351
FXUS65 KVEF 260800
AFDVEF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
100 AM PDT SUN APR 26 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY, WITH CONTINUED
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND PRECIPITATION CHANCES FOCUSED
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN AND NORTHWESTERN ARIZONA.
BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS WILL ALSO CONTINUE, WITH THE
STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT AND MORONGO BASIN.
* A WARMING AND DRYING TREND IS EXPECTED TUESDAY ONWARD, THOUGH
THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY REGARDING A DISTURBANCE THAT MAY
IMPACT THE REGION TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
PER LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY, A MID-LEVEL TROUGH IS CURRENTLY
LOCATED OVER EAST-CENTRAL CALIFORNIA, AND WILL CONTINUE ITS
EASTWARD TREK THROUGH THIS EVENING, MAINTAINING PRECIPITATION
CHANCES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA. EARLY THIS MORNING, THE
GREATEST CONCENTRATION OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SHOWERS EXISTS FROM
THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS NORTHWESTERN
ARIZONA, WITH ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY OVER NORTHERN INYO COUNTY.
RAINFALL TOTALS ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS HAVE THUS FAR REMAINED
UNDER 0.20 INCH, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF BISHOP AND OTHER LOCATIONS
IN THE NORTHERN OWENS VALLEY WHERE AROUND 0.50 INCH OF RAINFALL
HAS BEEN MEASURED. IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN, AMOUNTS GENERALLY RANGE
FROM 0.25 TO 0.50 INCH, WITH THIS ACTIVITY EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO
SHIFT NORTHWARD THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. AS THE AFOREMENTIONED
TROUGH TRANSLATES EASTWARD OVER THE REGION TODAY, PRECIPITATION
CHANCES WILL LINGER, FOCUSED MAINLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT
BASIN AND MOHAVE COUNTY (60 TO 90 PERCENT CHANCE), THOUGH ISOLATED
TO SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE (10 TO 30
PERCENT CHANCE). A BULK OF THE ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO BE LIGHT
TO MODERATE SHOWERS, THOUGH COOLING TEMPERATURES ALOFT AND
MAINTAINED ASCENT WILL YIELD AROUND A 10 PERCENT CHANCE FOR
EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS AND LOCALLY ENHANCED RAINFALL RATES,
PARTICULARLY OVER LINCOLN COUNTY AND THE ARIZONA STRIP.
TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE AROUND 10 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL,
RANGING FROM THE MID 50S TO MID 70S FOR MOST. THESE COOLER
TEMPERATURES LINGER INTO MONDAY, ALONG WITH SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN
RAIN CHANCES, BEFORE THE SYSTEM FINALLY EXITS THE REGION. IN
ADDITION TO THE PRECIPITATION AND COOLER TEMPERATURES, BREEZY TO
WINDY CONDITIONS PERSIST, ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE WESTERN MOJAVE
DESERT AND MORONGO BASIN, WHERE A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. WHILE THE STRONGEST WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 50
MPH ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING, WINDS WILL BE SLOW TO DIMINISH,
GRADUALLY WEAKENING THROUGH MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. LIGHTER
SOUTHWESTERLY BREEZES WILL CONTINUE MONDAY.
TUESDAY ONWARD, A QUICK RETURN TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES IS
EXPECTED, WITH ENSEMBLES AND CLUSTER ANALYSES IN GOOD AGREEMENT
REGARDING RIDGING BUILDING OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND GREAT
BASIN. THE FLY IN THE OINTMENT IS A DISTURBANCE THAT WILL TAKE
SHAPE OFF OF THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST MIDWEEK AND EVENTUALLY
TRANSLATE EASTWARD TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK. THERE IS STILL
UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE TIMING AND TRAJECTORY OF THIS SYSTEM,
THOUGH CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT IT WILL PASS TO THE SOUTH OF
THE AREA, CLOSER TO THE US-MEXICO BORDER. ITS DEPTH AND PRECISE
LOCATION WILL DICTATE WHAT, IF ANY, LOCAL IMPACTS ARE FELT, THOUGH
INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND A RETURN OF LOW PRECIPITATION CHANCES
CANNOT BE RULED OUT, MAINLY SOUTH OF I-15. STAY TUNED.
AVIATION...FOR HARRY REID...FOR THE 06Z FORECAST PACKAGE
WINDS
WILL CONTINUE TO MAINTAIN A SOUTHWESTERLY DIRECTION THROUGH THE
TAF PERIOD WITH 20 TO 30 KNOT SOUTHWESTERLY GUSTS CONTINUING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. AS SHOWERS MOVE THROUGH SOUTHERN NEVADA,
THERE WILL BE AROUND A 40% CHANCE THAT LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL
IMPACT THE TERMINAL AREA THROUGH 08Z. GUSTY VARIABLE WINDS AND 6
TO 8 KFT CIGS WILL ACCOMPANY THESE SHOWERS. VICINITY SHOWERS WILL
CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS, GRADUALLY CLEARING OUT AS
SHOWERS MOVE OFF TO THE EAST. CLOUD COVER WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH
AND CIGS WILL IMPROVE THROUGHOUT THE DAY ON SUNDAY. SOUTHWESTERLY
WIND GUSTS WILL DROP OFF OVERNIGHT SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WITH WINDS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO MONDAY MORNING.
FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA, NORTHWEST ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...FOR THE 06Z FORECAST PACKAGE...25 TO 35 KNOT
WESTERLY WIND GUSTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY IN THE WESTERN
MOJAVE DESERT, INCLUDING KDAG. WINDS IN THE OWENS VALLEY WILL TEND
TO FAVOR A NORTHERLY DIRECTION WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS AROUND 8 TO
12 KNOTS. ELSEWHERE, WINDS WILL FAVOR A MORE SOUTHWESTERLY
COMPONENT WITH 20 TO 30 KNOT SOUTHWESTERLY WIND GUSTS CONTINUING
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD AND INTO THE DAY ON SUNDAY FOR
SOUTHERN NEVADA. WINDS IN THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY WILL LULL
OVERNIGHT BEFORE PICKING BACK UP AROUND MID-MORNING SUNDAY. LIGHT
RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS ACROSS INYO
COUNTY, SOUTHERN NEVADA, AND NORTHWEST ARIZONA. LIGHT RAIN,
VISIBILITY REDUCTIONS, AND 5 TO 8 KFT CIGS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE SHOWERS. ADDITIONALLY, VARIABLE GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE WITH THESE SHOWERS. SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN WITH SHOWERS GRADUALLY CLEARING
OUT OF FAR SOUTHERN NEVADA, NORTHWESTERN ARIZONA, AND INYO COUNTY
OVERNIGHT.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OR IMPACTS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING
PROCEDURES.
DISCUSSION...PHILLIPSON
AVIATION...STESSMAN
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