952  
FXUS01 KWBC 251917  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
317 PM EDT THU APR 25 2024  
 
VALID 00Z FRI APR 26 2024 - 00Z SUN APR 28 2024  
 
...AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN FOR MUCH OF THE PLAINS INTO THE MID  
TO UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGIONS...  
 
...THUNDERSTORMS TO BRING HEAVY RAINS, LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING  
AND SEVERE WEATHER TO PORTIONS OF THE PLAINS...  
 
...AN ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN  
HIGH PLAINS...  
 
..COOLER THAN AVERAGE TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FROM THE ROCKIES TO  
THE WEST COAST AND FROM THE MID-ATLANTIC TO THE NORTHEAST, WHILE  
MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES SPREAD FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO  
THE GREAT LAKES...  
 
AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN EXPECTED ACROSS THE MID SECTION OF THE  
NATION FROM THE PLAINS INTO THE MID TO UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.  
TWO STRONG STORMS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE A VARIETY OF SPRING TIME  
WEATHER OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS ACROSS THESE REGIONS.  
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OCCURRING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL  
PLAINS, LOWER ARKANSAS AND LOWER MISSOURI VALLEYS THURSDAY  
AFTERNOON WILL BE EXPANDING NORTHWARD INTO THE NORTHERN  
PLAINS/UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION AND SOUTHWARD INTO THE  
SOUTHERN PLAINS AS THE FIRST OF TWO STRONG LOWS TO AFFECT THESE  
REGIONS BEGINS TO DEEPEN ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS AND MOVE  
NORTHEASTWARD. THERE IS THE LIKELIHOOD OF SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS  
MUCH OF THE CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS FROM THURSDAY  
AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY NIGHT/EARLY FRIDAY ALONG AND AHEAD OF A  
STRENGTHENING FRONTAL ZONE. THIS SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL THEN  
PUSH FARTHER TO THE EAST DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY INTO EASTERN  
PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN PLAINS, LOWER MISSOURI AND  
LOWER ARKANSAS RIVER VALLEYS AS THE STRONG COLD FRONT ALSO PUSHES  
EASTWARD. IN ADDITION, HEAVY RAINS FROM THE EXPECTED THUNDERSTORM  
ACTIVITY POSES THE THREAT OF LOCALIZED FLOODING FROM THIS  
AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY, ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE EASTERN PORTIONS  
OF THE CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE INTO LOWER MISSOURI AND  
LOWER ARKANSAS RIVER VALLEYS. IN THE WAKE OF THE FIRST STRONG  
STORM PUSHING NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER  
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON SATURDAY, WHERE IT WILL PRODUCE POTENTIAL  
FOR MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS, A SECOND STORM WILL BEGIN  
TO DEEPEN ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. ANOTHER ROUND OF  
THUNDERSTORMS, HEAVY RAINS, FLASH FLOODING AND SEVERE WEATHER IS  
AGAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS BEGINNING SATURDAY  
AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING INTO SUNDAY.  
 
IN CONTRAST TO THE WET, STORMY WEATHER ACROSS LARGE PORTIONS OF  
THE MID SECTION OF THE NATION, WINDY AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE  
EXPECTED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS FROM SOUTHEAST COLORADO,  
THE TEXAS-OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE REGION, SOUTHWARD THROUGH WEST TO  
SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND EASTERN TO SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO. THE  
COMBINATION OF THE WINDY CONDITIONS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES  
WILL SUPPORT A PROLONGED PERIOD OF ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE  
WEATHER CONDITIONS FROM THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.  
 
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVING OFF THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC INTO THE  
PACIFIC NORTHWEST THIS EVENING WILL KEEP CONDITIONS WET ACROSS THE  
PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN ROCKIES TONIGHT. THIS WET WEATHER  
AND HIGH ELEVATION SNOWS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO SPREAD INTO THE  
GREAT BASIN AND CENTRAL ROCKIES ON FRIDAY.  
 
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW AVERAGE ACROSS MOST AREAS  
FROM THE ROCKIES TO THE WEST COAST OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. MUCH  
ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES THURSDAY ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND  
NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS WILL BE REPLACED BY MUCH COOLER TEMPS BY THE  
BEGINNING OF THE WEEKEND. MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES  
EXPECTED FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS, NORTHEAST THE MISSISSIPPI  
VALLEY, OHIO VALLEY AND INTO THE GREAT LAKES OVER THE NEXT TWO  
DAYS, WHILE COOLER,SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES EXPECTED  
FROM THE MID-ATLANTIC INTO THE NORTHEAST.  
 
ORAVEC  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 

 
 
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