654  
FXUS01 KWBC 030634  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
233 AM EDT THU MAY 03 2018  
 
VALID 12Z THU MAY 03 2018 - 12Z SAT MAY 05 2018  
 
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AND FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE FROM  
THE PLAINS TO THE NORTHEAST TODAY...  
 
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY IN THE  
SOUTHERN PLAINS...  
   
..HEAVY SNOW CONTINUES FOR THE CENTRAL ROCKIES TODAY
 
 
   
..RECORD WARMTH EXPECTED FOR THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC
 
 
THE FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE ONGOING SEVERE WEATHER IN THE PLAINS  
AND MIDWEST WILL SLOWLY PUSH EASTWARD TODAY BEFORE QUICKLY MOVING  
EASTWARD BY FRIDAY. ANOTHER ROUND OF CONVECTION WILL OCCUR ALONG  
THE FRONT BY THIS AFTERNOON FROM CENTRAL TEXAS INTO THE MIDDLE  
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THIS CONVECTION HAS THE CAPABILITY OF BECOMING  
SEVERE--AS THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS AN ENHANCED RISK MOSTLY  
IN SOUTHERN IOWA, NORTHERN MISSOURI AND EASTERN NEBRASKA/KANSAS.  
IN ADDITION, THESE STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING. BY  
FRIDAY, THE FRONT MOVES INTO THE NORTHEAST, OHIO VALLEY AND INTO  
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED IN  
SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST TEXAS--WHERE THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK  
OF SEVERE WEATHER IN ADDITION TO FLASH FLOODING. ANOTHER AREA OF  
PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FRONT WILL ALSO OCCUR IN THE  
NORTHEAST AND OHIO VALLEY--WHERE THUNDERSTORMS ALSO HAVE A  
MARGINAL CHANCE OF BECOMING SEVERE. BY SATURDAY, SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS WILL ONCE AGAIN CONTINUE ALONG THE FRONT FROM THE  
MID-ATLANTIC INTO SOUTH TEXAS.  
 
DRY, WARM CONDITIONS ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS WILL OCCUR BEHIND THE  
DRYLINE IN EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND INTO WEST TEXAS.THESE CONDITIONS  
WILL YIELD TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY. BY FRIDAY,  
DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ALBEIT WINDS WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN.  
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BUT FOR A SMALLER  
PORTION OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. FOR  
INFORMATION ON BOTH THE AFOREMENTIONED SEVERE WEATHER AND FIRE  
WEATHER, PLEASE SEE THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER (WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV).  
 
HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE  
COLORADO ROCKIES THROUGH TODAY AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW DRIVING MUCH  
OF THE SEVERE WEATHER IN THE PLAINS CONTINUES TO SLIDE EASTWARD.  
THE HIGH PLAINS IN COLORADO CAN ALSO EXPECT THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH  
THIS EVENING. LOOKING EASTWARD, RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES CAN BE  
EXPECTED TODAY AND FRIDAY FOR THE MID-ATLANTIC--WITH TEMPERATURES  
REACHING THE UPPER 80S TO 90 DEGREES BOTH DAYS! THIS WARMTH WILL  
BE SHORT LIVED AS THE COLD FRONT REACHES THE AREA AND BRINGS  
TEMPERATURES BACK DOWN TO NEAR-NORMAL.  
 
REINHART  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  

 
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab HPC Page Main Text Page