435  
FXUS01 KWBC 150815  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
314 AM EST MON JAN 15 2024  
 
VALID 12Z MON JAN 15 2024 - 12Z WED JAN 17 2024  
   
..DANGEROUSLY COLD TEMPERATURES CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF THE U.S  
 
...SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN CONTINUE OVER THE SOUTHERN U.S TODAY,  
SPREAD INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC ...  
   
..HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOWFALL CONTINUES  
 
THE MAIN THEME TO OUR WEATHER STORY OVER MUCH OF THE LOWER 48  
REMAINS THE BRUTALLY COLD TEMPERATURES AND ASSOCIATED SIGNIFICANT  
WINTRY WEATHER. LITTLE HAS CHANGED WITH THE "TAKE-HOME" MESSAGE  
REGARDING THE DANGEROUS COLD ENTRENCHED OVER THE U.S, AS SUB-ZERO  
AIR TEMPERATURES AND EVEN COLDER WIND CHILLS PREVAIL THROUGH  
TOMORROW BEFORE ANOTHER ARCTIC BLAST ARRIVES LATE THIS WEEK. THIS  
MEANS ONE MORE DAY OF FRIGID WIND CHILLS DIPPING BELOW MINUS 30  
ACROSS THE PLAINS STATES, AND MINUS 50 IN MONTANA AND THE DAKOTAS.  
AS WE APPROACH MID-WEEK (WEDNESDAY), THE INITIAL ARCTIC AIRMASS  
WILL MODERATE, LEADING TO BELOW AVERAGE (BUT STILL COLD)  
TEMPERATURES EAST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE. UNFORTUNATELY,  
ANOTHER SURGE OF FRIGID ARCTIC AIR IS EXPECTED TO PLUNGE SOUTHWARD  
OUT OF CANADA LATER THIS WEEK, WHICH COULD LEAD TO MORE OF THE  
SAME DANGEROUS COLD WEATHER ACROSS THE MIDWEST AND DEEP SOUTH BY  
THE END OF THE WORK WEEK. STAY TUNED FOR DETAILS AS THE FORECAST  
EVOLVES.  
 
IN THE MORE IMMEDIATE TERM, THE FRIGID AIRMASS IN PLACE IS ALSO  
SUPPORTING HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN  
U.S AND GREAT LAKES. WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO LOCALLY MAJOR  
POTENTIAL WINTER STORM IMPACTS TODAY ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE LOWER  
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND TENNESSEE VALLEY AS A MIX OF SNOW, SLEET,  
AND FREEZING RAIN FALL BEFORE SPREADING INTO THE APPALACHIANS.  
IMPACTS FROM THIS STORM TODAY MAY BE PROLONGED EVEN AFTER THE  
WINTRY PRECIPITATION SUBSIDES, OWING TO THE ARCTIC AIR IN PLACE.  
BY LATER TODAY INTO TOMORROW, SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE  
APPALACHIANS AND MID-ATLANTIC, INCLUDING WASHINGTON D.C,  
PHILADELPHIA, AND NEW YORK. REGARDLESS OF HOW MUCH FALLS, PREPARE  
FOR SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS BEGINNING LATER TODAY INTO TOMORROW.  
 
 
MEANWHILE, PERIODS OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOWFALL WILL CONTINUE  
DOWNWIND OF THE GREAT LAKES THROUGH WEDNESDAY, WITH HEAVY  
ACCUMULATIONS FOCUSED ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN, WESTERN AND  
UPSTATE NEW YORK INCLUDING BUFFALO. IN THESE AREAS, MODERATE TO  
MAJOR WINTER WEATHER IMPACTS CAN BE EXPECTED, WHERE LOCALIZED  
WINTER STORM WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT.  
 
ASHERMAN  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 
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