954  
FXUS01 KWBC 060759  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
259 AM EST TUE MAR 06 2018  
 
VALID 12Z TUE MAR 06 2018 - 12Z THU MAR 08 2018  
 
...HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NORTHERN  
PLAINS THROUGH THE UPPER MIDWEST, WITH BLIZZARD CONDITIONS  
EXPECTED LOCALLY...  
 
...SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL OCCUR AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT FROM THE  
GULF COAST THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST AND CAROLINAS...  
 
...CRITICAL FIRE DANGER CONTINUES THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK  
IN THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS...  
 
...ANOTHER NOR'EASTER DEVELOPS ON WEDNESDAY, SPREADING SNOW TO THE  
NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST...  
 
WIDESPREAD HEAVY SNOW IS FORECAST FROM THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS,  
THE GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY REGION AND THE NORTHEAST AS AN  
OCCLUDED SURFACE FRONT TRACKS EASTWARD. ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE  
TRAILING COLD FRONT, SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP FROM  
THE WESTERN GULF STATES NORTH TO THE SOUTHERN OHIO VALLEY AND EAST  
INTO THE CAROLINAS AND SOUTHEAST. A WAVE ALONG THIS FRONTAL  
BOUNDARY WILL QUICKLY TRANSITION THIS SYSTEM INTO A NOR'EASTER,  
WHICH WILL BRING ADDITIONAL 6 TO 10 INCHES WEST OF THE MAJOR METRO  
AREAS, WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE, TO PORTIONS OF THE  
MID-ATLANTIC AND THE NORTHEAST WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. LIGHTER  
SNOWFALL IS FORECAST FOR THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND BACK INTO  
THE NORTHERN OHIO VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES REGION.  
 
THE HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WIND HAS CREATED BLIZZARD CONDITIONS  
YESTERDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS THAT HAVE PERSIST  
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO IMPROVE THIS  
MORNING/AFTERNOON FROM WEST TO EAST AS THE FRONT TRACKS EASTWARD.  
NUMEROUS BLIZZARD WARNINGS, WINTER STORM WARNINGS AND WINTER  
WEATHER ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER  
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.  
 
BEHIND THE COLD FRONT, STRONG WIND SPEEDS AND DRY AIR WILL FILTER  
INTO THE CENTRAL U.S. THIS WILL LEAD TO CONTINUED CRITICAL FIRE  
DANGER FOR EASTERN COLORADO THROUGH MUCH OF KANSAS AND OKLAHOMA AS  
WELL AS THE TEXAS PANHANDLE THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT, AND AN ELEVATED  
TO CRITICAL RISK WILL REMAIN ON TUESDAY. RED FLAG WARNINGS ARE IN  
EFFECT, AND HIGH WIND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FARTHER NORTH ACROSS  
WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA, NEBRASKA, AND KANSAS, AS WELL AS EASTERN  
WYOMING AND COLORADO. SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA IS ALSO FORECAST TO  
HAVE ELEVATED FIRE CONDITIONS ON TUESDAY, AS THE WESTERN U.S. IS  
GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE DRY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS BEFORE A  
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES WEDNESDAY EVENING. RAIN WILL BE  
POSSIBLE FROM THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA COAST NORTHWARD TO THE  
PACIFIC NORTHWEST.  
 
CAMPBELL/TATE  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  

 
 
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