAVE COUNTY MONDAY AFTERNOON. LATER IN THE WEEK, GUIDANCE
SHOWS A MORE ROBUST AND COMPLICATED SYSTEM(S) MOVING INTO THE
WESTERN US. DETAILS REMAIN FUZZY AT THIS TIME, BUT ANOTHER SHOT OF
GUSTY WINDS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES APPEARS LIKELY AT THIS TIME,
WITH PRECIPITATION CHANCES MORE QUESTIONABLE.
AVIATION...FOR HARRY REID
FOR THE 00Z FORECAST
PACKAGE...GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL PERSIST INTO THE EVENING, WITH
GUST TO 20-25KT EXPECTED. NORTH WINDS WILL STOP GUSTING BETWEEN 00Z-
03Z BUT SPEEDS OVER 10KT ARE LIKELY THROUGH AT LEAST THE EARLY
EVENING. BY 06Z, THE CHANCE FOR SPEEDS OVER 10KT DROPS TO 10% OR
LESS, EXPECT WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS AT 8KT OR LESS THROUGH THE REST
OF TONIGHT. SATURDAY MORNING, ELEVATED NORTHEAST WINDS RETURN BUT
ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHTER THAN TODAY AS GUSTS TO AROUND 20KT
DEVELOP AFTER SUNRISE. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE IN THE MORNING,
BY 21Z GUSTS WILL END AND SPEEDS WILL DROP TO 8KT OR LESS. WINDS
AFTER SUNSET WILL BECOME LIGHT OUT OF THE WEST. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY.
FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA, NORTHWEST ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...FOR THE 00Z FORECAST PACKAGE...GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST
WINDS WILL CONTINUE FOR A FEW MORE HOURS BEFORE DIMINISHING TONIGHT.
GUSTS SHOULD END IN MOST LOCATIONS AROUND 03Z EXCEPT IN THE COLORADO
RIVER VALLEY WHERE NORTHERLY GUSTS 20-30KT WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
NIGHT. NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN ON SATURDAY, WITH
GUSTS OVER 20KT IN THE MORNING IN CLARK COUNTY AND GUST UP TO 30KT
IN THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN THE MORNING. WINDS WILL THEN
DIMINISH IN THE AFTERNOON AFTER THEIR MORNING PEAK. VFR MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OR IMPACTS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING
PROCEDURES.
DISCUSSION...WOODS
AVIATION...NICKERSON
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