650
FXUS65 KVEF 301052
AFDVEF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
352 AM PDT THU APR 30 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
* COOLER CONDITIONS WILL RETURN NEXT WEEK WITH INCREASED CHANCES
FOR SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS THE SIERRA AND GREAT BASIN.
DISCUSSION
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
A PAIR OF WEAK DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION IN THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, BUT GENERALLY WILL HAVE LIMITED IMPACT
BESIDES SOME ENHANCED NORTHERLY BREEZES, ESPECIALLY DOWN THE
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY. OTHERWISE, A SLOW WARMING TREND WILL
CONTINUE, WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS TODAY AND FRIDAY CLIMBING 2-5
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. A MORE SUBSTANCIAL WARMING WILL COMMENCE
OVER THE WEEKEND WITH TEMPERATURES PEAKING 5-10 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL REGION WIDE AS A RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS THE WEST.
THE WARMING TREND WILL BE SHORT-LIVED HOWEVER AS A DEEP CLOSED LOW
DEVELOPS OFF THE COAST OF CALIFORNIA SUNDAY AND BEGINS TO NUDGE
EASTWARD INTO THE GREAT BASIN EARLY NEXT WEEK. A RETURN OF GUSTY
WINDS IS POSSIBLE AS EARLY AS SUNDAY WITH FAIRLY WIDESPREAD WINDS
ON MONDAY AS THE LOW MOVES CLOSER. ADDITIONALLY, THERE REMAINS
ELEVATED CHANCES OF MODERATE PRECIPITATION TOTALS ACROSS THE
SIERRA AND SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN, WITH A SMALL MINORITY OF
ENSEMBLE MEMBERS SUGGESTING RAINFALL TOTALS EXCEEDING 0.50 INCHES
NEAR BISHOP.
AVIATION...FOR HARRY REID...FOR THE 12Z FORECAST PACKAGE
WINDS
WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY LIGHT THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD, WITH
SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 10 KNOTS OR LESS. WINDS WILL TEND TO FOLLOW
TYPICAL DIURNAL DIRECTIONAL TRENDS, WITH PERIODS OF LIGHTER, MORE
VARIABLE WINDS AS THEY TRANSITION DURING THE EARLY MORNING. CANNOT
RULE OUT AN ISOLATED THERMALLY-INDUCED GUST BETWEEN 15 20 KTS
FROM THE NORTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON, BUT THIS WILL NOT BE
PERSISTENT ENOUGH TO INCLUDE IN THE PREVAILING TAF. VFR CONDITIONS
WILL PERSIST WITH NO OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT CLOUD COVER.
FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA, NORTHWEST ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...FOR THE 12Z FORECAST PACKAGE...WINDS WILL GENERALLY
REMAIN LESS THAN 10 KTS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD, WITH TYPICAL
DIURNAL DIRECTION TRENDS. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE AT KDAG WHERE
GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL RETURN AGAIN THIS EVENING. BREEZY NORTH
WINDS WILL PICK UP LATER THIS MORNING DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER
VALLEY WITH 15 TO 20 KNOT GUSTS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON.VFR
CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST WITH NO OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT CLOUD
COVER.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OR IMPACTS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING
PROCEDURES.
DISCUSSION...OUTLER
AVIATION...STESSMAN
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