791
FXUS65 KVEF 280454 RRA
AFDVEF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV 953
PM PDT MON JUL 27 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* HOTTER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE END
FORECAST PERIOD, WITH DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY RECORD BREAKING
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED BEGINNING THURSDAY.
* ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE LIMITED TO MOHAVE COUNTY
THROUGH TUESDAY, WITH THINGS DRYING OUT AREA-WIDE DURING THE
SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
THROUGH SUNDAY.
DRY CONDITIONS PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON WITH JUST A
SCATTERING OF FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN
AND NORTHWEST ARIZONA. WE MAY SEE AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM
ACROSS NORTHERN MOHAVE COUNTY BY THIS EVENING BUT IN GENERAL DRIER
CONDITIONS HAVE OVERSPREAD THE AREA WITH LIMITED CONVECTIVE COVERAGE
EXPECTED THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK GOING FORWARD.
AS THE MOISTURE PROFILE DECREASES, OUR FOCUS WILL SHIFT TO WARMING
TEMPERATURES LATE IN THE WEEK AS A LARGE H500MB RIDGE BUILDS
WESTWARD OUT OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. ENSEMBLE AGREEMENT REMAINS HIGH
FO R AN EXPANSIVE 600DM HIGH TO BUILD ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY, WHICH MAY CHALLENGE ALL-TIME AUGUST RECORDS FOR SOME
LOCATIONS ACROSS THE MOJAVE DESERT REGION. THIS WILL ALSO RESULT IN
WIDESPREAD HIGH TO EXTREME HEAT RISK ACROSS MUCH OF THE MIDDLE AND
LOWER ELEVATIONS FOR SEVERAL DAYS IN A ROW. FOR MORE INFORMATION
REGARDING EXACTLY WHICH RECORDS ARE IN JEOPARDY LATER THIS WEEK, SEE
THE CLIMATE SECTION BELOW.
AVIATION...FOR HARRY REID...FOR THE 06Z FORECAST PACKAGE
SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT. A PERIOD OF LIGHT
SOUTHEAST WINDS (140 TO 160 DEGREES TRUE) IS POSSIBLE MID-TO-LATE
MORNING, BEFORE MODERATE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS BECOME
REESTABLISHED BY EARLY AFTERNOON. OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS WILL
BE POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING, BUT SHOULD
SUBSIDE AROUND SUNSET. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN HOT ON TUESDAY, WITH
READINGS EXCEEDING 100F BETWEEN 18Z AND 05Z AND PEAKING AROUND 110F
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD.
FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA, NORTHWEST ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...FOR THE 06Z FORECAST PACKAGE...MAINLY LIGHT SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED AREA-WIDE THROUGH THE NIGHT. ON
TUESDAY, BREEZY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED, WITH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE
ACROSS THE WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT, INCLUDING KDAG, WHERE WINDS WILL
REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH MOST OF THE AFTERNOON BEFORE WESTERLY WINDS
INCREASE BY EVENING. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD.
CLIMATE
NUMEROUS CLIMATE LOCATIONS HAVE A FORECAST HIGH
TEMPERATURE AND/OR FORECAST WARM LOW TEMPERATURE WITHIN 3 DEGREES OF
THE DAILY RECORD.
THE TABLE BELOW SHOWS THE DAILY RECORD MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE AND THE
YEAR THE RECORD WAS LAST SET. AN ASTERISK (*) DENOTES WHICH RECORDS
ARE IN JEOPARDY (WITHIN 3 DEGREES OF THE FORECAST).
MAX THU, JUL 30 FRI, JUL 31 SAT, AUG 1 SUN, AUG 2
RECORD(YR) RECORD(YR) RECORD(YR) RECORD (YR)
LAS VEGAS 114(1978)* 115(1978)* 116(1979)* 115(1979)*
BISHOP 105(2020)* 109(2000)* 108(2020)* 108(2020)*
NEEDLES 120(2020) 121(2020)* 121(1993)* 120(1993)
DAGGETT 114(2000) 113(2020)* 115(1995)* 117(1986)*
KINGMAN 110(2020) 112(2020) 106(2020)* 105(1918)*
DESERT ROCK 109(2000) 109(1996)* 109(1993)* 109(1993)*
DEATH VALLEY 127(1995) 125(2020)* 127(2017)* 126(1993)*
THE TABLE BELOW SHOWS THE DAILY RECORD WARM MINIMUM TEMPERATURE AND
THE YEAR THE RECORD WAS LAST SET. AN ASTERISK (*) DENOTES WHICH
RECORDS ARE IN JEOPARDY (WITHIN 3 DEGREES OF THE FORECAST).
WARM MIN THU, JUL 30 FRI, JUL 31 SAT, AUG 1 SUN, AUG 2
RECORD(YR) RECORD(YR) RECORD(YR) RECORD (YR)
LAS VEGAS 89(2019)* 88(2020)* 92(2020)* 91(2024)*
BISHOP 72(2022) 67(2018) 71(2007) 71(2007)
NEEDLES 94(2019) 94(1925) 95(1969) 92(1980)*
DAGGETT 86(2016) 85(2018) 84(2000)* 83(2018)*
KINGMAN 83(1972) 83(1914)* 82(1914)* 82(2008)*
DESERT ROCK 81(2015) 82(2016) 83(2000)* 86(2000)
DEATH VALLEY 103(2018) 103(2018) 106(1920) 100(2024)*
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OR IMPACTS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING
PROCEDURES.
DISCUSSION...OUTLER
AVIATION...PLANZ
FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:
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