644
FXUS65 KVEF 020759
AFDVEF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1259 AM PDT THU JUL 2 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* DRY CONDITIONS, BREEZY AFTERNOONS, AND GRADUALLY WARMING
TEMPERATURES CONTINUE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
THE DESERT SOUTHWEST REMAINS SITUATED BENEATH A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGH, WHICH IS CONDUCIVE FOR SHORTWAVE PASSAGES ALONG THE FLOW
ALOFT, RESULTING IN BREEZY AFTERNOONS. EACH AFTERNOON CAN GENERALLY
EXPECT SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY WIND GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH, WITH STRONGER
SPEEDS IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THESE BREEZES COUPLED WITH DRY
CONDITIONS WILL ELEVATE FIRE DANGER, BUT NOT ENOUGH FOR A FIRE-
RELATED HEADLINE. THAT SAID, AS INDEPENDENCE DAY ACTIVITIES INCREASE
INCLUDING COOKING ON CHARCOAL GRILLS AND USING SAFE-AND-SANE
FIREWORKS, FOLKS ARE ENCOURAGED TO STAY SAFE AND ENSURE THERE ARE
PLENTY OF WATER SOURCES NEARBY FOR ANY POTENTIAL FIRE STARTS. OVER
THE WEEKEND, THE AFOREMENTIONED TROUGH WILL FINALLY WEAKEN AND PUSH
EAST, ALLOWING THE NORTHERN MEXICO / FOUR CORNERS HIGH PRESSURE TO
RETURN TO THE REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY
INCREASE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD, WITH WIDESPREAD MODERATE HEAT
RISK (LEVEL 2 OF 4) BY MONDAY. FOR LAS VEGAS, THERE IS A 25 PERCENT
CHANCE OF THE FIRST 110F OF THE YEAR ON TUESDAY AND A 38 PERCENT
CHANCE ON WEDNESDAY.
AVIATION...FOR HARRY REID...FOR THE 06Z FORECAST PACKAGE
WINDS
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON WILL FOLLOW TYPICAL DAILY DIRECTIONAL
PATTERNS, WITH SPEEDS EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNDER 10KT. EARLY TO MID-
AFTERNOON, WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST, INCREASING TO AROUND
15KT WITH GUSTS TO 20-25KT EXPECTED THEREAFTER THROUGH SUNSET.
WINDS AND GUSTS WILL DIMINISH QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET, REMAINING
SOUTHWESTERLY WITH SPEEDS UNDER 8KT OVERNIGHT. VFR CONDITIONS WILL
PREVAIL, THOUGH SLANTWISE VISIBILITY REDUCTIONS DUE TO WILDFIRE
SMOKE ALONG THE MORMON MESA CORRIDOR WILL PERSIST.
FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA, NORTHWEST ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...FOR THE 06Z FORECAST PACKAGE...WINDS WILL GENERALLY
REMAIN AROUND 5-10KT AND FOLLOW TYPICAL DIRECTIONAL PATTERNS WITH
SOME VARIABILITY THROUGH LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON. WINDS
WILL THEN SHIFT TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST, INCREASING TO AROUND
10-15KT WITH GUSTS TO 20-25KT COMMON THROUGH SUNSET BEFORE WINDS
AND GUSTS QUICKLY DIMINISH. AN EXCEPTION TO THIS WILL BE ACROSS
THE WESTERN MOJAVE, INCLUDING KDAG, WHERE WINDS GENERALLY REMAIN
WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY FOR THE DURATION, WITH SPEEDS AROUND
10-15KT AND GUSTS PEAKING AROUND 25-30KT LATE IN THE FORECAST
PERIOD. OTHERWISE, VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH NO OPERATIONAL
CLOUD COVER EXPECTED, THOUGH SLANTWISE VISIBILITY REDUCTIONS DUE
TO WILDFIRE SMOKE CAN BE EXPECTED AT TIMES.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OR IMPACTS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING
PROCEDURES.
DISCUSSION...SOULAT
AVIATION...PHILLIPSON
FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:
HTTPS://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER
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