769
FXUS65 KVEF 132121
AFDVEF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
221 PM PDT TUE OCT 13 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* LIGHT SCATTERED SHOWERS, GUSTY NORTHWESTERLY WINDS, AND COOLER
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TODAY.
* GUSTY CONDITIONS RETURN ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH THE CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION RETURNING EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
TODAY THROUGH MONDAY.
A CLOSED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL
CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH OUR FORECAST AREA TODAY
BEFORE IT LIFTS EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. AS A RESULT, EXPECT
LIGHT SHOWER ACTIVITY, PARTICULARLY ACROSS SOUTHERN NEVADA AND
NORTHWESTERN ARIZONA. NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF MEASURABLE
RAINFALL, BUT CAN'T RULE OUT A FEW HUNDRETHS WITH SHOWER ACTIVITY
OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. ALONG WITH THIS LIGHT PRECIPITATION, MUCH
COOLER TEMPERATURES USHERED INTO THE REGION THIS MORNING. PIOCHE,
NEVADA IN LINCOLN COUNTY AND TONOPAH, NEVADA IN NYE COUNTY RECEIVED
SOME LIGHT SNOWFALL THIS MORNING AS A RESULT. OTHERWISE, THE REGION
CAN EXPECT HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY BETWEEN 15 AND 20 DEGREES BELOW
SEASONAL NORMALS. THE DAILY RECORD COOL HIGH FOR LAS VEGAS IS IN
JEOPARDY THIS AFTERNOON, WITH A FORECAST HIGH OF 65 AND A STANDING
RECORD COOL HIGH OF 66 DEGREES OBSERVED IN 1981. GOLDFIELD, NEVADA
OBSERVED A LOW TEMPERATURE OF 30 DEGREES THIS MORNING BEFORE WARMING
UP ABOVE FREEZING AROUND 8 AM. AS A RESULT, THE FREEZE WARNING FOR
ESMERALDA AND CENTRAL NYE COUNTIES HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE ON
TIME. TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING, THERE IS A FREEZE WARNING FOR
THE NORTHERN OWENS VALLEY INCLUDING BISHOP AS WELL AS FOR LINCOLN
COUNTY INCLUDING PIOCHE AND CALIENTE.
AS THE AFOREMENTIONED CLOSED LOW PUSHES EASTWARD, IT WILL LEAVE THE
DESERT SOUTHWEST UNDERNEATH A NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. A VORTICITY
LOBE WILL RIDE SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG THIS FLOW BEFORE ULTIMATELY
CLOSING OFF OVER NORTHERN BAJA / SOUTHEASTERN CALIFORNIA /
SOUTHWESTERN ARIZONA LATE-WEEK. THIS WILL RETURN GUSTY NORTH WINDS
TO THE REGION ON THURSDAY, WITH GUST SPEEDS BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH
AND LOCALLY HIGHER SPEEDS IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THIS CLOSED LOW
WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THE WEEKEND BEFORE WEAKENING AND
PUSHING EASTWARD FOR THE START OF THE WORK WEEK. THERE IS LOW
CONFIDENCE AT THE MOMENT, BUT ENSEMBLE MEANS SUGGEST THAT THE
PLACEMENT OF THIS LOW WILL HELP TO USHER TROPICAL MOISTURE INTO THE
MOJAVE DESERT FROM HURRICANE SIMON (CURRENTLY PROGGED TO TRAVEL UP
THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA), WHICH WILL INTERACT WITH AN ADDITIONAL
INCOMING LONG-WAVE TROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. AS A RESULT, THERE ARE
CURRENTLY WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION CHANCES EARLY NEXT WEEK. STAY
TUNED AS THIS FORECAST DEVELOPS AND CONFIDENCE INCREASES THROUGH THE
WEEK.
AVIATION...FOR HARRY REID...FOR THE 18Z FORECAST PACKAGE
POST
FRONTAL NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS
THROUGH LATE MORNING ALONG WITH LIGHT VICINITY SHOWERS AND SCT-BKN
CONDITIONS BETWEEN 7-10KFT. ANY SHOWER ACTIVITY SHOULD WANE DURING
AFTERNOON WITH SKY CONDITIONS IMPROVING. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY EASE
THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON BUT REMAIN NORTHERLY THROUGH EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.
FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA, NORTHWEST ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...FOR THE 18Z FORECAST PACKAGE...A COLD FRONT CONTINUES
TO PUSH SOUTH THIS MORNING AND IS CURRENTLY PUSHING INTO THE CENTRAL
MOJAVE DESERT AND COLORADO RIVER VALLEY. BEHIND THE FRONT, EXPECT
GUSTY NORTH-NORTHWEST WINDS GENERALLY 20-35 KNOTS. PRECIPITATION
CHANCES (30-60%) SHOULD REMAIN CONFINED TO SOUTHEASTERN NV AND
NORTHWESTERN AZ. NEAR THE SHOWER ACTIVITY, SCT-BKN CONDITIONS
BETWEEN 6-10KFT. FARTHER SOUTH AND WEST, ANTICIPATE FEW-SCT
CONDITIONS AT THE SAME ALTITUDE. WINDS WEAKEN THIS EVENING, BUT
RETAIN A NORTHERLY DIRECTION IN MOST LOCATIONS.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OR IMPACTS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING
PROCEDURES.
DISCUSSION...SOULAT
AVIATION...OUTLER
FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:
HTTPS://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page