986
FXUS01 KWBC 232011
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
410 PM EDT SAT MAR 23 2024
VALID 00Z SUN MAR 24 2024 - 00Z TUE MAR 26 2024
...HEAVY SNOW OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND; SIGNIFICANT
WINTER STORM LIKELY ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER
MIDWEST...
...THERE IS A SIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE
NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC TO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF
THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS ON SUNDAY...
A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NORTHERN HIGH
PLAINS AND MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS, UPPER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY, AND UPPER GREAT LAKES FROM SATURDAY EVENING INTO MONDAY.
THE WINTER STORM WILL BE HIGH-IMPACT AND AN EXTENSIVE SYSTEM
PRODUCING WIDESPREAD HEAVY SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS THAT WILL PERSIST
OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST THROUGH
MONDAY. WIDESPREAD HEAVY SNOW WILL SPREAD ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL
AND EASTERN MONTANA BY SATURDAY NIGHT, EXPAND INTO THE NORTHERN
PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST ON SUNDAY, AND CONTINUE INTO MONDAY. THERE IS
A HIGH CHANCE (GREATER THAN 70%) OF AT LEAST EIGHT INCHES OF SNOW
EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA NORTHEASTWARD TO NORTHEASTERN
MINNESOTA AND NORTHWESTERN WISCONSIN.
IN ADDITION, THE STORM WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS IMPACTS FROM HEAVY
SNOW, SNOW LOAD, AND WIND. MOREOVER, HEAVY SNOW AND GUSTY WIND
WILL PRODUCE AREAS OF BLOWING/DRIFTING SNOW AND POSSIBLE BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS ON SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. HAZARDOUS TRAVEL AND ROAD
CLOSURES ARE EXPECTED LATE SATURDAY INTO MONDAY. STRONG WINDS AND
HEAVY, WET SNOW ON TREES AND POWER LINES MAY DAMAGE TREES AND
CAUSE POWER OUTAGES.
FURTHERMORE, STRONG WIND GUSTS OVER 50 MPH ON SUNDAY MAY RESULT IN
POWER OUTAGES, BLOWING DUST WITH REDUCED VISIBILITY, DIFFICULT
TRAVEL, AND PROPERTY DAMAGE AS HIGH WIND WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE
OVER THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS.
MEANWHILE, LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND MOVES
NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES BY SUNDAY. THE STORM
WILL AID IN PRODUCING HEAVY SNOW OVER PARTS OF NORTHERN NEW
ENGLAND THROUGH LATE SUNDAY MORNING. ADDITIONALLY, HEAVY RAIN WILL
DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC AND SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. THEREFORE, THE WPC HAS ISSUED
A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER THE NORTHERN
MID-ATLANTIC/SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THE
ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL CREATE MAINLY LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH
FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS, AND SMALL STREAMS THE MOST
VULNERABLE. ON SUNDAY, THE THREAT OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ENDS OVER
THE NORTHEAST. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE SUNDAY MORNING
OVER NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND.
MOREOVER, A FRONT OVER THE GREAT BASIN/SOUTHWEST MOVES INLAND TO
THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUES
EASTWARD TO THE MIDDLE/LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY MONDAY EVENING.
THE ENERGY ASSOCIATED WITH THE BOUNDARY WILL CREATE
HIGHER-ELEVATION SNOW AND LOWER-ELEVATION RAIN OVER PARTS OF THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST, CALIFORNIA, GREAT BASIN, SOUTHWEST, AND
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN ROCKIES THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.
FURTHER, AS THE FRONT AND DRYLINE MOVE OUT OF THE ROCKIES ON
SUNDAY, SHOWERS AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS. THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT
RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS FROM SUNDAY INTO MONDAY MORNING. THE
HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FREQUENT
LIGHTNING, SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND A FEW
TORNADOES.
ON MONDAY, THE FRONT MOVES INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY,
CREATING SHOWERS AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS
ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER
PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON MONDAY MORNING. THE
HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FREQUENT
LIGHTNING, SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND A FEW
TORNADOES.
IN ADDITION, THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN
OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/LOWER MISSISSIPPI AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS.
THEREFORE, THE WPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/LOWER MISSISSIPPI AND
TENNESSEE VALLEYS ON MONDAY. THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL CREATE
MAINLY LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS,
AND SMALL STREAMS THE MOST VULNERABLE.
ZIEGENFELDER
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HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP
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