682  
FXUS01 KWBC 271853  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
153 PM EST MON NOV 27 2023  
 
VALID 00Z TUE NOV 28 2023 - 00Z THU NOV 30 2023  
 
...ACTIVE LAKE-EFFECT SNOWFALL DOWNWIND OF THE GREAT LAKES WILL  
CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY, PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY SNOWFALL AMOUNTS...  
 
...BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FROM THE GREAT LAKES INTO THE EAST,  
AND ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER FROM SOUTHERN TEXAS TO FLORIDA,  
WHILE A WARMING TREND FOR MUCH OF THE PLAINS AND MISSISSIPPI  
VALLEY ON TAP...  
   
..MUCH OF THE NATION WILL BE DRY OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS
 
 
A COLD WEATHER PATTERN IN PLACE FOR THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK  
ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE NATION. A BROAD MID TO UPPER LEVEL  
TROF CENTERED ACROSS THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF NORTH AMERICA WILL  
KEEP TEMPERATURES BELOW AVERAGE FROM THE GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY,  
EASTWARD TO ALONG THE EAST COAST AND ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER OF  
THE NATION FROM SOUTHERN TEXAS TO FLORIDA. HIGH TEMPERATURES  
EXPECTED TO BE 10 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE TUESDAY FROM THE MID  
WEST, GREAT LAKES, OHIO VALLEY REGION INTO THE EAST COAST, AND  
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER FROM SOUTHERN TEXAS TO FLORIDA, WITH THE  
CORE OF THE BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
IMMEDIATE EAST COAST ON WEDNESDAY FROM FLORIDA TO NEW ENGLAND.  
THE COLD AIR MOVING ACROSS THE RELATIVELY WARM WATERS OF THE GREAT  
LAKES WILL KEEP THE CURRENT ACTIVE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS GOING INTO  
TUESDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING FROM WEST TO EAST BY EARLY WEDNESDAY.  
LOCALLY HEAVY SNOWS ARE LIKELY IN THE FAVORED LAKE EFFECT SNOW  
BELTS DOWNWIND OF THE GREAT LAKES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE UPPER  
PENINSULA OF MICHIGAN, WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE LOWER PENINSULA OF  
MICHIGAN, AND FROM FAR NORTHEAST OHIO, FAR NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA,  
FAR WESTERN NEW YORK STATE AND PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST NEW YORK  
STATE. THE HEAVIEST TOTALS EXPECTED DOWNWIND OF LAKES ERIE AND  
ONTARIO WHERE TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 FEET ARE POSSIBLE. LAKE EFFECT  
SNOW WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR AREAS DOWNWIND LAKE ERIE  
FROM FAR NORTHEAST OHIO, ACROSS FAR NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA INTO  
WESTERN AND NORTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF NEW YORK STATE. WHILE LAKE  
EFFECT SNOWS WILL BE DIMINISHING FROM WEST TO EAST ON TUESDAY,  
ADDITIONAL LIGHT SNOWS ARE LIKELY TO SPREAD WEST TO EAST ACROSS  
THE GREAT LAKES TUESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF A WARM  
FRONT MOVING FROM THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE GREAT  
LAKES.  
 
WHILE COLD TEMPERATURES ARE ON TAP FOR LARGE PORTIONS OF THE EAST  
AND SOUTH, A WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN ACROSS MUCH OF THE PLAINS  
AND MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AS THE CORE OF THE COLD AIR PUSHES  
EASTWARD. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REBOUND TO ABOVE  
AVERAGE LEVELS ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS ON TUESDAY,  
AND INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY WEDNESDAY.  
 
MUCH OF THE NATION EXPECTED TO BE DRY IN THIS WEATHER PATTERN.  
THE EXCEPTIONS WILL BE DOWNWIND OF THE GREAT LAKES FROM THE ABOVE  
MENTIONED ACTIVE LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS AND ACROSS COASTAL  
CALIFORNIA WHERE LIGHT RAINS ARE POSSIBLE BEGINNING TUESDAY NIGHT  
ACROSS NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND SPREADING SOUTH INTO CENTRAL  
CALIFORNIA DURING WEDNESDAY. LIGHT RAINS ALSO POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY  
ACROSS FAR SOUTH TEXAS.  
 
ORAVEC  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  

 
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab HPC Page Main Text Page