581
FXUS01 KWBC 092000
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
300 PM EST FRI FEB 09 2024
VALID 00Z SAT FEB 10 2024 - 00Z MON FEB 12 2024
...WINTER STORM TO IMPACT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN TO CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS BEGINNING LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUING INTO SUNDAY...
...THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING
ON SATURDAY FROM EAST-CENTRAL TEXAS INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY...
...ABOVE AVERAGE WARMTH WILL SHIFT EASTWARD INTO THE MIDWEST,
MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST ON SATURDAY WITH POTENTIAL RECORDS FOR
SOME LOCATIONS...
UNSETTLED WEATHER ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST WILL SHIFT
EASTWARD THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING BEFORE ORGANIZING AHEAD OF
A CLOSED MID-LEVEL LOW TO CROSS THE FOUR CORNERS REGION DURING THE
AFTERNOON. COLDER TEMPERATURES WILL FILTER INTO THE GREAT PLAINS
BEHIND A COLD FRONT WITH AREAS OF ACCUMULATING SNOW DEVELOPING
THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON OVER THE COLORADO FRONT RANGE INTO
SOUTHEASTERN WYOMING AND NEBRASKA PANHANDLE. AS THE UPPER LEVEL
STORM CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE SATURDAY NIGHT, AREAS OF MODERATE TO
HEAVY SNOW SNOW ARE EXPECTED TO EXPAND ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HIGH
PLAINS WITH 4-8 INCHES EXPECTED FOR PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS
PANHANDLE INTO NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO AND SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO.
HIGHER ACCUMULATIONS OF 12 TO 18 INCHES ARE LIKELY INTO THE HIGHER
TERRAIN, INCLUDING THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BEFORE THE STORM
PULLS AWAY DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO
BE ABOUT 10 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE ON SUNDAY ACROSS MOST OF
THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS.
AHEAD OF THE STORM SYSTEM IMPACTING THE PLAINS WILL BE RETURNING
MOISTURE FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO INTO EASTERN TEXAS, THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS. RAIN WITH EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
INTO TENNESSEE AND KENTUCKY THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING, BUT
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE NUMEROUS SATURDAY
AFTERNOON OVER CENTRAL/EASTERN TEXAS, SPREADING EASTWARD THROUGH
THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED FROM
EASTERN TEXAS INTO EASTERN TENNESSEE WHERE A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2
OF 4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS IN PLACE FOR SATURDAY/SATURDAY
NIGHT, HIGHLIGHTING THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING.
MEANWHILE, POTENTIAL RECORD BREAKING WARMTH WILL TRANSLATE
EASTWARD INTO THE MIDWEST, NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST ON
SATURDAY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES OF 20 TO 30 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE
ANTICIPATED. SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCES OF RAIN BUT
THERE WILL STILL BE THE POSSIBILITY OF RECORD BREAKING HIGH
TEMPERATURES, ESPECIALLY ALONG THE I-95 CORRIDOR FROM WASHINGTON
TO BOSTON AND INTO PORTIONS OF UPSTATE NEW YORK. TEMPERATURES WILL
COOL FOR SUNDAY BEHIND A WEAK COLD FRONT BUT STILL REMAIN 5 TO 15
DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THE REGION.
OTTO
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