400
FXUS01 KWBC 261900
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
159 PM EST FRI JAN 26 2024
VALID 00Z SAT JAN 27 2024 - 00Z MON JAN 29 2024
...LIGHT SNOW AND FREEING RAIN LIKELY TO TAPER OFF ACROSS PARTS OF
NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT...
...THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM WILL SPREAD HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC THIS
WEEKEND...
...HEAVY RAINFALL LIKELY ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST THIS
WEEKEND...
...MOST OF THE COUNTRY WILL EXPERIENCE ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES
THIS WEEKEND WHILE THE SOUTHERN TIER REMAINS AT OR BELOW AVERAGE...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM STATIONED OVER THE NORTHEAST AND
MID-ATLANTIC WILL MOVE OUT TO SEA TONIGHT. LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS AND
SOME FREEZING RAIN WILL SLOWLY COME TO AN END AS A RESULT. IN THE
MEANTIME, ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL ORGANIZE OVER THE
CENTRAL GULF COAST AND SPREAD A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS, FOCUSED
ALONG A COLD FRONT, ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND
SOUTHEAST BEGINNING TONIGHT AND CONTINUING INTO SATURDAY. A BROAD
SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL (LEVEL 2/4) IS IN EFFECT ACROSS
THE CENTRAL GULF COAST WHERE MUCH OF THE REGION HAS HAD VIRTUALLY
NO TIME TO RECOVER FROM THE DELUGE OF RAIN THEY'VE RECEIVED OVER
THE PAST FEW DAYS.
SOME CONVERGENCE OVER OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON WILL SUPPORT THE
PROPAGATION OF A WEAK COMPLEX OF STORMS ACROSS THE STATE TONIGHT
BEFORE EVENTUALLY MERGING WITH THE GULF COAST SYSTEM AND PRODUCING
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO ARKANSAS AND THE
TENNESSEE/OHIO VALLEY ON SATURDAY. UPSLOPE ENHANCEMENT OF MOISTURE
OVER THE SOUTHERN/CENTRAL APPALACHIANS COULD LEAD TO FLASH
FLOODING CONCERNS ON SATURDAY AS FRONTALLY DRIVEN STORMS INTERACT
WITH THE TERRAIN. THUS, A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS IN
EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THROUGH PORTIONS OF THE
CENTRAL APPALACHIANS/SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA ON SATURDAY.
THIS SAME SYSTEM WILL SPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE
SOUTHEAST AND MID-ATLANTIC COAST SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. COLD
AIR IN PLACE OVER THE NORTHEAST WILL SUPPORT SOME LIGHT SNOW OVER
THE INTERIOR AND SOME LIGHT FREEZING RAIN/SLEET OVER PARTS OF
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON SUNDAY. CONDITIONS SHOULD BEGIN TO IMPROVE
BY SUNDAY NIGHT.
ELSEWHERE, A SERIES OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS WILL DIRECT A
CONTINUOUS STREAM OF MOISTURE INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST THIS
WEEKEND. ANYWHERE BETWEEN 1-4 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE WITH
ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER THE COASTAL RANGES AND CASCADES. A
SLIGHT RISK IS IN EFFECT OVER THE COASTAL BORDER REGION OF OREGON
AND CALIFORNIA WHERE SEVERAL INCHES OF RAINFALL MAY ACCUMULATE
TONIGHT.
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EAST AND WEST COASTS WILL GENERATE
ANOMALOUS WARMTH FOR THOSE REGIONS THIS WEEKEND. THE UPPER LOW
TRACKING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER STATES WILL MODERATE
TEMPERATURES WITH CLOUDY COOLER CONDITIONS COMPARED TO NORMAL.
RECORD WARM LOW TEMPERATURES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTHEAST AND
NORTHWEST TONIGHT. AS THE WEST CONTINUES TO WARM UP LATER THIS
WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, SO WILL THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD
RECORD BREAKING TEMPERATURES UP AND DOWN THE COAST.
KEBEDE
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