201
FXUS65 KVEF 261037
AFDVEF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
337 AM PDT SUN JUL 26 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* DANGEROUS TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY ACROSS THE
MOJAVE DESERT. HOTTER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
* CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WILL BE LIMITED TO NORTHWESTERN ARIZONA
THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
THROUGH SATURDAY.
WIDESPREAD MAJOR (LEVEL 3 OF 4) TO EXTREME (LEVEL 4 OF 4) HEATRISK
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY AS TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO RUN AROUND
5 TO 10 DEGREES HOTTER THAN NORMAL WITH LITTLE TO NO OVERNIGHT
RELIEF IN PLACES LIKE LAS VEGAS, LAUGHLIN, LAKE HAVASU CITY, AND
DEATH VALLEY. TEMPERATURES WILL DECREASE A FEW DEGREES ON TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY AS THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE RESPONSIBLE FOR THE RECENT
HEAT SHIFTS OFF TO THE EAST. THIS RIDGE WILL RETROGRADE BACK TO THE
WEST, MOVING DIRECTLY OVERHEAD LATER THIS WEEK. AS THE RIDGE MOVES
BACK OVERHEAD, WE WILL SEE TEMPERATURES TAKE BACK OFF AS WE CLOSE
OUT JULY AND BEGIN AUGUST WITH TEMPERATURES 7 TO 10 DEGREES HOTTER
THAN NORMAL. AS TEMPERATURES TAKE BACK OFF, WE WILL SEE WIDESPREAD
MAJOR HEATRISK ACROSS OUR ENTIRE FORECAST AREA ON FRIDAY, WITH
WIDESPREAD MAJOR-TO-EXTREME HEATRISK OVER THE WEEKEND.
MOISTURE, DRIVEN BY OUTFLOW WINDS FROM STORMS IN ARIZONA, WILL
CONTINUE TO WORK ITS WAY UP THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY THIS MORNING
AND AFTERNOON, SPILLING INTO SOUTHERN NEVADA AND NORTHWESTERN
ARIZONA. THIS MOISTURE WILL HELP TO FUEL ISOLATED AFTERNOON
CONVECTION, WITH A 15 TO 25% CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION IN THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF MOHAVE COUNTY AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN SURROUNDING THE
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL DECREASE ON MONDAY
AS MOISTURE DECREASES. AS THE RIDGE SHIFTS BACK TO THE EAST, WE WILL
SEE A BRIEF PERIOD OF SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS ALOFT, WHICH WILL RESULT
IN A SLIGHT UPTICK IN MOISTURE ON TUESDAY. THIS SLIGHT UPTICK IN
MOISTURE WILL BRING A 15 TO 20% CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
TO FAR EASTERN MOHAVE COUNTY ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THINGS WILL DRY
OUT ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK AS THE
RIDGE BEGINS TO RETROGRADE BACK OVERHEAD.
AVIATION...FOR HARRY REID
FOR THE 12Z FORECAST
PACKAGE...SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 10 KNOTS OR LESS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS, WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A SLIGHT
SOUTHEASTERLY COMPONENT BEGINNING AROUND MID-MORNING. BREEZY
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL PICK UP IN THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS
AROUND 15 TO 22 KNOTS. WIND GUSTS WILL DROP OFF DURING THE EVENING
HOURS, WITH WINDS CONTINUING TO MAINTAIN A SOUTHWESTERLY DIRECTION
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. FEW TO SCT CLOUDS AT OR ABOVE
12KFT. TEMPERATURES WILL EXCEED 100 DEGREES FROM 16Z TO 08Z WITH A
HIGH AROUND 111F.
FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA, NORTHWEST ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...FOR THE 12Z FORECAST PACKAGE...WINDS ACROSS THE
REGION WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY LIGHT, 12 KNOTS OR LESS, THROUGH
LATE MORNING. BREEZY SOUTHERLY TO WESTERLY WINDS WILL PICK UP THIS
AFTERNOON WITH 15 TO 25 KNOT WIND GUSTS EXPECTED. WINDS WILL
DECREASE DURING THE EVENING HOURS, FAVORING TYPICAL DIURNAL
DIRECTIONAL TRENDS. ISOLATED CONVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE IN
NORTHWESTERN ARIZONA AND AROUND THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY THIS
AFTERNOON. GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS AND BRIEF PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN
LIKELY WITH ANY STORMS. OTHERWISE, VFR CONDITIONS WITH FEW TO
SCATTERED CLOUDS AT OR ABOVE 12KFT.
CLIMATE
NUMEROUS CLIMATE LOCATIONS HAVE A FORECAST HIGH
TEMPERATURE AND/OR FORECAST WARM LOW TEMPERATURE WITHIN 3 DEGREES OF
THE DAILY RECORD.
THE TABLE BELOW SHOWS THE DAILY RECORD MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE AND THE
YEAR THE RECORD WAS LAST SET. AN ASTERISK (*) DENOTES WHICH RECORDS
ARE IN JEOPARDY (WITHIN 3 DEGREES OF THE FORECAST).
MAX SUN, JUL 26 MON, JUL 27 TUE, JUL 28 WED, JUL 29
RECORD(YR) RECORD(YR) RECORD(YR) RECORD (YR)
LAS VEGAS 116(1943) 115(2016) 115(2016) 115(1995)
BISHOP 108(1975) 108(2016) 108(2016) 107(2016)
NEEDLES 119(2023) 119(2018) 119(2016) 118(2023)
DAGGETT 114(2018) 115(1995) 117(1995) 116(1995)
KINGMAN 108(2018) 108(2023) 108(2016) 107(2016)
DESERT ROCK 110(2018) 110(2018) 112(2016) 110(2016)
DEATH VALLEY 127(2018) 127(2018) 126(2016) 127(1995)
THE TABLE BELOW SHOWS THE DAILY RECORD WARM MINIMUM TEMPERATURE AND
THE YEAR THE RECORD WAS LAST SET. AN ASTERISK (*) DENOTES WHICH
RECORDS ARE IN JEOPARDY (WITHIN 3 DEGREES OF THE FORECAST).
WARM MIN SUN, JUL 26 MON, JUL 27 TUE, JUL 28 WED, JUL 29
RECORD(YR) RECORD(YR) RECORD(YR) RECORD (YR)
LAS VEGAS 94(2024)* 90(2018)* 91(2018)* 94(2016)
BISHOP 69(2022) 70(1951) 71(2004) 67(2006)
NEEDLES 98(2018) 96(2018) 96(2018) 95(2023)
DAGGETT 85(2024)* 83(2016)* 83(2016)* 84(2016)
KINGMAN 84(1914)* 81(1914)* 85(1914) 83(1905)
DESERT ROCK 82(2024)* 83(2024)* 84(2003) 88(1994)
DEATH VALLEY 101(1980)* 102(2006)* 101(2018) 101(2016)
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OR IMPACTS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING
PROCEDURES.
DISCUSSION/AVIATION/CLIMATE...STESSMAN
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