005  
FXUS01 KWBC 282017  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
400 PM EDT SUN APR 28 2024  
 
VALID 00Z MON APR 29 2024 - 00Z WED MAY 01 2024  
 
...MORE ROUNDS OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AND SEVERE WEATHER EXPECTED  
TO PUSH EAST AND SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY  
THROUGH TONIGHT INTO MONDAY...  
 
...HIGH-ELEVATION SNOW IS FORECAST TO OVERSPREAD THE PACIFIC  
NORTHWEST INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES MONDAY AND TUESDAY...  
 
...WARMER THAN AVERAGE TEMPERATURES SPREAD FROM MIDWEST TO  
MID-ATLANTIC; COLDER WEATHER RETURNS TO THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND  
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WITH WARMING TREND ACROSS THE  
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...  
 
MORE ACTIVE AND UNSETTLED WEATHER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ACROSS  
THE MID-SECTION OF THE COUNTRY THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS  
MULTIPLE DISTURBANCES EMBEDDED WITHIN A SLOW-MOVING UPPER-LEVEL  
TROUGH TRAVERSE THE WESTERN U.S. TOWARD THE GREAT PLAINS. THE LOW  
PRESSURE SYSTEM RESPONSIBLE FOR THE LATEST OUTBREAK OF STRONG TO  
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN PLAINS TODAY  
WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHEAST ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST ON  
MONDAY. ANOTHER BOUT OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE  
EXPECTED TO IMPACT AREAS FARTHER EAST ACROSS THE ARKLATEX REGION  
THROUGH TONIGHT AS THE TRAILING COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW  
PRESSURE SYSTEM EDGES FARTHER TO THE EAST. IN ADDITION, HEAVY  
DOWNPOURS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE STORMS WILL RESULT IN FLOODING  
CONCERNS ACROSS THE REGION. BY MONDAY, THE HIGHEST THREAT OF  
SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAIN WILL SHIFT FARTHER SOUTHEAST TOWARD  
TO CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION, MAINLY OVER LOUISIANA, AS THE FRONT  
BEGINS TO WEAKEN. A LOWER RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAIN  
WILL EXTEND FARTHER NORTHEAST INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY ON MONDAY.  
 
MEANWHILE, WIDESPREAD COLD RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH  
TONIGHT ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS, UPPER MIDWEST AND TOWARD THE  
LOWER GREAT LAKES AHEAD OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND THE  
ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT, WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS CLOSER TO THE  
CENTER OF THE LOW. TEMPERATURES COULD BE COLD ENOUGH TO SUPPORT  
WET SNOW MONDAY MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS  
INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST. THE RAIN WILL THEN SHIFT EASTWARD INTO  
THE WESTERN PORTION OF NEW ENGLAND, DOWN ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY  
TOWARD THE APPALACHIANS ON TUESDAY AS THE LOW CENTER MOVES INTO  
SOUTHERN CANADA.  
 
ON THE WARM SIDE OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM, STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW  
WILL BRING VERY WARM AIR NORTHWARD INTO THE EAST COAST THROUGH THE  
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES CLIMBING WELL INTO THE  
80S AND POSSIBLY INTO THE LOWER 90 DEGREES FOR THE INTERIOR  
MID-ATLANTIC. THESE TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN CONTRAST TO THE COOL  
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST BY MONDAY AS THE  
NEXT UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH FROM THE PACIFIC IS FORECAST TO PUSH  
INLAND. THIS TROUGH WILL BRING WIDESPREAD HIGH-ELEVATION SNOW AND  
LOWER ELEVATION RAIN ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TOWARD THE  
NORTHERN ROCKIES ON MONDAY WITH INCREASINGLY WINDY CONDITIONS AS A  
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM BEGINS TO DEVELOP OVER THE NORTHERN HIGH  
PLAINS INTO SOUTHERN CANADA. BY TUESDAY, THE MAIN FRONT WILL MOVE  
FAIRLY QUICKLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS, WITH RAPID  
DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED ACROSS THE UPPER  
MIDWEST IN THE AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A WARM FRONT AND A LOW PRESSURE  
WAVE. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY BEGIN TO ERPUT ACROSS THE CENTRAL  
PLAINS INTO TEXAS EAST OF A DRY LINE. FARTHER WEST, WARM  
DOWNSLOPE WINDS FROM THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES WILL SET A WARM TREND  
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES REACHING  
INTO THE 80S AND LOWER 90S BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.  
 
KONG  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 
 
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