812
FXUS01 KWBC 072011
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
310 PM EST THU MAR 07 2024
VALID 00Z FRI MAR 08 2024 - 00Z SUN MAR 10 2024
..SCATTERED HEAVY SNOW OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL/SOUTHERN ROCKIES
...THERE IS A THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING AND SEVERE WEATHER THAT
MOVES EASTWARD EACH DAY FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE SOUTHEAST
FROM THURSDAY TO SATURDAY...
...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF
THE SOUTHEAST ON FRIDAY...
A FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE UPPER GREAT LAKES TO THE SOUTHERN HIGH
PLAINS ON THURSDAY EVENING MOVES EASTWARD TO THE LOWER GREAT
LAKES, MID-ATLANTIC, AND CENTRAL GULF COAST BY SATURDAY EVENING.
MOISTURE POOLING ALONG THE FRONT WILL AID IN DEVELOPING SHOWERS
AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS
AND MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS ISSUED A
SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. THE HAZARDS ASSOCIATED
WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FREQUENT LIGHTNING, SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND A FEW TORNADOES. ADDITIONALLY,
THERE IS AN INCREASED THREAT OF HAIL TWO INCHES OR GREATER OVER
PARTS OF THE AREA.
MOREOVER, THE FRONT WILL CREATE HEAVY RAIN OVER PARTS OF THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS. THEREFORE, THE WPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK
(LEVEL 2/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL
CREATE MAINLY LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS,
ROADS, AND SMALL STREAMS THE MOST VULNERABLE.
IN ADDITION, THE ASSOCIATED UPPER-LEVEL ENERGY WILL PRODUCE
SCATTERED HEAVY SNOW OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN ROCKIES
THROUGH OVERNIGHT FRIDAY. FURTHER, THE SAME UPPER-LEVEL ENERGY
WILL ALSO CREATE RAIN AND HIGHER-ELEVATION SNOW OVER PARTS OF
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA, THE GREAT BASIN, AND THE SOUTHWEST
FROM THURSDAY EVENING INTO FRIDAY EVENING.
ON FRIDAY, AS THE SYSTEM MOVES EASTWARD, SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL EXPAND INTO THE OHIO, MIDDLE/LOWER MISSISSIPPI, AND TENNESSEE
VALLEYS, ALONG WITH THE SOUTHEAST AND CENTRAL/SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS. THE THREAT OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL INCREASES OVER
PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST. THEREFORE, THE WPC HAS ISSUED A MODERATE
RISK (LEVEL 3/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER THE SOUTHEAST FROM
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL
CREATE NUMEROUS AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING. FURTHERMORE, MANY STREAMS
MAY FLOOD, POTENTIALLY AFFECTING LARGER RIVERS.
ADDITIONALLY, SHOWERS AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER
PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO SOUTHEAST. THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS
ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER
PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE SOUTHEAST FROM FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY MORNING. THE HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS
ARE FREQUENT LIGHTNING, SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND
A FEW TORNADOES. ADDITIONALLY, THERE IS AN INCREASED THREAT OF
HAIL TWO INCHES OR GREATER OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS/LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.
MOREOVER, THE SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW OVER
PARTS OF THE UPPER GREAT LAKES ON FRIDAY, EXTENDING INTO THE GREAT
LAKES ON SATURDAY. RAIN WILL DEVELOP SOUTH OF THE SNOW IN PARTS OF
THE GREAT LAKES, MAINLY CHANGING OVER THE SNOW BY SATURDAY
EVENING.
ON SATURDAY, THE THREAT OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AND SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS MOVE EAST INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC AND SOUTHEAST.
THEREFORE, THE WPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC ON
SATURDAY. THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL CREATE MAINLY LOCALIZED
AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS, AND SMALL
STREAMS THE MOST VULNERABLE.
FURTHERMORE, SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE CENTRAL
GULF COAST TO THE SOUTHEAST. THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS ISSUED A
SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE
CENTRAL GULF COAST TO THE SOUTHEAST ON SATURDAY. THE HAZARDS
ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FREQUENT LIGHTNING, SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND A FEW TORNADOES.
MEANWHILE, A FRONT WILL MOVE ONSHORE OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST ON
FRIDAY, MOVING TO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AND CENTRAL CALIFORNIA BY
SATURDAY EVENING. THE STORM WILL PRODUCE RAIN AND SNOW AT HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
FROM FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY EVENING.
ZIEGENFELDER
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HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP
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