542  
FXUS01 KWBC 041950  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
249 PM EST MON MAR 04 2024  
 
VALID 00Z TUE MAR 05 2024 - 00Z THU MAR 07 2024  
 
...ANOTHER STORM TO BRING ADDITIONAL HEAVY SNOWS TO NORTHERN  
CALIFORNIA AND SOUTHERN OREGON...  
 
...A WET WEATHER PATTERN FOR LARGE AREAS TO THE EAST OF THE  
MISSISSIPPI RIVER...  
 
..MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE LOWER  
48 TO THE EAST OF THE ROCKIES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...  
 
...RECORD HIGH EARLY MORNING LOWS POSSIBLE FROM THE LOWER  
LAKES/OHIO VALLEY INTO THE NORTHEAST...  
 
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OFF THE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA/PACIFIC  
NORTHWEST COAST WILL BE MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARD TUESDAY AND  
WEDNESDAY TO A POSITION OFF THE CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA  
COAST. THIS STORM WILL BE SPREADING ADDITIONAL MODERATE TO HEAVY  
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS INTO NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND SOUTHWESTERN  
OREGON OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS, WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL  
SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 FEET FROM THE SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES  
INTO THE NORTHERN SIERRA. WHILE THESE TOTALS WILL BE MUCH LESS  
THAN THE PREVIOUS MORE LONG LASTING STORM, TRAVEL WILL REMAIN  
DIFFICULT AND THE ADDITIONAL HEAVY SNOWS WILL EXACERBATE RECOVERY  
FROM THE FIRST STORM. WINTER STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR  
THE NORTHERN SIERRA, NORTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST RANGE AND INTO  
SOUTHERN OREGON FOR ADDITIONAL HEAVY SNOW AMOUNTS. THE GOOD NEWS  
FOR THIS AREA OF THE COUNTRY IS THAT AFTER THE NEXT ROUND OF HEAVY  
SNOWS, MORE TRANQUIL WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE  
WEEK.  
 
A WET WEATHER PATTERN IS IN STORE FOR LARGE AREAS OF THE LOWER 48  
TO THE EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS  
WILL BE ALONG AND TO THE EAST OF A SLOW MOVING FRONTAL BOUNDARY  
STRETCHING SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO  
THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, OHIO VALLEY AND INTO THE NORTHEAST AND  
AHEAD OF TWO AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING FROM THE CENTRAL GULF  
COAST UP ALONG THE EAST COAST. MOISTURE VALUES EXPECTED TO BE  
MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE ALONG AND TO THE EAST OF THIS FRONT AND AHEAD  
OF THE TWO AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG THE EAST COAST,  
SUPPORTING THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD REGIONS OF PRECIPITATION.  
THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL TOTALS EXPECTED FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST,  
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST AND MID-ATLANTIC WHERE THE TWO  
AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS. THE LEAD AREA  
OF LOW PRESSURE WILL SPREAD RAINS ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC MONDAY  
NIGHT AND INTO THE NORTHEAST ON TUESDAY. THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY  
ANOTHER LOW MOVING FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST TUESDAY NIGHT, INTO  
THE SOUTHEAST WEDNESDAY AND THE MID-ATLANTIC WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS THESE REGIONS,  
WITH ISOLATED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY IN  
URBANIZED AREAS OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST.  
 
MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE, SPRING LIKE TEMPERATURES WILL PERSIST FOR MUCH  
OF THE WEEK FOR AREAS TO THE EAST OF THE ROCKIES. MANY AREAS WILL  
SEE HIGH TEMPERATURES TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY 15 TO 25+ DEGREES  
ABOVE AVERAGE. THE WARMEST TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE  
SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WHERE WIDESPREAD  
HIGHS IN THE 70S AND 80S ARE FORECAST. THERE ARE NOT EXPECTED TO  
BE ANY RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES ACROSS THESE AREAS OVER THE FEW  
DAYS, HOWEVER, THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD RECORD HIGH  
MORNING LOW TEMPERATURES FROM THE LOWER GREAT LAKES INTO THE  
NORTHEAST WHERE THE ABOVE MENTIONED MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE MOISTURE  
VALUES WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM COOLING AT NIGHT. BELOW TO MUCH  
BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FROM THE NORTHERN HIGH  
PLAINS, NORTHERN ROCKIES, PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN  
CALIFORNIA. ACROSS THESE REGIONS, HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED  
TO BE APPROXIMATELY 10 TO 20 DEGREES COLDER THAN AVERAGE ON  
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.  
 
ORAVEC  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 

 
 
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