015
FXUS65 KVEF 020356
AFDVEF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
856 PM PDT FRI MAY 1 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* THE WARMING TREND AND PERIODS OF BREEZY WINDS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
* COOLER CONDITIONS AND GUSTY WINDS WILL RETURN NEXT WEEK WITH
INCREASED CHANCES FOR SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS THE SIERRA AND GREAT
BASIN.
DISCUSSION
THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS CONTINUE TODAY AS A SHORTWAVE SWINGS THROUGH
UTAH AND ARIZONA. THE HIGHEST GUSTS SO FAR TODAY HAVE BEEN DOWN THE
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH. ELEVATED WINDS SHOULD
LAST THROUGH SUNSET AND WEAKEN OVERNIGHT. TEMPERATURES INCREASE
TODAY AND TOMORROW AS A SHORTWAVE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH AND HEIGHTS
ALOFT RISE. THE RIDGE STARTS TO DRIFT EAST AND HEIGHTS ALOFT
DECREASE ON SUNDAY AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE WEST COAST, BUT
SUFFICIENT MIXING SHOULD ALLOW FOR MORE WARMING FOR THE EASTERN HALF
OF THE FORECAST AREA. IN LAS VEGAS, THERE IS A 75 PERCENT
PROBABILITY OF REACHING A HIGH OF 90 DEGREES ON SUNDAY AT KLAS.
THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL LEAD TO INCREASED
WINDS, PRECIPITATION CHANCES, AND COOLER TEMPERATURES NEXT WEEK.
STRONG 850 MB WINDS SUPPORT GUSTY SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS
STARTING ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON IN SOUTHEASTERN CALIFORNIA,
RAMPING UP AND SPREADING EAST ON SUNDAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS
SHOULD OCCUR OVER HIGH TERRAIN. HOWEVER, THERE ARE GREATER THAN 70
PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR GUSTS OVER 40 MPH IN CERTAIN VALLEYS IN
INYO AND SAN BERNARDINO COUNTIES, AS WELL AS THE COLORADO RIVER
VALLEY. ELEVATED WINDS MAY ALSO CONTINUE INTO MONDAY IN THE
WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT AS THE LOW SLOWLY EXITS TO THE EAST. WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR TO DETERMINE IF WIND HEADLINES BECOME
NECESSARY. PRECIPITATION CHANCES FAVOR THE EASTERN SIERRA AND
SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY. A FEW INSTABILITY
DRIVEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AREAWIDE LATER ON
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS THE CENTER OF THE LOW PASSES OVERHEAD.
TEMPERATURES DROP 10 TO 15 DEGREES BETWEEN SUNDAY AND TUESDAY
BEFORE REBOUNDING THE REST OF THE WEEK AS RIDGING RETURNS.
AVIATION...FOR HARRY REID...FOR THE 06Z FORECAST PACKAGE
NORTHEAST WINDS UNDER 8KT WILL BECOME NORTHWEST TO WEST TONIGHT AND
CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY MORNING. AFTER A PERIOD OF LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS SATURDAY MORNING. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL RETURN SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. WIND SPEEDS SATURDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE LIGHTER THAN TODAY-
LIKELY 8KT OR LESS. TYPICAL SOUTHWEST WINDS UNDER 8KT RETURN
SATURDAY EVENING. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH FEW TO SCT CLOUDS
AT OR ABOVE 12KFT INTO THIS EVENING AND MAINLY HIGH CLOUDS AOA 20KFT
SATURDAY.
FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA, NORTHWEST ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...FOR THE 06Z FORECAST PACKAGE...ELEVATED NORTH TO
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10KT WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT IN THE COLORADO
RIVER VALLEY, OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. WINDS
SATURDAY WILL BE LIGHTER WITH MOST TAF SITES SEEING WINDS LESS THAN
10KT. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE KBIH WERE SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS WILL
GUST BETWEEN 25-30KT AFTER 18Z. LIGHTER WINDS WILL RETURN SATURDAY
EVENING AFTER SUNSET. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST WITH CLOUD BASES
REMAINING AT OR ABOVE 20KFT.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OR IMPACTS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING
PROCEDURES.
DISCUSSION...MELTZER
AVIATION...NICKERSON
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