446  
FXUS01 KWBC 140652  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
151 AM EST WED FEB 14 2024  
 
VALID 12Z WED FEB 14 2024 - 12Z FRI FEB 16 2024  
 
...QUICK-HITTING WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING A ROUND OF HEAVY,  
ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS, UPPER MIDWEST,  
AND THE GREAT LAKES TODAY AND THURSDAY...  
 
...NEXT PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ALONG  
THE WEST COAST AND HEAVY HIGH ELEVATION SNOWFALL INTO THE  
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...  
 
IN THE WAKE OF THE MOST RECENT MULTI-DAY STORM SYSTEM THAT  
TRAVERSED THE SOUTH, AND IMPACTED THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NEW ENGLAND  
AS A STRONG NOR'EASTER, MUCH MORE TRANQUIL WEATHER IS EXPECTED  
OVER THE NEXT THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS FOR THESE LOCATIONS WHICH  
WILL ALLOW FOR MANY AREAS TO GET A CHANCE TO DRY OUT. TEMPERATURES  
ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD WILL BE GENERALLY BELOW NORMAL TODAY,  
BUT MILDER AIR SHOULD ARRIVE BY THURSDAY FROM THE MIDWEST AND OHIO  
VALLEY WHICH WILL SUPPORT TEMPERATURES GRADUALLY RETURNING BACK TO  
ABOVE NORMAL.  
 
THE NEXT FOCUS FOR UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL BEGIN TODAY ACROSS THE  
NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE FORMING ALONG A  
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO THEN QUICKLY ADVANCE EAST TOWARD THE MIDWEST  
BY TONIGHT, AND REACH THE GREAT LAKES REGION ON THURSDAY. A SWATH  
OF HEAVY, ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED NORTH OF THE LOW  
TRACK, AND LOCALLY SEVERAL INCHES OF NEW SNOW IS EXPECTED GOING  
THROUGH THURSDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL THEN QUICKLY ADVANCING INTO THE  
NORTHEAST ON FRIDAY BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF AT LEAST LIGHT TO  
MODERATE SNOW HERE TO ROUND OUT THE WEEK. IN THE WAKE OF THIS NEXT  
SURFACE LOW, THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT WILL SET THE STAGE FOR AT  
LEAST SOME MODIFIED ARCTIC AIR TO BEGIN ADVANCING SOUTH FROM  
CANADA, AND THIS WILL BEGIN TO ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO ONCE AGAIN  
TREND BELOW NORMAL ACROSS AREAS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND MIDWEST  
BY THE END OF THE WEEK.  
 
MEANWHILE, A NEW STORM SYSTEM WILL ALSO BE ARRIVING TODAY FROM THE  
PACIFIC OCEAN WHICH WILL BRING UNSETTLED WEATHER FOR THE NEXT  
COUPLE OF DAYS INTO THE WEST COAST AND THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST.  
AREAS OF MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED FOR THE  
COASTAL RANGES OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND EXTENDING SOUTH DOWN  
INTO NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. MOISTURE AND ENERGY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS  
STORM SYSTEM WILL ADVANCE WELL INLAND, ESPECIALLY BY THURSDAY, AND  
THIS WILL FOSTER HEAVY SNOW OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS WHICH WILL  
INCLUDE NOT ONLY THE CASCADES AND THE SIERRA NEVADA, BUT ALSO THE  
NORTHERN ROCKIES WHERE COLDER TEMPERATURES FILTERING SOUTH FROM  
CANADA WILL HELP FACILITATE A MORE WIDESPREAD HEAVY SNOWFALL  
THREAT. SOME FAVORED TERRAIN OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES WILL INCLUDE  
THE SAWTOOTH, BITTERROOTS, TETONS, AND ABSAROKA RANGE. LOCALLY AS  
MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET OF NEW SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF  
THESE LOCATIONS GOING THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY. SNOW ASSOCIATED WITH  
THIS SYSTEM WILL BE OVERSPREADING AREAS FARTHER EAST OUT INTO THE  
NORTHERN PLAINS ON FRIDAY WHICH WILL YIELD A RENEWED WINTER  
WEATHER THREAT HERE TO END THE WEEK.  
 
ORRISON  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 
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