803
FXUS01 KWBC 062020
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
320 PM EST WED MAR 06 2024
VALID 00Z THU MAR 07 2024 - 00Z SAT MAR 09 2024
...HEAVY SNOW OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL ROCKIES THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY AND SNOW OVER NORTHERN MAINE...
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING...
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE
LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY/SOUTHEAST/SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS ON
FRIDAY...
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY...
A FRONT EXTENDING SOUTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST MOVES EASTWARD
OFF THE EAST COAST BY THURSDAY EVENING. MOISTURE POOLING ALONG THE
FRONT WILL AID IN DEVELOPING HEAVY RAIN OVER PARTS OF THE
NORTHEAST AND MID-ATLANTIC. THEREFORE, THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING,
THE WPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
OVER PARTS OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND/NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC. THE
ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL CREATE MAINLY LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH
FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS, AND SMALL STREAMS THE MOST
VULNERABLE. RAIN WILL CONTINUE OVER PARTS OF NEW ENGLAND INTO THE
MID-ATLANTIC COAST ON THURSDAY EVENING. SNOW WILL ALSO DEVELOP
OVER NORTHERN MAINE AND PATCHES OF RAIN/FREEZING RAIN OVER PARTS
OF NORTHEASTERN NEW YORK STATE INTO PARTS OF NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND.
MOREOVER, A SECOND FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST TO
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA WILL MOVE EASTWARD TO THE GREAT LAKES TO THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS BY FRIDAY EVENING. THE SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE SNOW
FROM THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS AND A
BROADER REGION OF SNOW OVER PARTS OF THE GREAT
BASIN/SOUTHWEST/CENTRAL ROCKIES AND NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. ADDITIONALLY, RAIN WILL DEVELOP OVER
PARTS OF CALIFORNIA THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.
FURTHERMORE, A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA ON
WEDNESDAY EVENING MOVES EASTWARD TO THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN ROCKIES
BY THURSDAY EVENING. THE CIRCULATION AROUND THE LOW WILL AID IN
CREATING HEAVY SNOW OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKIES THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING. ADDITIONALLY, SNOW WILL DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES.
BY THURSDAY EVENING, THE FRONT WILL MOVE INTO PARTS OF THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS, PRODUCING SHOWERS AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.
THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ON THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY MORNING. THE HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS
ARE FREQUENT LIGHTNING, SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND
A FEW TORNADOES.
ON FRIDAY, THE ASSOCIATED FRONT MOVES TO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. MOISTURE WILL POOL ALONG THE
BOUNDARY, PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN OVER PARTS OF THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI/TENNESSEE VALLEYS, SOUTHEAST, AND SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS. THEREFORE, THE WPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL
2/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI/TENNESSEE VALLEYS, SOUTHEAST, AND SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS ON FRIDAY. THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL CREATE
MAINLY LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS,
AND SMALL STREAMS THE MOST VULNERABLE.
ALSO, ON FRIDAY, THE FRONT WILL CREATE SHOWERS AND SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS, LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY, AND CENTRAL GULF COAST. THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS ISSUED A
SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS, LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, AND CENTRAL GULF COAST
ON FRIDAY. THE HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
FREQUENT LIGHTNING, SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND A
FEW TORNADOES.
ELSEWHERE, ON FRIDAY, AN APPROACHING FRONT WILL CREATE RAIN OVER
PARTS OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST.
ZIEGENFELDER
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP
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