179
FXUS65 KVEF 011121
AFDVEF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
421 AM PDT WED JUL 1 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* DRY CONDITIONS, BREEZY TO GUSTY AFTERNOONS, AND GRADUALLY WARMING
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
THE SLOW, GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND, AS HIGH TEMPERATURES WARM A COUPLE OF DEGREES EACH DAY,
FINALLY REACHING ABOVE NORMAL BY SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THE WARMING
TREND WILL BE TEMPERED BY THE LINGERING EFFECTS OF A LONGWAVE TROUGH
EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHERN ROCKIES TO THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA,
THOUGH THIS FEATURE IS PROGGED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS AS THE RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN CONUS BREAKS DOWN AND
BEGINS AND BUILDING WESTWARD. IN SPITE OF THE WEAKENING TROUGH, ITS
PRESENCE WILL MAINTAIN BREEZY TO GUSTY WINDS DURING THE AFTERNOONS
AND EVENINGS THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK, PEAKING ON THURSDAY.
HOWEVER, GUSTS LOOK TO PEAK AROUND 25 TO 30 MPH, THUS WILL REMAIN
BELOW CRITERIA, THOUGH COULD STILL PRODUCE CHOPPY WAVES ON AREA
LAKES AT TIMES. LIGHTER BREEZES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND,
THOUGH GIVEN THE EXTREMELY DRY CONDITIONS, FIRE CONCERNS WILL REMAIN
HEIGHTENED THROUGH THE INDEPENDENCE DAY HOLIDAY. THUS, THOSE WHO
WILL BE RECREATING OUTDOORS WITH SPARKS OR FLAMES (INCLUDING SAFE-
AND-SANE FIREWORKS OR CHARCOAL GRILLS) WILL NEED TO EXERCISE
ADDITIONAL CAUTION TO AVOID UNINTENTIONAL FIRE STARTS.
AVIATION...FOR HARRY REID...FOR THE 12Z FORECAST PACKAGE
LIGHT
AND VARIABLE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE MORNING/EARLY
AFTERNOON WHEN WINDS WILL SETTLE OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST AND INCREASE
TO 10-12KT. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY VEER AROUND TO THE SOUTHEAST BY
LATE AFTERNOON, AND CONTINUING TO VEER TO THE SOUTHWEST BY EARLY
THIS EVENING. EXPECT 20 TO 25 KNOT WIND GUSTS BEGINNING LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AS WINDS BECOME MORE SOUTHEASTERLY. THESE GUSTS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH LATER THIS EVENING AS WINDS CONTINUE TO VEER
AROUND TO THE SOUTHWEST. WIND GUSTS WILL DROP OFF LATER TONIGHT,
WITH WINDS CONTINUING TO MAINTAIN A SOUTHWESTERLY DIRECTION. VFR
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL, THOUGH SLANTWISE VISIBILITY REDUCTIONS
DUE TO WILDFIRE SMOKE ALONG THE MORMON MESA CORRIDOR WILL PERSIST.
FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA, NORTHWEST ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...FOR THE 12Z FORECAST PACKAGE...WINDS WILL GENERALLY
FOLLOW TYPICAL DIRECTIONAL PATTERNS WITH SPEEDS AROUND 5-10KT
THROUGH THE MORNING. BEGINNING LATER THIS MORNING/EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON, WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST AND THEN TO THE
SOUTH, INCREASING TO 10-15KT WITH AT LEAST INTERMITTENT GUSTS TO
AROUND 20- 25KT THROUGH MID TO LATE EVENING BEFORE WINDS DIMINISH.
AN EXCEPTION TO THIS WILL BE ACROSS THE WESTERN MOJAVE, INCLUDING
KDAG, WHERE WINDS GENERALLY REMAIN WESTERLY FOR THE DURATION WITH
SUSTAINED SPEEDS AROUND 15-18KT AND GUSTS TO 25-30KT TONIGHT AND
AGAIN LATE AFTERNOON ONWARD. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH NO
OPERATIONAL CLOUD COVER EXPECTED, THOUGH SLANTWISE VISIBILITY
REDUCTIONS DUE TO WILDFIRE SMOKE CAN BE EXPECTED AT TIMES.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OR IMPACTS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING
PROCEDURES.
DISCUSSION...PHILLIPSON
AVIATION...STESSMAN
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