840  
FXUS01 KWBC 100825  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
400 AM EDT WED APR 10 2024  
 
VALID 12Z WED APR 10 2024 - 12Z FRI APR 12 2024  
 
...HEAVY RAIN, FLASH FLOODING AND SEVERE WEATHER THREAT ASSOCIATED  
WITH AN INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE  
ARKLATEX REGION TODAY, REACHING INTO THE INTERIOR SOUTH TONIGHT...  
 
...THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING AN EXPANDING HEAVY RAIN AND  
HIGH WIND THREAT INTO MUCH OF THE EASTERN U.S. ON THURSDAY WITH  
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST AND UPPER OHIO VALLEY...  
 
...HIGH WINDS ALONG WITH WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN  
EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE ENTIRE EASTERN SEABOARD INTO THE GREAT  
LAKES THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING AND ...  
 
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY CONSOLIDATING OVER SOUTHERN  
TEXAS AS A DYNAMIC UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS GETTING READY TO MOVE OFF  
NORTHERN MEXICO AND THEN VIGOROUSLY INTERACT WITH MOISTURE  
RETURNING FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO. THE CLUSTERS OF STRONG TO  
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THAT HAVE ALREADY FORMED AND IMPACTED THE  
WESTERN GULF STATES ARE JUST A PRECURSOR OF WHAT THE SYSTEM MAY  
PRODUCE LATER TODAY WHEN IT IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY RAPIDLY WITH  
THUNDERSTORMS ERUPTING OVER THE ARKLATEX REGION. THESE  
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTAIN VERY HEAVY RAIN, HAIL, HIGH  
WINDS, AND THE POSSIBILITY OF TORNADOES ACROSS THE INTERIOR SOUTH  
THROUGH TONIGHT AS A POTENT COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO SWEEP ACROSS  
FROM WEST TO EAST. THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ITSELF IS FORECAST TO  
INTENSIFY, EXPAND AND TRACK TOWARD THE NORTHEAST FOR THE NEXT  
COUPLE OF DAYS, WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL ENGULFING MUCH OF  
THE EASTERN U.S. BY THURSDAY. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED  
TO IMPACT THE CENTRAL TO EASTERN GULF COAST REGION TODAY THROUGH  
THURSDAY MORNING, WITH ANOTHER HEAVY RAIN AXIS FROM THE ARKLATEX  
REGION TO THE MIDWEST FOLLOWING THE CENTER OF THE INTENSIFYING LOW  
PRESSURE SYSTEM. THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY  
AND EXPAND FURTHER THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING, BRINGING  
HIGH WINDS INTO MUCH OF THE EASTERN U.S. AS WELL AS THE GREAT  
LAKES, MIDWEST AND THE OHIO VALLEY. THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD EXIT THE  
SOUTHEAST BY FRIDAY MORNING AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES OFF THE COAST.  
HOWEVER, THE MID-ATLANTIC AND VIRTUALLY THE ENTIRE NORTHEAST WILL  
LIKELY BE ENGULFED BY MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH HIGH WINDS  
ESPECIALLY JUST AHEAD OF THE POTENT COLD FRONT TRAILING SOUTH FROM  
THE CENTER OF THE INTENSE AND EXPANDING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM.  
 
OUTSIDE OF THE INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM, RELATIVELY QUIET  
WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH A STABLE  
UPPER RIDGING BUILDING INTO THE WESTERN U.S. SCATTERED RAIN AND  
SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO FALL ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AND  
NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS TODAY BEFORE REACHING INTO THE NORTHERN  
PLAINS AS A CLIPPER SYSTEM SWINGS ACROSS THESE AREAS. LIGHT  
PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST TO REACH THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST THURSDAY  
NIGHT WITH THE ARRIVAL OF THE NEXT PACIFIC SYSTEM. OTHERWISE,  
IMPROVEMENT IN THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE  
SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS WHERE ELEVATED FIRE DANGER IS CONFINED TO THE  
TEXAS BIG BEND TODAY, FOLLOWED BY PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS  
ON THURSDAY.  
 
KONG  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 

 
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab HPC Page Main Text Page