464
FXUS65 KVEF 272306
AFDVEF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
400 PM PDT MON APR 27 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* LIGHT SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TODAY ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN WITH BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS ELSEWHERE.
* WARMING TREND EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEK WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
LIGHT SHOWERS WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY AND AGAIN ON SUNDAY.
DISCUSSION
TODAY THROUGH MONDAY.
THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN EXPERIENCED LIGHT-TO-MODERATE RAIN SHOWERS
YESTERDAY AFTERNOON, WITH RAIN GAUGES MEASURING 0.25 TO 0.50 ACROSS
ESMERALDA, SOUTHERN NYE, AND LINCOLN COUNTIES. A FEW EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS ALLOWED FOR OCCASIONALLY HIGHER RAINFALL AMOUNTS. A
SIMILAR STORY CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN THIS
AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER BURST OF ENERGY PUSHES THROUGH THE FORECAST
AREA ALONG THE UPPER-LEVEL FLOW. OTHERWISE, EXPECT BREEZY SOUTHWEST
WINDS ACROSS THE REGION WITH GUST SPEEDS GENERALLY BETWEEN 20 AND 30
MPH.
RIDGING SETS UP OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN CONUS HERE FORWARD, WHICH WILL
ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB TO 6-8 DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS BY
THE END OF THE WORK WEEK. WE HAVE BEEN MONITORING THE POTENTIAL FOR
UNSETTLED WEATHER RETURNING TO THE REGION THANKS TO A CLOSED LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING INTO BAJA CALIFORNIA WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY. ENSEMBLE MEANS SHOW THIS INCOMING WEATHER SYSTEM TRENDING
WEAKER AND FURTHER SOUTH, WITH NOW NEGLIGIBLE CHANCES OF
PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE BULK OF OUR FORECAST AREA. SLIGHT (10-20
PERCENT) POPS PERSIST FOR FAR SOUTHERN MOJAVE COUNTY, BUT WITH PWATS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 0.40", MUCH IN THE WAY OF MEASURABLE
PRECIPITATION IS UNLIKELY. HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND, TEMPERATURES
WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. THE NEXT
POTENTIAL WEATHER SYSTEM TO IMPACT OUR FORECAST AREA WILL DROP DOWN
THE CALIFORNIA COAST LATE-WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION...FOR HARRY REID...FOR THE 00Z FORECAST PACKAGE
BREEZY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING WITH
SPEEDS OF 10 TO 15 KNOTS AND GUSTS 20 TO 25 KNOTS. WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO DIMINISH AFTER 02Z, BUT THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT A
BRIEF (1-2 HOUR) NORTHWEST PUSH WILL MAKE IT TO KLAS BETWEEN 02-03Z
WITH SPEEDS AROUND 10 KNOTS. THE MORE LIKELY SCENARIO WILL BE FOR
WINDS TO BECOME MORE WESTERLY (250-270 DEG) BEFORE SETTLING AROUND
220 DEG OVERNIGHT. LIGHTER WINDS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY, ALTHOUGH THE
DIRECTION WILL LIKELY FAVOR EAST TO SOUTHEAST WITH SPEEDS GENERALLY
LESS THAN 8 KNOTS. FEW CLOUDS AROUND 10-12KFT OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA, NORTHWEST ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...FOR THE 00Z FORECAST PACKAGE...GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL
PERSIST ACROSS THE WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT, WITH KDAG SEEING GUSTS OF
25 TO 30 KNOTS. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH AFTER 08Z TO AROUND 10
KNOTS. ELSEWHERE, BREEZY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE EVENING WITH GUSTS 15 TO 25 KNOTS, WITH WINDS
DIMINISHING TO 10 KNOTS OR LESS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND AN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM REMAIN POSSIBLE INTO THIS EVENING OVER THE NORTHERN
OWENS VALLEY AND SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN THROUGH 03Z. LIGHTER WINDS
EXPECTED AREAWIDE TUESDAY WITH FEW-SCT 10KFT CLOUDS.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OR IMPACTS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING
PROCEDURES.
DISCUSSION...SOULAT
AVIATION...GORELOW
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