076
FXUS65 KVEF 262305
AFDVEF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
405 PM PDT SUN JUL 26 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* DANGEROUS TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY ACROSS THE
MOJAVE DESERT, WITH HOTTER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUING
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.
* CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WILL BE LIMITED TO NORTHWESTERN ARIZONA
THROUGH TUESDAY.
DISCUSSION
THROUGH SATURDAY.
WIDESPREAD MAJOR (LEVEL 3 OF 4) TO EXTREME (LEVEL 4 OF 4) HEATRISK
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY AS TEMPERATURES REMAIN AROUND 5 TO 10
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN VERY WARM OVERNIGHT,
WITH LITTLE TO NO RELIEF IN PLACES LIKE LAS VEGAS, LAUGHLIN, LAKE
HAVASU CITY, AND DEATH VALLEY. READINGS WILL FALL A FEW DEGREES
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS THE RIDGE RESPONSIBLE FOR THE HEAT SHIFTS
TO THE EAST. HOWEVER, THIS RIDGE WILL RETROGRADE WESTWARD LATER IN
THE WEEK, MOVING DIRECTLY OVERHEAD BY THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL RESULT
IN TEMPERATURES INCREASING TO 7 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY THE
WEEKEND (THERE IS A 50% CHANCE OF SEEING HIGHS OF 115F IN LAS VEGAS
ON SATURDAY). AS TEMPERATURES CLIMB AGAIN, MAJOR HEATRISK WILL
SPREAD ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA BY FRIDAY, WITH WIDESPREAD
MAJOR-TO-EXTREME HEATRISK EXPECTED BY THE WEEKEND.
A MODEST INCREASE IN MOISTURE, DRIVEN BY OUTFLOW WINDS FROM STORMS
IN CENTRAL ARIZONA YESTERDAY, WILL CONTINUE TO WORK ITS WAY UP THE
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON, SPILLING INTO FAR SOUTHERN
NEVADA AND NORTHWESTERN ARIZONA. THIS MOISTURE WILL HELP FUEL
ISOLATED AFTERNOON CONVECTION, WITH A 15 TO 20% CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF MOHAVE COUNTY AND THE
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY. CONVECTION CHANCES WILL DIMINISH TOMORROW AS
MOISTURE LEVELS DECREASE. AS THE RIDGE SHIFTS TO THE EAST, WE WILL
SEE A BRIEF PERIOD OF SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS ALOFT, WHICH WILL RESULT
IN A SLIGHT UPTICK IN MOISTURE ON TUESDAY. THIS INCREASE IN MOISTURE
WILL BRING A 15 TO 20% CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO FAR
EASTERN MOHAVE COUNTY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. BEYOND TUESDAY, MOISTURE
LEVELS WILL DECREASE AGAIN ACROSS THE REGION AS THE RIDGE MOVES BACK
OVERHEAD.
AVIATION...FOR HARRY REID...FOR THE 00Z FORECAST PACKAGE
SOUTHERLY BREEZES PERSIST THROUGHOUT THE TAF PERIOD, STRONGEST IN
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS WITH GUSTS 15-25 KNOTS. AFTER SUNSET
THROUGH MID-MORNING, SPEEDS LARGELY BELOW 10 KNOTS. FEW TO SCATTERED
CLOUDS AT OR ABOVE 12KFT. TEMPS REMAIN ABOVE 100F THROUGH 07Z, THEN
AGAIN TOMORROW AFTER 16Z.
FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA, NORTHWEST ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...FOR THE 00Z FORECAST PACKAGE...SOUTHERLY TO WESTERLY
BREEZES CONTINUE THIS EVENING WITH GUSTS 15-25 KNOTS. ISOLATED
CONVECTION ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF I-15 THROUGH SUNSET, WITH BRIEF
DOWNPOURS AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS POSSIBLE. AFTER SUNSET, CONVECTIVE
ACTIVITY AND WINDS WANE ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA. THE EXCEPTION IS
THE KDAG AREA WHERE BREEZY WEST WINDS PERSIST INTO THE NIGHT. FEW TO
SCATTERED CLOUDS AT OR ABOVE 12KFT, WITH LOCALLY GREATER COVERAGE
POSSIBLE. SIMILAR WIND AND SKY CONDITIONS ANTICIPATED ON MONDAY.
CLIMATE
NUMEROUS CLIMATE LOCATIONS HAVE A FORECAST HIGH
TEMPERATURE AND/OR FORECAST WARM LOW TEMPERATURE WITHIN 3 DEGREES OF
THE DAILY RECORD.
THE TABLE BELOW SHOWS THE DAILY RECORD MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE AND THE
YEAR THE RECORD WAS LAST SET. AN ASTERISK (*) DENOTES WHICH RECORDS
ARE IN JEOPARDY (WITHIN 3 DEGREES OF THE FORECAST).
MAX SUN, JUL 26 MON, JUL 27 TUE, JUL 28 WED, JUL 29
RECORD(YR) RECORD(YR) RECORD(YR) RECORD (YR)
LAS VEGAS 116(1943) 115(2016) 115(2016) 115(1995)
BISHOP 108(1975) 108(2016) 108(2016) 107(2016)
NEEDLES 119(2023) 119(2018) 119(2016) 118(2023)
DAGGETT 114(2018) 115(1995) 117(1995) 116(1995)
KINGMAN 108(2018) 108(2023) 108(2016) 107(2016)
DESERT ROCK 110(2018) 110(2018) 112(2016) 110(2016)
DEATH VALLEY 127(2018) 127(2018) 126(2016) 127(1995)
THE TABLE BELOW SHOWS THE DAILY RECORD WARM MINIMUM TEMPERATURE AND
THE YEAR THE RECORD WAS LAST SET. AN ASTERISK (*) DENOTES WHICH
RECORDS ARE IN JEOPARDY (WITHIN 3 DEGREES OF THE FORECAST).
WARM MIN SUN, JUL 26 MON, JUL 27 TUE, JUL 28 WED, JUL 29
RECORD(YR) RECORD(YR) RECORD(YR) RECORD (YR)
LAS VEGAS 94(2024)* 90(2018)* 91(2018)* 94(2016)
BISHOP 69(2022) 70(1951) 71(2004) 67(2006)
NEEDLES 98(2018) 96(2018) 96(2018) 95(2023)
DAGGETT 85(2024)* 83(2016)* 83(2016)* 84(2016)
KINGMAN 84(1914)* 81(1914)* 85(1914) 83(1905)
DESERT ROCK 82(2024)* 83(2024)* 84(2003) 88(1994)
DEATH VALLEY 101(1980)* 102(2006)* 101(2018) 101(2016)
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OR IMPACTS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING
PROCEDURES.
DISCUSSION/CLIMATE...PLANZ/STESSMAN
AVIATION...WOODS
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