560
FXUS01 KWBC 251852
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
151 PM EST THU JAN 25 2024
VALID 00Z FRI JAN 26 2024 - 00Z SUN JAN 28 2024
...ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY RAINS TO AFFECT THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY/CENTRAL GULF COAST, BUT DRIER WEATHER ON THE WAY...
...ICING AND SNOW POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND/FAR
NORTHERN NEW YORK STATE FRIDAY...
...ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ACROSS MUCH OF THE NATION OVER THE
NEXT FEW DAYS, WITH NUMEROUS RECORD HIGH MORNING LOWS POSSIBLE
ALONG BOTH THE WEST AND EAST COASTS...
A CONTINUED VERY WET WEATHER PATTERN ON TAP FOR POTIONS OF THE
COUNTRY FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE CENTRAL GULF
COASTAL REGION. A SERIES OF STORM SYSTEMS HAS ALREADY PRODUCED
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL TOTALS FROM EASTERN TEXAS INTO THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS, WITH AT LEAST ONE MORE
HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT IN STORE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY BEFORE A MUCH
NEEDED DRIER PATTERN DEVELOPS FOR THE END OF THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT
WEEK. THE CURRENT HEAVY RAINS FALLING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
CENTRAL GULF COAST INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY THURSDAY AFTERNOON
WILL BE DIMINISHING THIS EVENING AS THE AREA OF PRECIPITATION
CONTINUES TO PULL OFF TO THE NORTHEAST, AFFECTING AREAS FROM THE
OHIO VALLEY/LOWER GREAT LAKES INTO THE NORTHEAST AND NEW ENGLAND.
THIS DRY PERIOD WILL BE SHORT LIVED, HOWEVER, AS THE NEXT STORM
SYSTEM BEGINS TO DEVELOP FRIDAY EVENING/NIGHT OVER EASTERN TEXAS
AND MOVES INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY/CENTRAL GULF COASTAL
REGIONS SATURDAY. ADDITIONAL WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINS LIKELY FROM
THE CENTRAL GULF COAST, NORTHWARD INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI AND
TENNESSEE VALLEY. WITH SOILS SATURATED AND STREAM FLOWS WELL
ABOVE AVERAGE, THE EXPECTED ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL POSE A
FLOODING THREAT ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
AND CENTRAL GULF COAST. FLOOD WATCHES ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT
ACROSS MUCH OF THIS REGION. IN ADDITION TO HEAVY RAIN AND
FLOODING THREAT, SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY ACROSS THESE AREAS.
THE ACTIVE WET WEATHER PATTERN IS ALSO HELPING TO SUPPORT MUCH
ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ACROSS LARGE PORTIONS OF THE NATION
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE MORNING LOW TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED
TO BE ESPECIALLY ANOMALOUS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD RECORD HIGH MINIMUM TEMPERATURES FRIDAY,
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY MORNING ACROSS LARGE PORTIONS OF THE EAST AND
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY MORNING ALONG LARGE PORTIONS OF THE WEST
COAST. THE WARMER THAN AVERAGE TEMPERATURES HAVING ALSO BEEN
PRODUCING WIDESPREAD FOGGY CONDITIONS FROM THE MID-WEST, LOWER
GREAT LAKES INTO THE NORTHEAST AS THE WARM AIR MOVES OVER COOLER
GROUND/SNOW COVERED GROUNDS. THIS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE AGAIN
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY WITH DENSE FOG ADVISORIES
CURRENTLY IN EFFECT ACROSS THESE REGIONS.
IN THIS MILD WEATHER PATTERN, WINTER WEATHER WILL BE MOSTLY ABSENT
FROM THE LOWER 48. AN EXCEPTION WILL BE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND FROM MAINE INTO NEW HAMPSHIRE, VERMONT, FAR
WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND FAR NORTHERN NEW YORK STATE WHERE ICE
AND SNOW ARE POSSIBLE. THE HEAVIEST SNOWS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
CENTRAL MAINE INTO FAR NORTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND FAR NORTHEAST
VERMONT WHERE TOTALS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. FREEZING RAIN
TOTALS OF .10"+ ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS LARGE PORTIONS OF NEW
HAMPSHIRE, VERMONT, FAR WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND FAR NORTHERN NEW
YORK STATE.
ORAVEC
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