423  
FXCA20 KWBC 161224  
PMDCA  
 
TROPICAL DISCUSSION - INTERNATIONAL DESKS  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
723 AM EST THU FEB 16 2023  
 
PRELIMINARY DISCUSSION FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE USVI FROM FEB  
16/12UTC: TODAY...THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMNANTS COMING FROM THE  
NORTH ARE EXPECTED TO MAKE ITS WAY THROUGH THE ISLANDS. LOCAL  
WINDS WILL INCREASE IN SPEED...TO AROUND 20KT. PRECIPITABLE WATER  
MAY INCREASE TO ABOUT 1.4 INCHES AND AN INCREASE IN PRECIPITATION  
IN THE NORTHEAST PORTION OF PUERTO RICO CAN BE OBSERVED. AREAS MAY  
OBSERVE AMOUNTS OVER 0.75 INCHES OF RAINFALL...LOCALIZED AMOUNTS  
OVER 1 INCH AROUND THE LUQUILLO MOUNTAIN RANGE CAN BE OBSERVED.  
 
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMNANTS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE FURTHER SOUTH  
INTO THE CARIBBEAN BASIN AND DRY AIR IS EXPECTED TO FOLLOW BEHIND  
BY FRIDAY. ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...WIND SPEEDS WILL BE OBSERVED  
AT AROUND 20KT FROM THE NORTHEASTERLY DIRECTION. A MID-LEVEL RIDGE  
CENTERED OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO...AND EXTENDING OVER THE  
CARIBBEAN BASIN...WILL BRING A TRADE WIND CAP AT AROUND 800-850HPA  
LEVEL FROM FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY. ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY...WINDS  
DECREASE TO AROUND 15KT AND PRECIPITABLE WATER AMOUNTS REMAIN AT  
ABOUT THE 1 INCH MARK AND BELOW. A MORE TYPICAL PATTERN OF  
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS IS EXPECTED TO BRING RAINFALL ACROSS  
NORTH AND EASTERN PR...AND THE USVI...IN THE MORNING AND EVENING  
HOURS. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS OBSERVED MAY BE BELOW 0.3 INCHES ON  
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...WITH LOWER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY AND  
MONDAY.  
 
ACOSTA/ALAMO...WPC (USA)  

 
 
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