349
FXUS01 KWBC 011851
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
251 PM EDT MON APR 01 2024
VALID 00Z TUE APR 02 2024 - 00Z THU APR 04 2024
...MAJOR SPRING STORM TO BRING NUMEROUS WEATHER THREATS FROM THE
SOUTHERN-CENTRAL PLAINS, NORTHEAST INTO THE MID MISSISSIPPI , OHIO
VALLEY, GREAT LAKES, MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST...
...SEVERE WEATHER LIKELY LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON/MONDAY NIGHT FROM
THE SOUTHERN TO CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE MID MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY...INTO THE OHIO VALLEY, TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHEAST ON
TUESDAY...
...HEAVY RAINS AND FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE FROM THE MID
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, INTO THE OHIO VALLEY AND CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS...
...HEAVY SNOWS TO DEVELOP TUESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY
ACROSS MUCH OF WISCONSIN, THE U.P. OF MICHIGAN THE NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE L.P. OF MICHIGAN...
...MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTH
TUESDAY, COOLING SIGNIFICANTLY ON WEDNESDAY...
...ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT FOR WEST AND SOUTHWEST
TEXAS...
A HIGHLY IMPACTFUL, MAJOR SPRING STORM WILL PRODUCE NUMEROUS
HAZARDS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT STRENGTHENS OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS MONDAY NIGHT AND PUSHES NORTHEASTWARD TUESDAY ACROSS THE
MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, OHIO VALLEY AND INTO THE LOWER LAKES,
BECOMING NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE LOWER LAKES ON WEDNESDAY.
SEVERE WEATHER LIKELY TO DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
TO CENTRAL PLAINS LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING AND SPREAD
NORTHEASTWARD QUICKLY ACROSS THE LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY, MID
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY. THIS SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT WILL THEN SPREAD INTO PORTIONS OF THE OHIO VALLEY,
TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHEAST ON TUESDAY. LARGE HAIL, HIGH WINDS
AND TORNADOES ARE ALL POSSIBLE WITH THIS SEVERE WEATHER OVER THE
NEXT TWO DAYS.
IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT, HEAVY RAINS AND FLASH
FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY FROM THE
LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY, ACROSS THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, OHIO
VALLEY AND INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS. FLOOD WATCHES
CURRENTLY STRETCH FROM CENTRAL ILLINOIS, ACROSS LARGE PORTIONS OF
INDIANA, OHIO, NORTHEAST KENTUCKY, MUCH OF WEST VIRGINIA, FAR
SOUTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA AND FAR WESTERN MARYLAND.
AS THIS STORM DEEPENS ON TUESDAY ACROSS THE MID MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY/LOWER LAKES REGION, PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO SNOW ON
THE NORTHWEST SIDE OF THE SYSTEM FROM NORTHERN ILLINOIS, ACROSS
MUCH OF WISCONSIN, THE U.P. OF MICHIGAN AND THE NORTHERN L.P. OF
MICHIGAN. EARLY SPRING HEAVY SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 4-8"+ POSSIBLE
ACROSS THESE AREAS, WITH REGIONS FROM EASTERN WISCONSIN INTO THE
UPPER PENINSULA OF MICHIGAN HAVING THE GREATEST CHANCES OF HEAVY
SNOWFALL. BY LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON ANOTHER AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TO DEEPEN ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC
COAST. HEAVY SNOWS ARE FORECAST TO BEGIN TO DEVELOP LATE LATE
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY TO THE NORTH OF
THIS LOW ACROSS PORTIONS OF UPSTATE AND NORTHERN NEW YORK INTO
MUCH OF CENTRAL TO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND.
MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTH ON
TUESDAY AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT FORECAST TO BE PUSHING
EASTWARD FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TUESDAY AND INTO THE SOUTHEAST
BY WEDNESDAY. RECORD HIGH OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE
AHEAD OF THIS STRONG FRONT TUESDAY MORNING FROM THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, TENNESSEE VALLEY, SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AND
SOUTHEAST AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST AND
MOST OF FLORIDA. IN THE WAKE OF THIS FRONT PUSHING EASTWARD
ACROSS THE SOUTH, MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST ACROSS THE
SOUTH ON WEDNESDAY AND THE SOUTHEAST BY THURSDAY.
IN THE WAKE OF THE STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING EASTWARD LATE MONDAY
INTO MONDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS, WINDY CONDITIONS
COMBINED WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL SUPPORT AN ENHANCED TO
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT. RED FLAG WARNINGS FOR THESE FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT ACROSS PORTIONS OF WEST
AND SOUTHWEST TEXAS FOR LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING.
ORAVEC
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