586
FXUS01 KWBC 262003
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
402 PM EDT FRI APR 26 2024
VALID 00Z SAT APR 27 2024 - 00Z MON APR 29 2024
...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF
THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS ON SATURDAY...
..HEAVY SNOW OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKIES
...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF
THE MIDDLE/LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS...
LOW PRESSURE OVER CENTRAL PLAINS WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD INTO
EAST-CENTRAL CANADA BY SUNDAY MORNING. A SECOND LOW DEVELOPS OVER
THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS BY SATURDAY MORNING AND LIKEWISE, MOVE
NORTHEASTWARD TO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY SUNDAY. SHOWERS
AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP EAST OF THE DRYLINE.
THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS ISSUED AN ENHANCED RISK (LEVEL 3/5) OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE MIDDLE/LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THE HAZARDS
ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FREQUENT LIGHTNING, SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND A FEW TORNADOES. IN ADDITION,
THERE IS AN INCREASED THREAT OF EF2- EF5 TORNADOS AND HAIL GREATER
THAN TWO INCHES OVER THE REGION.
MOREOVER, HEAVY RAIN WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THESE STORMS.
THEREFORE, THE WPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER THE MIDDLE/LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND
SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY
RAIN WILL CREATE MAINLY LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING, WITH
URBAN AREAS, ROADS, SMALL STREAMS, AND LOW-LYING AREAS THE MOST
VULNERABLE. HEAVY SNOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF
THE CENTRAL ROCKIES OVERNIGHT FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.
ON SATURDAY, THE THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES, WHILE
THE THREAT OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL INCREASES OVER PARTS OF
SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS, SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA, AND
NORTHEAST-CENTRAL TEXAS. THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS ISSUED AN ENHANCED
RISK (LEVEL 3/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE MIDDLE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS FROM SATURDAY INTO
SUNDAY MORNING. THE HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS
ARE FREQUENT LIGHTNING, SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND
A FEW TORNADOES. IN ADDITION, THERE IS AN INCREASED THREAT OF EF2-
EF5 TORNADOS AND HAIL GREATER THAN TWO INCHES OVER THE REGION.
FURTHERMORE, HEAVY RAIN WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THESE STORMS.
THEREFORE, THE WPC HAS ISSUED A MODERATE RISK (LEVEL 3/4) OF
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS. THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL CREATE
NUMEROUS AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING. FURTHERMORE, MANY STREAMS MAY
FLOOD, POTENTIALLY AFFECTING LARGER RIVERS.
ON SUNDAY, THE THREAT OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DECREASES SLIGHTLY.
THEREFORE, THE WPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER THE MIDDLE/LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND
SOUTHERN PLAINS ON SUNDAY. THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL CREATE
MAINLY LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS,
SMALL STREAMS, AND LOW-LYING AREAS THE MOST VULNERABLE.
SIMILARLY, THE THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DECREASES SLIGHTLY
ON SUNDAY, TOO. THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL
2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE MIDDLE/LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS ON SUNDAY. THE
HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FREQUENT
LIGHTNING, SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND A FEW
TORNADOES.
MEANWHILE, UPPER-LEVEL TROUGHING OVER THE WESTERN THIRD OF THE
COUNTRY AND ONSHORE FLOW WILL PRODUCE RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION SNOW
OVER PARTS OF PACIFIC NORTHWEST, CALIFORNIA, GREAT BASIN, NORTHERN
INTERMOUNTAIN REGION, AND SOUTHWEST THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THE
LOW ELEVATION RAIN AND HIGHER ELEVATION SNOW CONTINUES OVER PARTS
OF THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL ROCKIES THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. ON
SUNDAY, THE RAIN AND HIGHER ELEVATION SNOW RETURNS TO THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST.
ZIEGENFELDER
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page