960
FXUS65 KVEF 251724
AFDVEF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1025 AM PDT SAT JUL 25 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* DANGEROUS TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY ACROSS THE
MOJAVE DESERT. HOTTER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
* CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WILL BE LIMITED TO NORTHWESTERN ARIZONA OVER
THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
THROUGH FRIDAY.
DANGEROUS HEAT WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE MOJAVE DESERT INTO NEXT WEEK
AS RIDGING REMAINS IN PLACE. WIDESPREAD MAJOR HEATRISK (LEVEL 3 OF
4) WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE MOJAVE DESERT THROUGH MONDAY WITH
POCKETS OF EXTREME HEATRISK (LEVEL 4 OF 4) IN LOWER ELEVATIONS.
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN AROUND 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL, WITH LITTLE OVERNIGHT RELIEF IN PLACES LIKE DEATH VALLEY AND
LAS VEGAS WHERE OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES WILL BE 100+ AND 90+
DEGREES RESPECTIVELY. TEMPERATURES WILL DECREASE A FEW DEGREES EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS THE RIDGE SHIFTS OFF TO OUR EAST, BUT WILL QUICKLY
REBOUND AS THE RIDGE RETROGRADES BACK WEST, EVENTUALLY MOVING
DIRECTLY OVERHEAD LATE NEXT WEEK.
MOISTURE WILL DECREASE SLIGHTLY OVER THE WEEKEND AS WE FIND
OURSELVES UNDER MORE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. THIS RELATIVE
DECREASE IN MOISTURE COMBINED WITH A LACK OF LIFTING OUTSIDE OF
DAYTIME HEATING WILL RESULT IN LULL IN CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY THE
REGION OVER THE WEEKEND. THE EXCEPTION IS FAR EASTERN MOHAVE COUNTY,
WHERE THERE IS A 10 TO 15% CHANCE OF AFTERNOON STORMS OVER THE
WEEKEND.
AVIATION...FOR HARRY REID...FOR THE 18Z FORECAST PACKAGE
MAINLY
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED NEAR THE TERMINAL THROUGH THE
TAF PERIOD. LIGHT WINDS THROUGH LATE MORNING WILL INCREASE BY EARLY
AFTERNOON, WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY
EVENING. LIGHT WINDS WILL RETURN OVERNIGHT. NO CONVECTION IS
EXPECTED IN OR NEAR THE VEGAS VALLEY TODAY, ALTHOUGH A FEW STORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER NORTHERN ARIZONA AND SOUTHERN UTAH,
POTENTIALLY IMPACTING THE EASTERN APPROACHES. VFR CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY, WITH CIGS REMAINING AOA 15KFT AGL.
TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL EXCEED 100 DEGREES BETWEEN 19Z AND 06Z, WITH
A HIGH NEAR 114F EXPECTED AROUND 00Z.
FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA, NORTHWEST ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...FOR THE 18Z FORECAST PACKAGE...FOR MUCH OF THE REGION,
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS CAN BE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. AT KDAG, WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT
THROUGH MOST OF THE AFTERNOON BEFORE WESTERLY GUSTS TO NEAR 30 KNOTS
DEVELOP AROUND 00Z. GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED AT KBIH
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON BEFORE TURNING NORTHERLY OVERNIGHT. THE
SOUTHERLY WINDS MAY ALSO PUSH SMOKE INTO THE AREA FROM THE FIRES
BURNING NEAR BIG PINE, REDUCING VISIBILITY AT TIMES. SCATTERED
CONVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTHWEST ARIZONA.
GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS, BRIEF PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN, AND CIGS FALLING
BELOW 10KFT AGL ARE THE MAIN CONCERNS. ELSEWHERE, VFR CONDITIONS
WILL PREVAIL WITH BASES REMAINING AOA 15KFT AGL.
CLIMATE
NUMEROUS CLIMATE LOCATIONS HAVE A FORECAST HIGH
TEMPERATURE AND/OR FORECAST WARM LOW TEMPERATURE WITHIN 3 DEGREES OF
THE DAILY RECORD.
THE TABLE BELOW SHOWS THE DAILY RECORD MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE AND THE
YEAR THE RECORD WAS LAST SET. AN ASTERISK (*) DENOTES WHICH RECORDS
ARE IN JEOPARDY (WITHIN 3 DEGREES OF THE FORECAST).
MAX SAT, JUL 25 SUN, JUL 26 MON, JUL 27
RECORD(YR) RECORD(YR) RECORD(YR)
LAS VEGAS 115(2018)* 116(1943) 115(2016)
BISHOP 107(2016)* 108(1975) 108(2016)
NEEDLES 122(2018) 119(2023) 119(2018)
DAGGETT 115(1975) 114(2018) 115(1995)
KINGMAN 108(2018)* 108(2023) 108(1934)
DESERT ROCK 110(2018) 110(2018) 110(2018)
DEATH VALLEY 127(2018) 127(2018) 127(2018)
THE TABLE BELOW SHOWS THE DAILY RECORD WARM MINIMUM TEMPERATURE AND
THE YEAR THE RECORD WAS LAST SET. AN ASTERISK (*) DENOTES WHICH
RECORDS ARE IN JEOPARDY (WITHIN 3 DEGREES OF THE FORECAST).
WARM MIN SAT, JUL 25 SUN, JUL 26 MON, JUL 27 TUE, JUL 28
RECORD(YR) RECORD(YR) RECORD(YR) RECORD (YR)
LAS VEGAS 93(2024)* 94(2024)* 90(2018)* 91(2018)*
BISHOP 70(2013) 69(2022) 70(1951) 71(2004)
NEEDLES 97(2018) 98(2018) 96(2018) 96(2018)
DAGGETT 85(2024)* 85(2024)* 83(2016)* 83(2016)*
KINGMAN 80(1914)* 84(1914)* 81(1914)* 85(1914)
DESERT ROCK 84(2018)* 82(2024)* 83(2024)* 84(2003)
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OR IMPACTS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING
PROCEDURES.
DISCUSSION...STESSMAN
AVIATION...PLANZ
CLIMATE...GORELOW
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