918
FXUS01 KWBC 081914
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
213 PM EST FRI MAR 08 2024
VALID 00Z SAT MAR 09 2024 - 00Z MON MAR 11 2024
...SNOW GRADUALLY TAPERING OFF OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS AS
WELL AS CENTRAL/SOUTHERN ROCKIES...
...THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING AND SEVERE WEATHER EXPECTED TO SWEEP
ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH TO THE SOUTHEAST THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...
...AN INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN AND STRONG WINDS FROM THE OHIO VALLEY TO NEW ENGLAND LATE
SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY...
...WET SNOW EXPECTED ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES TO NORTHERN NEW
ENGLAND LATE SATURDAY TO SUNDAY AS NEXT ROUND OF RAIN AND MOUNTAIN
SNOW REACHES THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST...
THE MID-SECTION OF THE COUNTRY WILL BE IN AN UNSETTLED PATTERN
WITH ACTIVE TO LOCALLY SEVERE WEATHER INTO THE WEEKEND AS
UPPER-LEVEL PACIFIC MOISTURE IN ASSOCIATION WITH A SUBTROPICAL JET
STREAM WILL INTERACTS WITH A COLD AIR MASS DIPPING INTO THE CENTER
OF THE COUNTRY. MEANWHILE LOWER-LEVEL MOISTURE FROM THE GULF OF
MEXICO WILL BE INGESTED INTO THE SYSTEM AS WELL. THESE COMPLEX
INTERACTIONS WILL RESULT IN AN AXIS OF HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLY
SEVERE WEATHER TO DEVELOP OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
SPREADING ACROSS THE GULF STATES AND INTO THE SOUTHEAST BY
SATURDAY. THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS SLIGHT RISKS IN EFFECT
FOR SEVER WEATHER THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR PARTS OF THE DEEP
SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST. THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER HAS MODERATE AN
SLIGHT RISKS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE SAME REGION FOR EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL AND FLOODING CONCERNS.
MEANWHILE TO THE NORTH, A LOW-LEVEL DISTURBANCE THAT HAS BEEN
SUSTAINING LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS IS
FORECAST TO WEAKEN AND ALLOW THE SNOW THERE, AS WELL AS THE SNOW
OVER THE CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN ROCKIES, TO GRADUALLY TAPER OFF INTO
THIS EVENING. BY SATURDAY, A LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS FORECAST TO
CONSOLIDATE OVER THE OHIO VALLEY WHEN THE SYSTEM INTENSIFIES MORE
RAPIDLY AND TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES
SATURDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL LEAD TO AREAS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
ALONG WITH INCREASINGLY STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS TO DEVELOP FROM THE
OHIO VALLEY TO NEW ENGLAND LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. COLDER AIR
WRAPPING AROUND THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE THE
RAIN TO WET SNOW FROM ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES TO PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND ESPECIALLY FOR THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
IN THE WAKE OF THESE SYSTEMS HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN OVER THE
CENTRAL U.S. AND WILL PROMOTE DRYING OUT SATURDAY. THE DRY WEATHER
WILL EXTEND INTO MUCH OF THE WESTERN U.S. HOWEVER, MOISTURE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE NEXT PACIFIC SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO REACH THE
OLYMPIC PENINSULA LATER TODAY WITH RAIN FOR THE LOWER ELEVATIONS
AND SNOW FOR RATHER HIGH ELEVATIONS. THE RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW
WILL EXPAND SOUTHWARD ACROSS OREGON AND INTO NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
ON SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. THE CASCADES WILL SEE SNOW
PICKING UP INTENSITY ON SATURDAY AS THE NEXT BATCH OF MOISTURE
GETS READY TO REACH THE COASTLINE OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST BY
EARLY ON SUNDAY.
CAMPBELL/KONG
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page