892  
FXUS01 KWBC 031929  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
328 PM EDT WED APR 03 2019  
 
VALID 00Z THU APR 04 2019 - 00Z SAT APR 06 2019  
 
...CRITICAL RISK OF FIRE WEATHER FOR BOTH THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS  
AND PARTS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST THIS EVENING...  
 
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE FOR PARTS OF  
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TONIGHT AND THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON  
THURSDAY...  
 
WHILE THE PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG LOW PRESSURE  
SYSTEM LIFTING INTO NOVA SCOTIA HAS COME TO AN END ACROSS NEW  
ENGLAND, EXPECT GUSTY WINDS TO CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT ACROSS MUCH  
OF THE NORTHEAST. DRY AIR ON THE BACKSIDE OF THIS SYSTEM COMBINED  
WITH STRONG WINDS IS RESULTING IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS  
AS RED FLAG WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST  
THIS AFTERNOON.  
 
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF A LOW PRESSURE  
SYSTEM EJECTING INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON.  
CONDITIONS COULD BE RIPE FOR SEVERE WEATHER AND SPC HAS  
HIGHLIGHTED PARTS OF WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND THE TEXAS PANHANDLE  
WITHIN A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER. EXPECT PRECIPITATION TO  
MOVE EASTWARD ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI  
VALLEY AND THE GULF COAST STATES, WHERE AGAIN, SEVERE WEATHER AND  
HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE. BOTH SPC AND WPC HAVE SLIGHT RISKS  
FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND FLASH FLOODING, RESPECTIVELY, IN  
THEIR OUTLOOKS FOR PARTS OF THIS REGION. FARTHER WEST, BEHIND A  
DRY LINE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM, A CRITICAL RISK OF FIRE  
WEATHER REMAINS IN PLACE FOR PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS. TO  
THE NORTH, RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS  
INTO THE MIDWEST TONIGHT AND EVEN THOUGH SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS  
NOT EXPECTED, ANY AMOUNT OF RAIN COULD EXACERBATE ONGOING FLOOD  
CONCERNS FOR THAT REGION. THIS RAINFALL SHOULD SHIFT INTO THE  
OHIO/TENNESSEE VALLEYS ON THURSDAY AND THE EASTERN SEABOARD STATES  
BY FRIDAY.  
 
OUT WEST, EXPECT NEAR OR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AHEAD OF A  
COUPLE OF FRONTS MOVING INLAND DURING THE SHORT RANGE PERIOD. RAIN  
AND HIGHER ELEVATION SNOWS WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THESE SYSTEMS,  
SHIFTING INTO THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST AND ROCKIES BY FRIDAY.  
ELSEWHERE, TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO BE ABOVE TO WELL ABOVE  
NORMAL ACROSS THE CENTRAL U.S. WHERE AFTERNOON HIGHS COULD BE 10  
TO 20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.  
 
SANTORELLI  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  

 
 
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