369
FXUS65 KVEF 010719
AFDVEF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1219 AM PDT WED JUL 1 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* DRY CONDITIONS, BREEZY TO GUSTY AFTERNOONS, AND GRADUALLY WARMING
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
THE SLOW, GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND, AS HIGH TEMPERATURES WARM A COUPLE OF DEGREES EACH DAY,
FINALLY REACHING ABOVE NORMAL BY SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THE WARMING
TREND WILL BE TEMPERED BY THE LINGERING EFFECTS OF A LONGWAVE TROUGH
EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHERN ROCKIES TO THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA,
THOUGH THIS FEATURE IS PROGGED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS AS THE RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN CONUS BREAKS DOWN AND
BEGINS AND BUILDING WESTWARD. IN SPITE OF THE WEAKENING TROUGH, ITS
PRESENCE WILL MAINTAIN BREEZY TO GUSTY WINDS DURING THE AFTERNOONS
AND EVENINGS THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK, PEAKING ON THURSDAY.
HOWEVER, GUSTS LOOK TO PEAK AROUND 25 TO 30 MPH, THUS WILL REMAIN
BELOW CRITERIA, THOUGH COULD STILL PRODUCE CHOPPY WAVES ON AREA
LAKES AT TIMES. LIGHTER BREEZES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND,
THOUGH GIVEN THE EXTREMELY DRY CONDITIONS, FIRE CONCERNS WILL REMAIN
HEIGHTENED THROUGH THE INDEPENDENCE DAY HOLIDAY. THUS, THOSE WHO
WILL BE RECREATING OUTDOORS WITH SPARKS OR FLAMES (INCLUDING SAFE-
AND-SANE FIREWORKS OR CHARCOAL GRILLS) WILL NEED TO EXERCISE
ADDITIONAL CAUTION TO AVOID UNINTENTIONAL FIRE STARTS.
AVIATION...FOR HARRY REID...FOR THE 06Z FORECAST PACKAGE
WINDS
TONIGHT WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST, REMAINING UNDER 10KT BEFORE
BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE BY DAYBREAK. VARIABLE WINDS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE WINDS SETTLE OUT OF THE
SOUTHEAST AND INCREASE TO 10-12KT, WITH WINDS THEN VEERING TO THE
SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO 20-25KT
EXPECTED THROUGH LATE EVENING. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL,
THOUGH SLANTWISE VISIBILITY REDUCTIONS DUE TO WILDFIRE SMOKE ALONG
THE MORMON MESA CORRIDOR WILL PERSIST.
FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA, NORTHWEST ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...FOR THE 06Z FORECAST PACKAGE...WINDS TONIGHT WILL
GENERALLY FOLLOW TYPICAL DIRECTIONAL PATTERNS WITH SPEEDS AROUND
5-10KT THROUGH THE MORNING. BY LATE MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON,
WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST AND THEN TO THE SOUTH,
INCREASING TO 10-15KT WITH AT LEAST INTERMITTENT GUSTS TO AROUND
20-25KT THROUGH MID TO LATE EVENING BEFORE WINDS DIMINISH. AN
EXCEPTION TO THIS WILL BE ACROSS THE WESTERN MOJAVE, INCLUDING
KDAG, WHERE WINDS GENERALLY REMAIN WESTERLY FOR THE DURATION WITH
SUSTAINED SPEEDS AROUND 15-18KT AND GUSTS TO 25-30KT TONIGHT AND
AGAIN LATE AFTERNOON ONWARD. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH NO
OPERATIONAL CLOUD COVER EXPECTED, THOUGH SLANTWISE VISIBILITY
REDUCTIONS DUE TO WILDFIRE SMOKE CAN BE EXPECTED AT TIMES.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OR IMPACTS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING
PROCEDURES.
DISCUSSION/AVIATION...PHILLIPSON
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