916
FXUS01 KWBC 062000
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
359 PM EDT SAT APR 6 2024
VALID 00Z SUN APR 7 2024 - 00Z TUE APR 9 2024
...WINTER STORM TO PRODUCE HIGH WINDS AND SNOW ACROSS THE WESTERN
HIGH PLAINS...
...CRITICAL TO EXTREME FIRE WEATHER RISK CONTINUES OVER PORTIONS
OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...
...WARM START TO THE WEEK FOR MUCH OF THE EAST-CENTRAL U.S. AND
BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE WEST...
THE MAIN THING MAKING WEATHER HEADLINES THIS WEEKEND WILL BE THE
STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER NEBRASKA THAT SLOWLY DRIFTS
EASTWARD TO NORTHERN IOWA AND SOUTHERN MINNESOTA BY SUNDAY NIGHT.
THE SUB 990 MB LOW WILL HAVE AN IMPRESSIVE WIND FIELD AROUND IT
ACROSS MUCH OF THE WESTERN HIGH PLAINS THROUGH SUNDAY, AND THIS
WILL PRODUCE 25-50 MPH WINDS WITH HIGHER GUSTS FROM EASTERN NEW
MEXICO TO EASTERN NEBRASKA, WHERE HIGH WIND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY
IN EFFECT. IN ADDITION, VERY DRY CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH THESE
WINDS IS LEADING TO AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR WILDFIRE GROWTH,
ESPECIALLY FOR WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WHERE A
CRITICAL FIRE RISK IS DEPICTED BY SPC, AND EVEN A SMALL EXTREME
RISK AREA JUST NORTH OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE FOR SATURDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING. THERE IS ALSO A WINTER STORM COMPONENT TO THIS
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM, WITH ADDITIONAL HEAVY SNOW EXPECTED ACROSS
EASTERN WYOMING/MONTANA AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE DAKOTAS AND
NEBRASKA, WITH SOME BLIZZARD CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AT TIMES. BY THE
TIME THE LOW REACHES THE UPPER MIDWEST, A WEAKENING TREND WILL BE
IN PROGRESS WITH LINGERING SHOWERS ACROSS THIS REGION GOING INTO
MONDAY, AND MORE SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE DAKOTAS.
FOR THE TOTAL SOLAR ECLIPSE ON MONDAY AFTERNOON, MOSTLY CLOUDY TO
OVERCAST SKIES ARE LIKELY ACROSS CENTRAL/EASTERN TEXAS AND INTO
SOUTHERN ARKANSAS AS GULF MOISTURE INCREASES AHEAD OF THE NEXT
STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. SOME SEVERE
WEATHER IS POSSIBLE LATER ON MONDAY FOR MUCH OF THIS SAME REGION.
THERE WILL PROBABLY BE SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS FROM NORTHERN
ARKANSAS TO CENTRAL OHIO BEHIND THE PASSAGE OF THE WARM FRONT, AND
THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY FROM EASTERN OHIO TO WESTERN PORTIONS OF NEW
YORK. CLEARER SKIES ARE CURRENTLY LIKELY ACROSS NORTHERN NEW
ENGLAND, ALTHOUGH SOME HIGH CLOUDS CAN'T BE RULED OUT FROM UPSTATE
NEW YORK TO VERMONT.
MUCH OF THE WESTERN U.S. SHOULD BE BELOW AVERAGE IN TERMS OF
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEKEND BEHIND THE GREAT PLAINS STORM
SYSTEM, WHILE THE EAST COAST SEES A MODERATION TREND COMPARED TO
RECENT COLD WEATHER. THE WARM FRONT CROSSING THE OHIO VALLEY WILL
BRING A WELCOMED RETURN TO MORE PLEASANT SPRING-LIKE READINGS TO
START THE WORK WEEK, WITH HIGHS WELL INTO THE 70S ON MONDAY AS FAR
NORTH AS NORTHERN ILLINOIS AND INDIANA.
HAMRICK
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