583  
FXUS01 KWBC 092000  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
359 PM EDT WED MAY 09 2018  
 
VALID 00Z THU MAY 10 2018 - 00Z SAT MAY 12 2018  
 
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF  
THE WESTERN OHIO VALLEY/GREAT LAKES...  
 
UPPER-LEVEL ENERGY OVER THE UPPER UPPER GREAT LAKES/UPPER  
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL MOVE EASTWARD TO OFF THE NORTHEAST COAST  
OVERNIGHT THURSDAY WHILE ANOTHER AREA OF UPPER-LEVEL ENERGY OVER  
CENTRAL CANADA WILL REINFORCE THE ASSOCIATED BOUNDARY OVER THE  
NORTHEAST/MID-ATLANTIC COAST BY FRIDAY. THE SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE GREAT LAKES/WESTERN OHIO VALLEY  
INTO PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS THAT WILL MOVE EASTWARD TO THE  
NORTHEAST/MID-ATLANTIC COAST AND INTO PARTS OF THE  
TENNESSEE/MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEYS BY THURSDAY EVENING.  
OVERNIGHT THURSDAY, THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE OFF  
THE NORTHEASTERN/MID-ATLANTIC COAST AND ENDING OVER THE TENNESSEE  
VALLEY.  
 
MEANWHILE, DISORGANIZED UPPER-LEVEL ENERGY OVER THE NORTHERN  
INTERMOUNTAIN REGION/GREAT BASIN WILL MOVE EASTWARD TO THE MIDDLE  
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY FRIDAY. ONSHORE FLOW WILL AID IN PRODUCING  
RAIN OVER PARTS OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AS  
THE ONSHORE FLOW WILL END ON FRIDAY. THE ENERGY WILL AID IN  
PRODUCING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN  
INTERMOUNTAIN REGION INTO PARTS OF THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL ROCKIES  
THAT WILL MOVE INTO THE PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS BY THURSDAY  
MORNING. THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE TO PARTS OF THE  
MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EXTENDING WESTWARD TO PARTS OF THE  
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS BY THURSDAY EVENING. BY FRIDAY, THE SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO THE GREAT LAKES EXTENDING  
WESTWARD TO PARTS OF THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS.  
 
ADDITIONALLY, AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH JUST OFF THE WEST COAST WILL  
MOVE INLAND TO THE NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION/SOUTHWEST BY  
FRIDAY WHILE INTENSIFYING. THE TROUGH WILL AID IN PRODUCING RAIN  
WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN  
INTERMOUNTAIN REGION ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE REGION OF RAIN  
AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXPAND INTO PARTS OF THE  
NORTHERN/CENTRAL ROCKIES AND PARTS OF THE GREAT BASIN BY FRIDAY.  
 
ZIEGENFELDER  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  

 
 
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