008
FXUS65 KVEF 020441
AFDVEF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
941 PM PDT WED JUL 1 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* DRY CONDITIONS, BREEZY AFTERNOONS, AND GRADUALLY WARMING
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY.
THE CURRENT UPPER LEVEL PATTERN FEATURES A BROAD TROUGH OVER THE
WESTERN UNITED STATES AND A RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE
COUNTRY. THE POSITION OF THE TROUGH SUPPORTS BREEZY SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST SURFACE WINDS ACROSS THE MOJAVE DESERT TODAY, WITH GUSTS
BETWEEN 20 AND 30 MPH ALONG WITH INCREASED WAVE HEIGHTS ON AREA
LAKES. ALSO OF NOTE IS ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY AND
TOMORROW DUE TO A COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND DRY CONDITIONS.
HOWEVER, THE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
WEST AND HEIGHTS ALOFT RISE. THIS MEANS A GRADUAL DECREASE IN BREEZY
AFTERNOON WINDS AND A RETURN TO NEAR OR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES BY
INDEPENDENCE DAY. TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO INCREASE GOING INTO NEXT
WEEK. IN LAS VEGAS, THERE IS A 25 PERCENT CHANCE OF REACHING 110
DEGREES ON TUESDAY AND A 38% CHANCE NEXT WEDNESDAY. FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS CONTINUE THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK DUE
TO HOT TEMPERATURES AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS.
AVIATION...FOR HARRY REID...FOR THE 06Z FORECAST PACKAGE
WINDS
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON WILL FOLLOW TYPICAL DAILY DIRECTIONAL
PATTERNS, WITH SPEEDS EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNDER 10KT. EARLY TO MID-
AFTERNOON, WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST, INCREASING TO AROUND
15KT WITH GUSTS TO 20-25KT EXPECTED THEREAFTER THROUGH SUNSET.
WINDS AND GUSTS WILL DIMINISH QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET, REMAINING
SOUTHWESTERLY WITH SPEEDS UNDER 8KT OVERNIGHT. VFR CONDITIONS WILL
PREVAIL, THOUGH SLANTWISE VISIBILITY REDUCTIONS DUE TO WILDFIRE
SMOKE ALONG THE MORMON MESA CORRIDOR WILL PERSIST.
FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA, NORTHWEST ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...FOR THE 06Z FORECAST PACKAGE...WINDS WILL GENERALLY
REMAIN AROUND 5-10KT AND FOLLOW TYPICAL DIRECTIONAL PATTERNS WITH
SOME VARIABILITY THROUGH LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON. WINDS
WILL THEN SHIFT TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST, INCREASING TO AROUND
10-15KT WITH GUSTS TO 20-25KT COMMON THROUGH SUNSET BEFORE WINDS
AND GUSTS QUICKLY DIMINISH. AN EXCEPTION TO THIS WILL BE ACROSS
THE WESTERN MOJAVE, INCLUDING KDAG, WHERE WINDS GENERALLY REMAIN
WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY FOR THE DURATION, WITH SPEEDS AROUND
10-15KT AND GUSTS PEAKING AROUND 25-30KT LATE IN THE FORECAST
PERIOD. OTHERWISE, VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH NO OPERATIONAL
CLOUD COVER EXPECTED, THOUGH SLANTWISE VISIBILITY REDUCTIONS DUE
TO WILDFIRE SMOKE CAN BE EXPECTED AT TIMES.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OR IMPACTS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING
PROCEDURES.
DISCUSSION...MELTZER
AVIATION...PHILLIPSON
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