147  
FXUS01 KWBC 052007  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
307 PM EST MON FEB 05 2024  
 
VALID 00Z TUE FEB 06 2024 - 00Z THU FEB 08 2024  
 
...HEAVY RAIN WITH LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE  
FOR SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA INTO TUESDAY...  
 
...HEAVY SNOW TO IMPACT THE MAJOR MOUNTAIN RANGES FROM THE SIERRA  
NEVADA TO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES THROUGH MID-WEEK...  
 
...TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN WELL ABOVE AVERAGE FROM THE  
GREAT PLAINS TO THE APPALACHIANS WITH RECORD BREAKING WARMTH FOR  
PARTS OF THE UPPER MIDWEST...  
 
A SLOW MOVING AND RELATIVELY NARROW AXIS OF ANOMALOUS MOISTURE  
WILL CONTINUE TO FOCUS ACROSS SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA OVER THE NEXT 12  
TO 24 HOURS, MAINTAINING A SIGNIFICANT THREAT FOR LIFE THREATENING  
FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THE TRANSVERSE RANGES AND ADJACENT  
LOCATIONS. AREAS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN  
IN PLACE NEAR A COLD FRONT CROSSING THE SOUTHERN COAST OF  
CALIFORNIA, JUST AHEAD OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS. ADDITIONAL  
RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH TUESDAY OF 1-3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED FOR THE  
URBAN CORRIDOR FROM LOS ANGELES TO SAN DIEGO AND INTO THE  
FOOTHILLS OF THE TRANSVERSE RANGES, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER RAINFALL  
TOTALS IN AREAS OF HIGHER TERRAIN. THIS WILL FALL ON TOP OF THE 5  
TO 10+ INCHES OF RAIN WHICH HAS IMPACTED SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA OVER  
THE PAST 48 HOURS. FLOODING OF STREAMS AND RIVERS ALONG WITH  
MUDSLIDES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN A THREAT. WHILE RAIN WILL  
CONTINUE FOR SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA ON TUESDAY, THE INTENSITY IS  
EXPECTED TO BE LIGHTER THAN WHAT OCCURRED OVER THE WEEKEND AS THE  
STORM SYSTEM MOVES EAST INTO THE DESERT SOUTHWEST, BUT THE  
POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING AND HIGHER RAINFALL RATES WILL EXPAND  
INTO WESTERN ARIZONA, SOUTHERN NEVADA AND SOUTHWESTERN UTAH.  
 
HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GENERATE NEAR  
IMPOSSIBLE TRAVEL CONDITIONS FOR ELEVATIONS AT/ABOVE 5000-7000 FT  
FOR SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE SIERRA NEVADA INTO THE MOUNTAINS OF  
CENTRAL NEVADA. AS THE UPPER TROUGH AND SURFACE COLD FRONT SHIFT  
EASTWARD THROUGH MID WEEK, HEAVY SNOW WILL SPREAD EASTWARD INTO  
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF UTAH, IDAHO, WYOMING, COLORADO AND NEW  
MEXICO.  
 
THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN U.S. WILL REMAIN FAIRLY DRY AFTER A  
POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM EXITS FROM THE SOUTHEAST INTO THE WESTERN  
ATLANTIC TONIGHT. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. WILL  
CONTINUE ANOMALOUSLY WARMTH FOR THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS AND  
UPPER MIDWEST THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S AND  
LOW 50S ARE EXPECTED FOR THE UPPER MIDWEST ON TUESDAY AND  
WEDNESDAY, 20-30 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE. WHICH WILL LIKELY BREAK  
DAILY RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES. HIGHS TEMPERATURES GENERALLY FROM  
THE ROCKIES TO THE NORTHEAST WILL BE ABOVE AVERAGE AND MILD.  
 
OTTO  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  

 
 
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