650  
FXUS01 KWBC 090801  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
400 AM EDT TUE OCT 09 2018  
 
VALID 12Z TUE OCT 09 2018 - 12Z THU OCT 11 2018  
 
...HURRICANE MICHAEL IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE  
FLORIDA PANHANDLE PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN...  
 
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF  
THE MIDDLE/UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...  
 
...HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE OVER PARTS OF THE UPPER GREAT LAKES/UPPER  
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS...  
 
...HEAVY SNOW POSSIBLE OVER PARTS OF THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY  
AND OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF PARTS OF THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL  
ROCKIES AND EASTERN GREAT BASIN...  
 
HURRICANE MICHAEL IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE FLORIDA  
PANHANDLE ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD TO THE  
SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC BY THURSDAY. MICHAEL WILL PRODUCE VERY  
HEAVY RAIN, STRONG WIND, AND STORM SURGE. SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE OVERNIGHT  
TUESDAY AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD INTO GEORGIA BY THURSDAY.  
 
MEANWHILE, A FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE UPPER GREAT LAKES TO THE  
MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THEN SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN  
PLAINS WILL MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD TO THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI  
VALLEY/UPPER GREAT LAKES SOUTHWARD TO PARTS OF THE TENNESSEE AND  
LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEYS BY WEDNESDAY EVENING. SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY FROM  
PARTS OF THE GREAT LAKES TO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY  
SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL MOVE EASTWARD TO PARTS  
OF THE UPPER GREAT LAKES SOUTHWARD TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY  
BY WEDNESDAY EVENING. NORTH OF THE FRONT RAIN WILL DEVELOP OVER  
PARTS OF THE UPPER GREAT LAKES/UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THROUGH  
WEDNESDAY EVENING. RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW OVER PARTS OF  
THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY NEAR CANADA ON WEDNESDAY MORNING  
CONTINUING INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING.  
 
ZIEGENFELDER  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  

 
 
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