233  
FXUS01 KWBC 092006  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
305 PM EST FRI FEB 09 2024  
 
VALID 00Z SAT FEB 10 2024 - 00Z MON FEB 12 2024  
 
...WINTER STORM TO IMPACT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN TO CENTRAL HIGH  
PLAINS BEGINNING LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUING INTO SUNDAY...  
 
...THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING  
ON SATURDAY FROM EAST-CENTRAL TEXAS INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY...  
 
...ABOVE AVERAGE WARMTH WILL SHIFT EASTWARD INTO THE MIDWEST,  
MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST ON SATURDAY WITH POTENTIAL RECORDS FOR  
SOME LOCATIONS...  
 
UNSETTLED WEATHER ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST WILL SHIFT  
EASTWARD THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING BEFORE ORGANIZING AHEAD OF  
A CLOSED MID-LEVEL LOW TO CROSS THE FOUR CORNERS REGION DURING THE  
AFTERNOON. COLDER TEMPERATURES WILL FILTER INTO THE GREAT PLAINS  
BEHIND A COLD FRONT WITH AREAS OF ACCUMULATING SNOW DEVELOPING  
THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON OVER THE COLORADO FRONT RANGE INTO  
SOUTHEASTERN WYOMING AND THE NEBRASKA PANHANDLE. AS THE UPPER  
LEVEL STORM CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE SATURDAY NIGHT, AREAS OF  
MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW SNOW ARE EXPECTED TO EXPAND ACROSS THE  
SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS WITH 4-8 INCHES EXPECTED FOR PORTIONS OF THE  
TEXAS PANHANDLE INTO NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO AND SOUTHEASTERN  
COLORADO. HIGHER ACCUMULATIONS OF 12 TO 18 INCHES ARE LIKELY INTO  
THE HIGHER TERRAIN, INCLUDING THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS  
BEFORE THE STORM PULLS AWAY DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY. HIGH  
TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO BE ABOUT 10 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE ON  
SUNDAY ACROSS MOST OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS.  
 
AHEAD OF THE STORM SYSTEM IMPACTING THE PLAINS WILL BE RETURNING  
MOISTURE FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO INTO EASTERN TEXAS, THE LOWER  
MISSISSIPPI AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS. RAIN WITH EMBEDDED  
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY  
INTO TENNESSEE AND KENTUCKY THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING, BUT  
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE NUMEROUS SATURDAY  
AFTERNOON OVER CENTRAL/EASTERN TEXAS, SPREADING EASTWARD THROUGH  
THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED FROM  
EASTERN TEXAS INTO EASTERN TENNESSEE WHERE A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2  
OF 4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS IN PLACE FOR SATURDAY/SATURDAY  
NIGHT, HIGHLIGHTING THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING.  
 
MEANWHILE, POTENTIAL RECORD BREAKING WARMTH WILL TRANSLATE  
EASTWARD INTO THE MIDWEST, NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST ON  
SATURDAY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES OF 20 TO 30 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE  
ANTICIPATED. SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCES OF RAIN BUT  
THERE WILL STILL BE THE POSSIBILITY OF RECORD BREAKING HIGH  
TEMPERATURES, ESPECIALLY ALONG THE I-95 CORRIDOR FROM WASHINGTON  
TO BOSTON AND INTO PORTIONS OF UPSTATE NEW YORK. TEMPERATURES WILL  
LOWER A BIT FOR SUNDAY BEHIND A WEAK COLD FRONT BUT STILL REMAIN 5  
TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THE REGION.  
 
OTTO  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  

 
 
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