805  
FXUS01 KWBC 131959  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
359 PM EDT FRI JUL 13 2018  
 
VALID 00Z SAT JUL 14 2018 - 00Z MON JUL 16 2018  
 
...HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO  
THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...  
   
..SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST
 
 
   
..HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE OVER PARTS OF THE DESERT SOUTHWEST
 
 
A SLOW MOVING FRONT WILL STRETCH FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO THE  
PLAINS WILL BE THE FOCAL POINT FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER  
THE NEXT FEW DAYS. AMPLE MOISTURE FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL BE  
TRANSPORTED TO THIS AREA AND FUEL CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY PARTICULARLY  
IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THERE IS A  
SLIGHT RISK OF FLASH FLOODING FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST TO THE  
CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. ADDITIONALLY, A SLIGHT  
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS ALSO POSSIBLE THROUGH TOMORROW  
MORNING. BY SATURDAY, THE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING AND SEVERE  
THUNDERSTORMS DECREASES--HOWEVER THERE WILL STILL BE A MARGINAL  
RISK OF FLASH FLOODING IN THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND OHIO  
VALLEY.  
 
A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO BE DRAPED ALONG THE  
CAROLINAS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WITH PLENTY OF MOISTURE ON TAP AND  
INSTABILITY FROM DAYTIME HEATING, SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL  
INCREASE THROUGHOUT THE DAY ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST. A MARGINAL RISK  
OF FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNDAY.  
 
REINHART  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  

 
 
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